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NORWAY › 1. DIVISION
11.10.2026 15:00
Nadderud Stadion
Referee: H. Nervik
Stabaek
Match Timeline
Strommen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
E. Lereng
Stabaek
⚽
33'
G. Grobelnik · Assist: J. Kristengard
Strommen
⚽
45'
A. Sanyang · Assist: A. Matic
Stabaek
🔄
46'
G. Grobelnik ↔ M. Waehler
Strommen
🔄
62'
G. Vetti ↔ M. Dahlby
Stabaek
🔄
70'
A. Aamodt ↔ S. Olderheim
Stabaek
🔄
70'
G. Rapp ↔ A. Hoven
Stabaek
🔄
71'
M. Moldskred ↔ K. Somesi
Strommen
🟨
77'
W. Wendt
Stabaek
⚽
81'
M. Waehler · Assist: K. Somesi
Strommen
🔄
83'
A. Nord ↔ E. Rogne
Strommen
🔄
83'
M. Paulsen ↔ T. Ogboji
Strommen
🔄
88'
M. Balatoni ↔ A. Solberg
Strommen
⚽
90'
M. Dahlby · Assist: A. Sanyang
Stabaek

Stabaek vs Strommen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.30
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.1%
1.40 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.30 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
2.01 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Stabaek Win 68.1%
Draw 3.4%
Strommen Win 28.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stabaek2.23
Strommen1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stabaek Stabaek
WWDLW
79 GF / 45 GA
Strommen Strommen
WLDWL
52 GF / 69 GA
Key Stats
2.32
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
2.09
20
BTTS Yes
21
24
Over 2.5
24
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stabaek Stabaek 34 matches
Strommen Strommen 33 matches
Stabaek Statistic Strommen
20 Wins 12
4 Draws 5
10 Losses 16
79 Goals For 52
45 Goals Against 69
2.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 2.09
20 BTTS Yes 21
31 Over 1.5 28
24 Over 2.5 24
17 Over 3.5 16
11 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Stabaek's more proactive style and Strommen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Strommen having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Strommen. Stabaek arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 45 points compared to Strommen in 11 on 26, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Stabaek have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Stabaek Analysis

Stabaek sit 4 with 45 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 14 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 57:31, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Strommen Analysis

From their first 24 matches, Strommen have collected 26 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, while the 38:55 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Stabaek won 0 times, Strommen won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from Stabaek's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
H2H summary: Stabaek wins 0, draws 0, Strommen wins 1

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 5 3 76:37 39 56
W W W D W
2 25 18 2 5 75:40 35 56
D W W W W
3 25 16 6 3 66:32 34 54
W W W W D
4 25 14 4 7 59:33 26 46
D L W L L
5 25 12 6 7 52:39 13 42
W W W L D
6 25 12 2 11 34:33 1 38
L W W W L
7 25 10 4 11 41:51 -10 34
L L L L D
8 25 9 5 11 39:50 -11 32
W L L D D
9 25 9 4 12 63:64 -1 31
L W W D D
10 25 8 4 13 40:54 -14 28
L L L W D
11 25 8 4 13 40:55 -15 28
W L W L W
12 25 7 6 12 40:57 -17 27
D D L D W
13 25 7 5 13 36:46 -10 26
D D L L D
14 24 6 5 13 39:55 -16 23
L L D L L
15 25 6 5 14 36:54 -18 23
W L L D D
16 24 6 1 17 27:63 -36 19
L L W L L
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