BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Daio Wasabi Stayen
Referee: J. Vergoote
St. Truiden
Match Timeline
KV Mechelen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
A. Muja · Assist: R. Yamamoto
St. Truiden
🟨
40'
Massimo Decoene
KV Mechelen
45'
T. Hata · Assist: A. Muja
St. Truiden
🔄
46'
D. Salifou ↔ B. Raman
KV Mechelen
🟨
48'
Redouane Halhal
KV Mechelen
🔄
63'
M. Servais ↔ B. Antonio
KV Mechelen
🟨
69'
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
St. Truiden
VAR
70'
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
St. Truiden
71'
R. Merlen
St. Truiden
🔄
74'
B. Boersma ↔ K. Vanrafelghem
KV Mechelen
🔄
79'
K. Mrabti ↔ M. Konate
KV Mechelen
🔄
79'
T. Koudou ↔ M. Kireev
KV Mechelen
🔄
81'
K. Goto ↔ O. Diouf
St. Truiden
🔄
81'
A. Muja ↔ K. Matsuzawa
St. Truiden
🔄
86'
S. Taniguchi ↔ W. Janssens
St. Truiden
🔄
86'
R. Yamamoto ↔ S. Shinkawa
St. Truiden
🟨
87'
Ryan Merlen
St. Truiden
🔄
89'
M. Lendfers ↔ J. Coppens
St. Truiden

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 93.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
93.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
St. Truiden Win 93.1%
Draw 0%
KV Mechelen Win 6.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
St. Truiden1.49
KV Mechelen1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
St. Truiden St. Truiden
WWDLW
58 GF / 46 GA
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
WLDWL
48 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.49
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.49
22
BTTS Yes
25
21
Over 2.5
18
4.38
Shots on Goal
3.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

St. Truiden St. Truiden 39 matches
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 39 matches
St. Truiden Statistic KV Mechelen
21 Wins 13
5 Draws 12
13 Losses 14
58 Goals For 48
46 Goals Against 58
1.49 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.49
22 BTTS Yes 25
31 Over 1.5 29
21 Over 2.5 18
10 Over 3.5 13
9 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 6
4.38 Shots On Goal 3.56
13.82 Total Shots 9.87
5.64 Corners 4.54
55.2% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. KV Mechelen arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St. Truiden expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and KV Mechelen in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KV Mechelen having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KV Mechelen.

St. Truiden Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 57 points from 30 games, St. Truiden bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 18 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats plus a goal balance of 47:35, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Goto (11 goals), R. Ito (10 goals), A. Bertaccini (6 goals), with creative support from K. Goto (7 assists), Ilias Sebaoui (5 assists), Rihito Yamamoto (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

KV Mechelen Analysis

With 45 points from 30 games and a place of 5, KV Mechelen still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 39:37, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. van Brederode (8 goals), L. Lauberbach (6 goals), K. Mrabti (5 goals), with creative support from P. Pflucke (8 assists), M. van Brederode (5 assists), Rob Schoofs (5 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, St. Truiden won 11 times, KV Mechelen won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:10 from St. Truiden's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: St. Truiden 4-2-3-1 / KV Mechelen 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: St. Truiden wins 11, draws 2, KV Mechelen wins 1
Stats
St. Truiden St. Truiden
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
2 Corner Kicks 2
6 Fouls 5
4 Offsides 0
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 0
384 Total passes 425
316 Passes accurate 336
1.52 expected_goals 0.42
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

St. Truiden
Formation
KV Mechelen
M. Lendfers
M. Lendfers
R. Vanwesemael
R. Vanwesemael
S. Taniguchi
S. Taniguchi
V. Musliu
V. Musliu
T. Hata
T. Hata
R. Yamamoto
🎯
R. Yamamoto
A. Sissako
A. Sissako
A. Muja
🎯
A. Muja
R. Merlen
R. Merlen
I. Sebaoui
I. Sebaoui
K. Goto
K. Goto
O. De Wolf
O. De Wolf
M. Decoene
M. Decoene
R. Halhal
R. Halhal
J. Marsa
J. Marsa
T. Koudou
T. Koudou
D. Salifou
D. Salifou
F. Hammar
F. Hammar
M. Servais
M. Servais
K. Mrabti
K. Mrabti
B. Boersma
B. Boersma
M. van Brederode
M. van Brederode
St. Truiden 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
21
M. Lendfers
↓ 89'
G
60
R. Vanwesemael
🟨 69'
D
5
S. Taniguchi
↓ 86'
D
26
V. Musliu
D
3
T. Hata
⚽ 45'
D
6
R. Yamamoto
🎯 24' ↓ 86'
M
8
A. Sissako
M
7
A. Muja
⚽ 24' 🎯 45' ↓ 81'
M
14
R. Merlen
⚽ 71' 🟨 87'
M
10
I. Sebaoui
M
42
K. Goto
↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Coppens
↑ 89'
G
18
S. Jukleroed
22
W. Janssens
↑ 86'
D
33
A. Diriken
M
99
S. Shinkawa
↑ 86'
F
23
J. Pupe
D
4
L. Mbe Soh
D
77
O. Diouf
↑ 81'
38
K. Matsuzawa
↑ 81'
F
KV Mechelen 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
O. De Wolf
G
39
M. Decoene
🟨 40'
D
2
R. Halhal
🟨 48'
D
3
J. Marsa
D
7
T. Koudou
↓ 79'
M
29
D. Salifou
↓ 46'
M
6
F. Hammar
M
17
M. Servais
↓ 63'
M
19
K. Mrabti
↓ 79'
F
28
B. Boersma
↓ 74'
F
9
M. van Brederode
F
Substitutes
15
T. Van Ingelgom
G
14
B. Raman
↑ 46'
F
8
M. Konate
↑ 79'
M
27
K. Vanrafelghem
↑ 74'
F
38
B. Antonio
↑ 63'
F
10
M. Kireev
↑ 79'
M
11
B. Bafdili
M
4
G. Diouf
D
18
I. Struyf
D
Last matches: St. Truiden
22.07.26
Fri
St. Truiden
Liège
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
St. Truiden
FC Luzern
2
1
W
15.07.26
Fri
St. Truiden
Patro Eisden
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
St. Truiden
Zepperen-Brustem
6
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
St. Truiden
Thes Sport
2
1
W
21.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Anderlecht
1
3
L
16.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Gent
1
1
D
09.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Club Brugge KV
0
2
L
02.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
2
1
W
26.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
4
1
W
23.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Anderlecht
2
0
W
19.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Gent
0
0
D
11.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
04.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
0
1
L
22.03.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
1
3
L
15.03.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Genk
0
1
L
08.03.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
2
1
W
28.02.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Antwerp
0
1
L
21.02.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Dender
4
1
W
15.02.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Zulte Waregem
3
2
W
Last matches: KV Mechelen
18.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
ADO Den Haag
2
3
L
15.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Heist
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Sporting Hasselt
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Rupel Boom
3
0
W
21.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
2
2
D
17.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
2
2
D
10.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
0
3
L
03.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Gent
1
0
W
26.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
1
4
L
22.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
1
6
L
18.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
2
L
12.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
0
1
L
06.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Gent
1
1
D
22.03.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
1
4
L
15.03.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
0
W
08.03.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Gent
1
3
L
28.02.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Zulte Waregem
2
1
W
22.02.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
2
0
W
13.02.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Genk
2
3
L
08.02.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Antwerp
2
0
W
H2H: St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen
24.05.26
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
3
0
W
26.04.26
H2H
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
1
4
W
21.12.25
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
1
0
W
04.10.25
H2H
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
1
3
W
21.02.25
H2H
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
1
1
D
08.11.24
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
2
1
W
12.05.24
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
2
1
W
05.04.24
H2H
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
2
3
W
03.12.23
H2H
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
0
2
W
17.09.23
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
2
0
W
11.03.23
H2H
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
1
0
L
27.08.22
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
3
1
W
04.03.22
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
06.11.21
H2H
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
0
1
W
02.07.21
H2H
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
0
0
D
Last matches: St. Truiden
16.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Gent
1
1
D
02.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
2
1
W
23.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Anderlecht
2
0
W
11.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
22.03.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
1
3
L
08.03.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
2
1
W
15.02.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Zulte Waregem
3
2
W
31.01.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Charleroi
0
2
L
18.01.26
Jup
St. Truiden
OH Leuven
1
0
W
21.12.25
Jup
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
1
0
W
06.12.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Club Brugge KV
3
2
W
09.11.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Standard Liege
1
0
W
02.11.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Antwerp
1
0
W
19.10.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Anderlecht
2
2
D
28.09.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Genk
1
2
L
14.09.25
Jup
St. Truiden
KVC Westerlo
0
3
L
17.08.25
Jup
St. Truiden
RAAL La Louvière
2
1
W
08.08.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Dender
2
0
W
27.07.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Gent
3
1
W
H2H at home: St. Truiden
24.05.26
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
3
0
W
21.12.25
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
1
0
W
08.11.24
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
2
1
W
12.05.24
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
2
1
W
17.09.23
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
2
0
W
27.08.22
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
3
1
W
04.03.22
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
Last matches: KV Mechelen
15.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Heist
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Sporting Hasselt
2
1
W
17.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
2
2
D
10.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
0
3
L
22.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
1
6
L
06.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Gent
1
1
D
22.03.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
1
4
L
08.03.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Gent
1
3
L
22.02.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
2
0
W
01.02.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
OH Leuven
2
2
D
17.01.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
0
1
L
21.12.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
0
1
L
13.12.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
Cercle Brugge
3
2
W
23.11.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
Genk
1
0
W
01.11.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
3
L
19.10.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
Dender
3
1
W
28.09.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
Charleroi
2
0
W
12.09.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
Standard Liege
1
1
D
24.08.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
Antwerp
1
2
L
09.08.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
KVC Westerlo
1
0
W
H2H away: KV Mechelen
24.05.26
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
3
0
L
21.12.25
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
1
0
L
08.11.24
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
2
1
L
12.05.24
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
2
1
L
17.09.23
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
2
0
L
27.08.22
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
3
1
L
04.03.22
H2H
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
1
1
D

Standings

Pro League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 28 4 8 91:45 46 57
W D W W W
2 40 25 11 4 66:27 39 53
W D L W L
3 40 22 5 13 61:46 15 43
W L D L W
4 40 15 10 15 59:62 -3 33
L W D D L
5 40 13 12 15 53:57 -4 29
W L D D D
6 40 13 12 15 48:61 -13 29
L D D L W
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs