NORWAY 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Nadderud Stadion
Referee: P. Heiberg
Stabaek
Match Timeline
hodd
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
G. Rapp · Assist: W. Wendt
Stabaek
28'
W. Wendt · Assist: F. Riise
Stabaek
🟨
33'
W. Wendt
Stabaek
🔄
41'
S. Hanssen ↔ E. Blikstad
hodd
45'
M. Dahlby · Assist: W. Wendt
Stabaek
60'
G. Rapp
Stabaek
🔄
61'
M. Lundemo ↔ O. Solnordal
Stabaek
🔄
61'
G. Rapp ↔ A. Aamodt
Stabaek
🔄
68'
V. H. Elveseter ↔ M. Rawufu
hodd
🔄
68'
C. Streete ↔ J. Berisha
hodd
70'
A. Aamodt · Assist: J. Hanstad
Stabaek
🔄
71'
F. Riise ↔ A. Hoven
Stabaek
🔄
72'
N. Naess ↔ O. Veum
Stabaek
🔄
77'
W. Wendt ↔ L. Myklebust
Stabaek
🔄
77'
T. Kallevag ↔ S. Mikkelsen
hodd
🔄
77'
J. Robertsen ↔ F. Gjerde
hodd
78'
A. Hoven · Assist: J. Hanstad
Stabaek
🟨
79'
J. Hanstad
Stabaek
🟨
88'
M. Rawufu
hodd
🟨
90+1'
H. Urnes
hodd

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds 1.37
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.32
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.8%
1.37
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.32
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
2.00
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.05
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Stabaek Win 61.8%
Draw 4.2%
hodd Win 34.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stabaek1.94
hodd1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stabaek Stabaek
WWDLW
54 GF / 30 GA
hodd hodd
WLDWL
26 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
2.25
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
15
BTTS Yes
11
17
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stabaek Stabaek 24 matches
hodd hodd 21 matches
Stabaek Statistic hodd
14 Wins 8
4 Draws 4
6 Losses 9
54 Goals For 26
30 Goals Against 31
2.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
15 BTTS Yes 11
21 Over 1.5 14
17 Over 2.5 10
12 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Stabaek expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and hodd in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward hodd having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring hodd. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Stabaek Analysis

Stabaek approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 27 points after 14 outings. With 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

hodd Analysis

hodd are currently 6 in the standings with 21 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, while the 22:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Stabaek won 2 times, hodd won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:2 from Stabaek's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Stabaek 4-2-3-1 / hodd 4-4-2
H2H summary: Stabaek wins 2, draws 1, hodd wins 0

Lineups

Stabaek
Formation
hodd
M. Ulla
M. Ulla
F. Riise
🎯
F. Riise
N. Naess
N. Naess
J. Skjelvik
J. Skjelvik
K. Ekorness
K. Ekorness
A. Matic
A. Matic
M. Lundemo
M. Lundemo
W. Wendt
🎯
W. Wendt
J. Hanstad
🎯
J. Hanstad
M. Dahlby
M. Dahlby
G. Rapp
⚽ 2
G. Rapp
T. Kinn
T. Kinn
J. Robertsen
J. Robertsen
M. Mulac
M. Mulac
S. Hanssen
S. Hanssen
M. Mikhail
M. Mikhail
H. Urnes
H. Urnes
I. Skotheim
I. Skotheim
M. Scarcella
M. Scarcella
T. Kallevag
T. Kallevag
C. Streete
C. Streete
V. H. Elveseter
V. H. Elveseter
Stabaek 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
22
M. Ulla
2
F. Riise
🎯 28' ↓ 71'
4
N. Naess
↓ 72'
5
J. Skjelvik
29
K. Ekorness
6
A. Matic
19
M. Lundemo
↓ 61'
23
W. Wendt
⚽ 28' 🎯 19' 🎯 45' ↓ 77' 🟨 33'
24
J. Hanstad
🎯 70' 🎯 78' 🟨 79'
8
M. Dahlby
⚽ 45'
20
G. Rapp
⚽ 19' ⚽ 60' ↓ 61'
Substitutes
1
K. Lokkevik
7
O. Solnordal
↑ 61'
14
E. Lereng
15
O. Veum
↑ 72'
16
A. Hoven
⚽ 78' ↑ 71'
18
O. Oppedal
31
A. Lie
33
A. Aamodt
⚽ 70' ↑ 61'
34
L. Myklebust
↑ 77'
hodd 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Kinn
24
J. Robertsen
↓ 77'
5
M. Mulac
3
S. Hanssen
↓ 41'
14
M. Mikhail
6
H. Urnes
🟨 90+1'
10
I. Skotheim
7
M. Scarcella
8
T. Kallevag
↓ 77'
9
C. Streete
↓ 68'
15
V. H. Elveseter
↓ 68'
Substitutes
30
C. Hansen
4
E. Blikstad
↑ 41'
11
M. Rawufu
↑ 68' 🟨 88'
19
S. Mikkelsen
↑ 77'
20
J. Berisha
↑ 68'
23
F. Gjerde
↑ 77'
Last matches: Stabaek
02.08.26
1.
Stabaek
Raufoss
2
0
W
03.07.26
1.
Stabaek
Ranheim
5
2
W
27.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Bryne
2
0
W
21.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Strommen
0
1
L
14.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Egersund
3
1
W
30.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Moss
2
2
D
25.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
0
W
20.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Sogndal
2
2
D
16.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Raufoss
1
2
L
10.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Sandnes ULF
1
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Lyn
4
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Haugesund
3
2
W
19.04.26
1.
Stabaek
ODD Ballklubb
2
2
D
12.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Asane
4
0
W
05.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Stromsgodset
1
2
L
29.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Moss
2
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Egersund
1
1
D
06.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Sogndal
1
0
W
26.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
Sandefjord
1
2
L
Last matches: hodd
02.08.26
1.
hodd
Moss
2
1
W
04.07.26
1.
hodd
Stromsgodset
4
3
W
27.06.26
1.
hodd
Lyn
4
1
W
21.06.26
1.
hodd
ODD Ballklubb
0
0
D
14.06.26
1.
hodd
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
31.05.26
1.
hodd
Bryne
0
1
L
25.05.26
1.
hodd
Egersund
3
1
W
20.05.26
1.
hodd
Ranheim
2
3
L
16.05.26
1.
hodd
Sogndal
2
2
D
10.05.26
1.
hodd
Strommen
2
1
W
01.05.26
1.
hodd
Asane
1
0
W
26.04.26
1.
hodd
Raufoss
1
1
D
18.04.26
1.
hodd
Haugesund
0
2
L
12.04.26
1.
hodd
Moss
0
1
L
07.04.26
1.
hodd
Sandnes ULF
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
hodd
Asane
1
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
hodd
Sogndal
1
5
L
17.02.26
Fri
hodd
Juventud Torremolinos
1
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
hodd
Træff
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
hodd
Aalesund
0
2
L
H2H: Stabaek vs hodd
27.07.26
H2H
Stabaek
hodd
6
0
W
25.10.25
H2H
hodd
Stabaek
1
3
W
31.03.25
H2H
Stabaek
hodd
1
1
D
Last matches: Stabaek
27.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Bryne
2
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Egersund
3
1
W
25.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Raufoss
1
2
L
26.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Haugesund
3
2
W
12.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Asane
4
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Moss
2
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Egersund
1
1
D
06.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Sogndal
1
0
W
22.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
Ranheim
5
2
W
23.01.26
Fri
Stabaek
Bærum
3
0
W
H2H at home: Stabaek
27.07.26
H2H
Stabaek
hodd
6
0
W
31.03.25
H2H
Stabaek
hodd
1
1
D
Last matches: hodd
27.06.26
1.
hodd
Lyn
4
1
W
21.06.26
1.
hodd
ODD Ballklubb
0
0
D
31.05.26
1.
hodd
Bryne
0
1
L
20.05.26
1.
hodd
Ranheim
2
3
L
10.05.26
1.
hodd
Strommen
2
1
W
26.04.26
1.
hodd
Raufoss
1
1
D
12.04.26
1.
hodd
Moss
0
1
L
21.03.26
Fri
hodd
Asane
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
hodd
Aalesund
0
2
L
23.01.26
Fri
hodd
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
H2H away: hodd
27.07.26
H2H
Stabaek
hodd
6
0
L
31.03.25
H2H
Stabaek
hodd
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.80
Draw 5.62
Home 1.37
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.36
Draw 3.03
Home 1.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.32
Over 3.0 1.47
Over 3.25 1.68
Over 3.5 1.88
Over 3.75 2.08
Over 4.0 2.43
Over 4.5 2.97
Over 5.5 5.26
Under 2.5 3.39
Under 3.0 2.71
Under 3.25 2.23
Under 3.5 1.96
Under 3.75 1.76
Under 4.0 1.57
Under 4.5 1.40
Under 5.5 1.16
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 5.25
Home 1.36
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.88
Home 1.73
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 3.20
Home 1.67
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 3.5 1.83
Over 4.5 3.00
Over 5.5 5.50
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Over 8.5 41.00
Under 0.5 23.00
Under 1.5 7.00
Under 2.5 3.10
Under 3.5 1.83
Under 4.5 1.36
Under 5.5 1.14
Under 6.5 1.05
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.32
Draw 5.10
Home 1.39
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.55
Draw 2.74
Home 1.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.40
Draw 3.30
Home 1.64
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.06
Over 1.75 1.08
Over 2.0 1.09
Over 2.25 1.20
Over 2.5 1.30
Over 2.75 1.38
Over 3.0 1.45
Over 3.25 1.67
Over 3.5 1.86
Over 3.75 2.02
Over 4.0 2.31
Over 4.25 2.54
Over 4.5 2.74
Over 4.75 3.22
Over 5.0 4.10
Over 5.25 4.40
Over 5.5 4.65
Over 6.0 7.50
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 19.00
Over 8.5 41.00
Under 0.5 18.50
Under 1.0 13.50
Under 1.5 6.25
Under 1.75 5.88
Under 2.0 5.40
Under 2.25 3.80
Under 2.5 2.97
Under 2.75 2.78
Under 3.0 2.46
Under 3.25 2.13
Under 3.5 1.89
Under 3.75 1.70
Under 4.0 1.51
Under 4.25 1.43
Under 4.5 1.35
Under 4.75 1.27
Under 5.0 1.16
Under 5.25 1.14
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.0 1.03
Under 6.5 1.06
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.40
Draw 4.90
Home 1.38
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.85
Home 1.79
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 3.30
Home 1.67
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.09
Over 2.5 1.33
Over 3.0 1.48
Over 3.25 1.67
Over 3.5 1.85
Over 3.75 2.06
Over 4.0 2.40
Over 4.25 2.65
Over 4.5 2.90
Over 4.75 3.45
Over 5.0 4.30
Over 5.5 4.80
Under 1.5 5.80
Under 2.5 2.95
Under 3.0 2.40
Under 3.25 2.04
Under 3.5 1.82
Under 3.75 1.65
Under 4.0 1.48
Under 4.25 1.40
Under 4.5 1.34
Under 4.75 1.25
Under 5.0 1.17
Under 5.5 1.13