NORWAY 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Nadderud Stadion
Referee: O. Valen
Stabaek
Match Timeline
Egersund
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
47'
S. Olderheim · Assist: W. Wendt
Stabaek
56'
S. Vatne · Assist: I. Jonsson
Egersund
🔄
60'
M. Lundemo ↔ B. Tobiassen
Stabaek
🔄
69'
J. Lynum ↔ N. Tornvig
Egersund
🟨
71'
N. Naess
Stabaek
74'
M. Dahlby · Assist: S. Olderheim
Stabaek
🔄
75'
W. Wendt ↔ A. Matic
Stabaek
🔄
75'
M. Haheim-Elveseter ↔ H. Kleppa
Egersund
🔄
75'
K. Eggen ↔ S. R. Michalsen
Egersund
🔄
86'
J. Hanstad ↔ A. Hoven
Stabaek
🔄
86'
O. Solnordal ↔ O. Boesen
Stabaek
88'
F. Riise · Assist: B. Tobiassen
Stabaek
🟨
89'
B. Maeland
Egersund
🔄
89'
H. Tadesse ↔ K. Saetherbo
Egersund
🔄
89'
S. Vatne ↔ P. Chrupalla
Egersund

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.5%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Stabaek Win 76.5%
Draw 4.8%
Egersund Win 18.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stabaek2
Egersund1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stabaek Stabaek
WWDLW
44 GF / 26 GA
Egersund Egersund
WLDWL
26 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
2.2
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
13
BTTS Yes
9
15
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stabaek Stabaek 20 matches
Egersund Egersund 16 matches
Stabaek Statistic Egersund
11 Wins 6
4 Draws 4
5 Losses 6
44 Goals For 26
26 Goals Against 27
2.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
13 BTTS Yes 9
18 Over 1.5 13
15 Over 2.5 10
10 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Stabaek's more proactive style and Egersund's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Egersund. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Egersund having the stronger overall control.

Stabaek Analysis

Stabaek arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 18 points after 10 matches. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 22:12 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Egersund Analysis

So far, Egersund have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 13 points from 10 matches. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 13:16 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Stabaek won 1 times, Egersund won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:13 from Stabaek's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Stabaek 4-2-3-1 / Egersund -
H2H summary: Stabaek wins 1, draws 2, Egersund wins 3

Lineups

Stabaek
Formation
Egersund
M. Ulla
M. Ulla
F. Riise
F. Riise
N. Naess
N. Naess
J. Skjelvik
J. Skjelvik
K. Ekorness
K. Ekorness
M. Lundemo
M. Lundemo
O. Solnordal
O. Solnordal
W. Wendt
🎯
W. Wendt
J. Hanstad
J. Hanstad
M. Dahlby
M. Dahlby
S. Olderheim
🎯
S. Olderheim
A. A. Lonning S.
A. A. Lonning S.
K. Eggen
K. Eggen
I. Jonsson
🎯
I. Jonsson
B. Maeland
B. Maeland
P. Hovland
P. Hovland
C. Sleveland
C. Sleveland
H. Tadesse
H. Tadesse
S. Vatne
S. Vatne
J. Lynum
J. Lynum
O. Kapskarmo
O. Kapskarmo
M. Haheim-Elveseter
M. Haheim-Elveseter
Stabaek 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
22
M. Ulla
2
F. Riise
⚽ 88'
4
N. Naess
🟨 71'
5
J. Skjelvik
29
K. Ekorness
19
M. Lundemo
↓ 60'
7
O. Solnordal
↓ 86'
23
W. Wendt
🎯 47' ↓ 75'
24
J. Hanstad
↓ 86'
8
M. Dahlby
⚽ 74'
10
S. Olderheim
⚽ 47' 🎯 74'
Substitutes
1
K. Lokkevik
6
A. Matic
↑ 75'
15
O. Veum
16
A. Hoven
↑ 86'
18
O. Oppedal
20
O. Boesen
↑ 86'
28
B. Tobiassen
🎯 88' ↑ 60'
33
A. Aamodt
34
L. Myklebust
Egersund 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. A. Lonning S.
21
K. Eggen
↓ 75'
31
I. Jonsson
🎯 56'
3
B. Maeland
🟨 89'
18
P. Hovland
8
C. Sleveland
22
H. Tadesse
↓ 89'
27
S. Vatne
⚽ 56' ↓ 89'
14
J. Lynum
↓ 69'
9
O. Kapskarmo
29
M. Haheim-Elveseter
↓ 75'
Substitutes
12
S. Bergene
2
H. Kleppa
↑ 75'
6
K. Saetherbo
↑ 89'
7
N. Tornvig
↑ 69'
10
S. R. Michalsen
↑ 75'
25
J. Gregersen
28
P. Chrupalla
↑ 89'
91
S. Davis
Last matches: Stabaek
03.07.26
1.
Stabaek
Ranheim
5
2
W
27.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Bryne
2
0
W
21.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Strommen
0
1
L
30.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Moss
2
2
D
25.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
0
W
20.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Sogndal
2
2
D
16.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Raufoss
1
2
L
10.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Sandnes ULF
1
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Lyn
4
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Haugesund
3
2
W
19.04.26
1.
Stabaek
ODD Ballklubb
2
2
D
12.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Asane
4
0
W
05.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Stromsgodset
1
2
L
29.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Moss
2
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Egersund
1
1
D
06.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Sogndal
1
0
W
26.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
Sandefjord
1
2
L
22.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
Ranheim
5
2
W
14.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
IFK Goteborg
2
4
L
Last matches: Egersund
04.07.26
1.
Egersund
Moss
3
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Egersund
Sogndal
2
4
L
21.06.26
1.
Egersund
Haugesund
5
2
W
31.05.26
1.
Egersund
Stromsgodset
0
5
L
25.05.26
1.
Egersund
hodd
1
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Egersund
Lyn
0
0
D
15.05.26
1.
Egersund
Sandnes ULF
2
4
L
11.05.26
1.
Egersund
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
06.05.26
1.
Egersund
Raufoss
2
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Egersund
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
27.04.26
1.
Egersund
Ranheim
3
0
W
19.04.26
1.
Egersund
Bryne
1
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Egersund
Strommen
3
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Egersund
Bryne
4
3
W
21.03.26
Fri
Egersund
Haugesund
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
Egersund
Stabaek
1
1
D
27.02.26
Fri
Egersund
Sandnes ULF
3
3
D
15.02.26
Fri
Egersund
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Egersund
Vidar
4
1
W
H2H: Stabaek vs Egersund
14.06.26
H2H
Stabaek
Egersund
3
1
W
13.03.26
H2H
Stabaek
Egersund
1
1
D
13.09.25
H2H
Egersund
Stabaek
1
1
D
18.06.25
H2H
Stabaek
Egersund
1
3
L
25.09.24
H2H
Egersund
Stabaek
2
1
L
27.05.24
H2H
Stabaek
Egersund
4
5
L
Last matches: Stabaek
27.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Bryne
2
0
W
25.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Raufoss
1
2
L
26.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Haugesund
3
2
W
12.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Asane
4
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Moss
2
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Egersund
1
1
D
06.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Sogndal
1
0
W
22.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
Ranheim
5
2
W
23.01.26
Fri
Stabaek
Bærum
3
0
W
H2H at home: Stabaek
14.06.26
H2H
Stabaek
Egersund
3
1
W
13.03.26
H2H
Stabaek
Egersund
1
1
D
18.06.25
H2H
Stabaek
Egersund
1
3
L
27.05.24
H2H
Stabaek
Egersund
4
5
L
Last matches: Egersund
27.06.26
1.
Egersund
Sogndal
2
4
L
25.05.26
1.
Egersund
hodd
1
3
L
15.05.26
1.
Egersund
Sandnes ULF
2
4
L
01.05.26
1.
Egersund
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Egersund
Strommen
3
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Egersund
Haugesund
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
Egersund
Stabaek
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fri
Egersund
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
H2H away: Egersund
14.06.26
H2H
Stabaek
Egersund
3
1
L
13.03.26
H2H
Stabaek
Egersund
1
1
D
18.06.25
H2H
Stabaek
Egersund
1
3
W
27.05.24
H2H
Stabaek
Egersund
4
5
W

Standings

OBOS-ligaen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 43:26 17 31
W W L W W
2 14 9 3 2 36:21 15 30
W L D W W
3 14 8 4 2 41:22 19 28
L D D W W
4 14 8 3 3 32:16 16 27
W W L W D
5 14 7 3 4 27:19 8 24
L D D L W
6 14 6 3 5 22:19 3 21
W W D L L
7 14 6 2 6 22:20 2 20
D W W W L
8 14 6 2 6 34:34 0 20
L L W L D
9 14 6 1 7 24:25 -1 19
W L W L L
10 14 5 2 7 19:23 -4 17
D L W W W
11 14 5 2 7 23:32 -9 17
L L L W D
12 14 4 3 7 25:36 -11 15
L W L L W
13 14 4 1 9 17:30 -13 13
W L L L L
14 14 4 1 9 17:31 -14 13
W L W L L
15 14 4 1 9 20:30 -10 12
L W L W L
16 14 3 2 9 18:36 -18 11
L W W L D
Promotion - Eliteserien
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)
Relegation