IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
11.09.2026 19:00
Richmond Park
St Patrick's Athl.
Match Timeline
Shamrock Rovers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
Jason McClelland · Assist: Jamie Lennon
St Patrick's Athl.
🟨
32'
Roberto Lopes
Shamrock Rovers
33'
Aidan Keena · Assist: Zachary Elbouzedi
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
45'
Tunmise Sobowale ↔ Adam Brennan
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
50'
Ryan Sheridan
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
56'
Jack Byrne ↔ Jake Mulraney
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
67'
Aidan Keena ↔ James Brown
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
67'
Ryan Edmondson ↔ Anthony Olusanya
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
67'
Daniel Cleary ↔ Jonathan Afolabi
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
68'
Michael Noonan ↔ John McGovern
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
68'
Zachary Elbouzedi ↔ Romal Palmer
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
72'
Ryan Sheridan ↔ Christopher Forrester
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
73'
Graham Burke ↔ Cory O'Sullivan
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
79'
Jason McClelland ↔ Anto Breslin
St Patrick's Athl.
🟨
80'
Cory O'Sullivan
Shamrock Rovers

St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.4%
Odds 2.19
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 2.09
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.4%
2.19
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
2.09
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.4%
1.23
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
St Patrick's Athl. Win 70.4%
Draw 7.8%
Shamrock Rovers Win 21.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
St Patrick's Athl.1.37
Shamrock Rovers1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
WWDLW
51 GF / 30 GA
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
WLDWL
68 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.7
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
14
BTTS Yes
21
12
Over 2.5
19
5.21
Shots on Goal
4.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 32 matches
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 40 matches
St Patrick's Athl. Statistic Shamrock Rovers
15 Wins 22
9 Draws 9
8 Losses 9
51 Goals For 68
30 Goals Against 41
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
14 BTTS Yes 21
25 Over 1.5 29
12 Over 2.5 19
9 Over 3.5 12
11 Clean Sheets 14
10 Failed To Score 8
5.21 Shots On Goal 4.3
16.03 Total Shots 10.89
5.59 Corners 3.84
53.1% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Shamrock Rovers. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

St Patrick's Athl. Analysis

St Patrick's Athl. arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 50 points after 29 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 45:25 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kian Leavy (4 goals), Ryan Edmondson (4 goals), Zac Elbouzedi (3 goals), with creative support from Zac Elbouzedi (3 assists), Luke Turner (3 assists), Aidan Keena (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Shamrock Rovers Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 55 points from 28 games, Shamrock Rovers bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 16 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 46:27, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Graham Burke (6 goals), Michael Noonan (4 goals), John McGovern (3 goals), with creative support from John McGovern (2 assists), Jack Byrne (2 assists), Dylan Watts (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, St Patrick's Athl. won 5 times, Shamrock Rovers won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:25 from St Patrick's Athl.'s perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: St Patrick's Athl. 3-5-2 / Shamrock Rovers 3-5-2
H2H summary: St Patrick's Athl. wins 5, draws 2, Shamrock Rovers wins 8

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 52:25 27 59
W W W L W
2 31 17 8 6 49:31 18 59
W L D D W
3 31 16 8 7 55:37 18 56
W W W W L
4 32 9 14 9 45:42 3 41
W D W D L
5 32 10 11 11 49:53 -4 41
L L D W L
6 31 9 12 10 41:44 -3 39
W L L D D
7 31 9 10 12 41:47 -6 37
L W L D W
8 32 7 13 12 44:54 -10 34
L D D W D
9 32 8 10 14 38:51 -13 34
L W W L L
10 32 5 8 19 24:54 -30 23
L L L L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation