Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
St Patrick's Athl. Win 54.1%
Draw 4.4%
Waterford Win 41.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
St Patrick's Athl.1.65
Waterford1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
St Patrick's Athl.
WWDLW
51 GF / 28 GA
Waterford
WLDWL
50 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.43
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.66
14
BTTS Yes
21
12
Over 2.5
18
5.11
Shots on Goal
3.68
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
St Patrick's Athl.
31 matches
Waterford
35 matches
| St Patrick's Athl. | Statistic | Waterford |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 11 |
| 9 | Draws | 11 |
| 7 | Losses | 13 |
| 51 | Goals For | 50 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 0.9 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.66 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 5.11 | Shots On Goal | 3.68 |
| 15.61 | Total Shots | 12.39 |
| 5.43 | Corners | 4.79 |
| 52.3% | Ball Possession | 38% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, St Patrick's Athl. won 7 times, Waterford won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:15 from St Patrick's Athl.'s perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: St Patrick's Athl. 3-5-2 / Waterford 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: St Patrick's Athl. wins 7, draws 5, Waterford wins 3
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
21.08.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
2
1
W
02.08.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Doncaster
2
4
L
10.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
3
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
2
L
19.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
4
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
1
W
17.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
3
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
0
2
L
Last matches: Waterford
21.08.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
09.08.26
Pre
Waterford
Bohemians
3
1
W
02.08.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
0
W
25.07.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
0
0
D
10.07.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
4
2
W
26.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
3
2
W
19.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
4
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
3
3
D
22.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
2
L
18.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
04.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
3
3
D
01.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
24.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Bohemians
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
H2H: St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford
10.07.26
H2H
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
08.05.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
4
1
W
20.03.26
H2H
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
W
24.10.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
1
1
D
03.08.25
H2H
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
W
23.05.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
2
D
28.03.25
H2H
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
2
W
20.09.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
3
0
W
04.07.24
H2H
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
L
19.04.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
1
1
D
04.03.24
H2H
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
3
1
L
11.02.23
H2H
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
W
31.07.22
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
3
L
19.11.21
H2H
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
13.08.21
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
1
W
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
02.08.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
3
0
W
19.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
4
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
16.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
4
1
W
02.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
4
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Cork City
1
1
D
07.08.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Beşiktaş
1
4
L
24.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
10.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Hegelmann Litauen
1
0
W
H2H at home: St Patrick's Athl.
08.05.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
4
1
W
24.10.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
1
1
D
23.05.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
2
D
20.09.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
3
0
W
19.04.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
1
1
D
31.07.22
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
3
L
13.08.21
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
1
W
Last matches: Waterford
21.08.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
0
0
D
03.07.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
4
2
W
26.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
3
2
W
29.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
3
3
D
22.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
01.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Bohemians
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
3
4
L
13.03.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
0
5
L
27.02.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
2
4
L
13.02.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
0
2
L
23.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Wexford
1
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Cork City
0
1
L
10.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Cobh Ramblers
3
1
W
06.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Bray Wanderers
2
1
W
H2H away: Waterford
08.05.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
4
1
L
24.10.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
1
1
D
23.05.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
2
D
20.09.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
3
0
L
19.04.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
1
1
D
31.07.22
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
3
W
13.08.21
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
1
L