NORWAY 1. DIVISION
14.06.2026 14:00
Nadderud Stadion
Referee: O. Valen
Stabaek
Match Timeline
Egersund
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
47'
S. Olderheim · Assist: W. Wendt
Stabaek
56'
S. Vatne · Assist: I. Jonsson
Egersund
🔄
60'
M. Lundemo ↔ B. Tobiassen
Stabaek
🔄
69'
J. Lynum ↔ N. Tornvig
Egersund
🟨
71'
N. Naess
Stabaek
74'
M. Dahlby · Assist: S. Olderheim
Stabaek
🔄
75'
W. Wendt ↔ A. Matic
Stabaek
🔄
75'
M. Haheim-Elveseter ↔ H. Kleppa
Egersund
🔄
75'
K. Eggen ↔ S. R. Michalsen
Egersund
🔄
86'
J. Hanstad ↔ A. Hoven
Stabaek
🔄
86'
O. Solnordal ↔ O. Boesen
Stabaek
88'
F. Riise · Assist: B. Tobiassen
Stabaek
🟨
89'
B. Maeland
Egersund
🔄
89'
H. Tadesse ↔ K. Saetherbo
Egersund
🔄
89'
S. Vatne ↔ P. Chrupalla
Egersund

Stabaek vs Egersund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.5%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Stabaek Win 76.5%
Draw 4.8%
Egersund Win 18.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stabaek2
Egersund1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stabaek Stabaek
WWDLW
44 GF / 26 GA
Egersund Egersund
WLDWL
26 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
2.2
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
13
BTTS Yes
9
15
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stabaek Stabaek 20 matches
Egersund Egersund 16 matches
Stabaek Statistic Egersund
11 Wins 6
4 Draws 4
5 Losses 6
44 Goals For 26
26 Goals Against 27
2.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
13 BTTS Yes 9
18 Over 1.5 13
15 Over 2.5 10
10 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Stabaek's more proactive style and Egersund's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Egersund. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Egersund having the stronger overall control.

Stabaek Analysis

Stabaek arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 18 points after 10 matches. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 22:12 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Egersund Analysis

So far, Egersund have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 13 points from 10 matches. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 13:16 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Stabaek won 2 times, Egersund won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from Stabaek's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: Stabaek wins 2, draws 2, Egersund wins 3

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 1 5 68:37 31 49
W W W W L
2 22 14 5 3 63:34 29 47
D W D W W
3 22 13 6 3 58:31 27 45
W D W W W
4 22 13 3 6 55:28 27 42
L L L W W
5 22 10 4 8 37:40 -3 34
L D W L W
6 22 9 6 7 42:35 7 33
L D W L L
7 22 10 2 10 28:31 -3 32
W L L W W
8 22 8 5 9 35:39 -4 29
D D D L L
9 22 8 4 10 38:44 -6 28
W D D W W
10 22 7 4 11 52:57 -5 25
D D L L L
11 22 7 4 11 33:48 -15 25
D W W W L
12 22 7 3 12 31:40 -9 24
L D W L L
13 22 6 5 11 37:51 -14 23
D L L D W
14 22 6 4 12 36:51 -15 22
L W L D L
15 22 5 5 12 34:48 -14 20
D D D L W
16 22 6 1 15 26:59 -33 19
W L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation