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20.09.2026 14:00
Daio Wasabi Stayen
Referee: M. Ledda
St. Truiden
Match Timeline
KVC Westerlo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
36'
N. Bassette · Assist: C. Sandra
KVC Westerlo
⚽
46'
C. Sandra · Assist: I. Sakamoto
KVC Westerlo
🔄
60'
R. Araki ↔ N. Mbuku
St. Truiden
🔄
71'
I. Sakamoto ↔ P. Diong
KVC Westerlo
🔄
71'
S. Saito ↔ N. Storm
KVC Westerlo
🟨
73'
Visar Musliu
St. Truiden
🟨
73'
Norman Bassette
KVC Westerlo
🔄
75'
T. Hata ↔ J. Pupe
St. Truiden
🔄
75'
A. Sissako ↔ N. Ishiwatari
St. Truiden
🔄
75'
K. Matsuzawa ↔ O. Diouf
St. Truiden
🔄
78'
N. Bassette ↔ D. Amegnaglo
KVC Westerlo
🔄
78'
C. Congreve ↔ N. Bohamdi-Kamoni
KVC Westerlo

St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
St. Truiden Win 58.2%
Draw 8.5%
KVC Westerlo Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
St. Truiden1.96
KVC Westerlo1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
St. Truiden St. Truiden
WWDLW
30 GF / 20 GA
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo
WLDWL
19 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
2.07
6
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
9
4.38
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

St. Truiden St. Truiden 16 matches
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 15 matches
St. Truiden Statistic KVC Westerlo
8 Wins 3
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 8
30 Goals For 19
20 Goals Against 31
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 2.07
6 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 5
4.38 Shots On Goal 4.83
17 Total Shots 14.67
5.13 Corners 3.67
55.6% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and St. Truiden's more proactive style and KVC Westerlo's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KVC Westerlo. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

St. Truiden Analysis

St. Truiden are currently 10 in the standings with 8 points from 6 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 12:10 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Baždar (4 goals), R. Merlen (3 goals), I. Sebaoui (1 goals), with creative support from R. Merlen (3 assists), I. Sebaoui (3 assists), A. Sissako (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

KVC Westerlo Analysis

From their first 6 matches, KVC Westerlo have collected 7 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 13:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Saito (3 goals), N. Bassette (3 goals), I. Sakamoto (1 goals), with creative support from I. Sakamoto (2 assists), C. Congreve (2 assists), L. Flø (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, St. Truiden won 10 times, KVC Westerlo won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:18 from St. Truiden's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
Predicted formations: St. Truiden 4-2-3-1 / KVC Westerlo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: St. Truiden wins 10, draws 3, KVC Westerlo wins 2

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 15:4 11 22
W W D W W
2 8 7 0 1 19:4 15 21
W W W W L
3 8 7 0 1 16:7 9 21
W W W L W
4 8 6 2 0 22:4 18 20
D W W W W
5 8 5 1 2 9:6 3 16
W W W D W
6 8 4 1 3 20:17 3 13
W W W W D
7 8 3 3 2 16:12 4 12
W L D D W
8 8 3 2 3 10:9 1 11
L L L W D
9 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
L L L W W
10 8 3 2 3 9:9 0 11
W D L L W
11 8 3 0 5 8:14 -6 9
L L W W L
12 8 2 2 4 15:16 -1 8
L L L W L
13 8 2 1 5 12:20 -8 7
L L L L L
14 8 1 3 4 9:17 -8 6
W D L L D
15 8 1 2 5 6:14 -8 5
D W D L L
16 8 1 1 6 8:18 -10 4
L L W L D
17 8 1 0 7 2:18 -16 3
L W L L L
18 8 0 3 5 9:16 -7 3
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League