Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
93.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
81%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
St. Truiden
39 matches
KV Mechelen
39 matches
| St. Truiden | Statistic | KV Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 13 |
| 5 | Draws | 12 |
| 13 | Losses | 14 |
| 58 | Goals For | 48 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 1.49 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.49 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.38 | Shots On Goal | 3.56 |
| 13.82 | Total Shots | 9.87 |
| 5.64 | Corners | 4.54 |
| 55.2% | Ball Possession | 49.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. KV Mechelen arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St. Truiden expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and KV Mechelen in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KV Mechelen having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KV Mechelen.
Operating from 3 place with 57 points from 30 games, St. Truiden bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 18 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats plus a goal balance of 47:35, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Goto (11 goals), R. Ito (10 goals), A. Bertaccini (6 goals), with creative support from K. Goto (7 assists), Ilias Sebaoui (5 assists), Rihito Yamamoto (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
With 45 points from 30 games and a place of 5, KV Mechelen still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 39:37, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. van Brederode (8 goals), L. Lauberbach (6 goals), K. Mrabti (5 goals), with creative support from P. Pflucke (8 assists), M. van Brederode (5 assists), Rob Schoofs (5 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, St. Truiden won 11 times, KV Mechelen won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:10 from St. Truiden's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.
St. Truiden
3
1
6
5
2
1
Lineups
St. Truiden
Liège
St. Truiden
FC Luzern
St. Truiden
Patro Eisden
St. Truiden
Zepperen-Brustem
St. Truiden
Thes Sport
St. Truiden
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
Gent
St. Truiden
Club Brugge KV
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
Gent
St. Truiden
Club Brugge KV
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
Genk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
St. Truiden
Antwerp
St. Truiden
Dender
St. Truiden
Zulte Waregem
KV Mechelen
ADO Den Haag
KV Mechelen
Heist
KV Mechelen
Sporting Hasselt
KV Mechelen
Rupel Boom
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen
Gent
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen
Gent
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
Gent
KV Mechelen
Zulte Waregem
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
KV Mechelen
Genk
KV Mechelen
Antwerp
St. Truiden
Gent
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
Club Brugge KV
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
St. Truiden
Zulte Waregem
St. Truiden
Charleroi
St. Truiden
OH Leuven
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
Club Brugge KV
St. Truiden
Standard Liege
St. Truiden
Antwerp
St. Truiden
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
Genk
St. Truiden
KVC Westerlo
St. Truiden
RAAL La Louvière
St. Truiden
Dender
St. Truiden
Gent
KV Mechelen
Heist
KV Mechelen
Sporting Hasselt
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
KV Mechelen
Gent
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
KV Mechelen
Gent
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
KV Mechelen
OH Leuven
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
Genk
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
Dender
KV Mechelen
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
Standard Liege
KV Mechelen
Antwerp
KV Mechelen
KVC Westerlo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 40 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 91:45 | 46 | 57 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 40 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 66:27 | 39 | 53 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
St. Truiden
Home
|
40 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 61:46 | 15 | 43 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 4 | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 59:62 | -3 | 33 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 53:57 | -4 | 29 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 |
KV Mechelen
Away
|
40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 48:61 | -13 | 29 |
L
D
D
L
W
|