Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
79.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
St Patrick's Athl.
21 matches
Drogheda United
22 matches
| St Patrick's Athl. | Statistic | Drogheda United |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 5 | Losses | 8 |
| 35 | Goals For | 30 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.21 | Shots On Goal | 3.53 |
| 16.11 | Total Shots | 9.79 |
| 5.32 | Corners | 3.89 |
| 53% | Ball Possession | 40.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around St Patrick's Athl.'s more proactive style and Drogheda United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Drogheda United. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. St Patrick's Athl. arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 32 points compared to Drogheda United in 8 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Placed 3 with 32 points from 19 outings, St Patrick's Athl. continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 31:17 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Edmondson (8 goals), K. Leavy (4 goals), A. Keena (3 goals), with creative support from K. Leavy (3 assists), Z. Elbouzedi (3 assists), J. Lennon (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
From their first 19 matches, Drogheda United have collected 21 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 25:32 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Doyle (8 goals), Conor Keeley (3 goals), W. Davis (3 goals), with creative support from B. Kavanagh (4 assists), K. Cruise (2 assists), Conor Keeley (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, St Patrick's Athl. won 8 times, Drogheda United won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:8 from St Patrick's Athl.'s perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
St Patrick's Athl.
5
3
7
3
10
5
Lineups
St Patrick's Athl.
Doncaster
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Cork City
St Patrick's Athl.
Beşiktaş
St Patrick's Athl.
Kalju Nomme
St Patrick's Athl.
Hegelmann Litauen
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bray Wanderers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 |
St Patrick's Athl.
Home
|
24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Drogheda United
Away
|
24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
| 9 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|