IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Richmond Park
St Patrick's Athl.
Match Timeline
Bohemians
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
M. Strods · Assist: D. James-Taylor
Bohemians
10'
R. Edmondson · Assist: L. Turner
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
22'
A. Keena ↔ C. Forrester
St Patrick's Athl.
42'
J. Lennon
St Patrick's Athl.
🟨
52'
Adam McDonnell
Bohemians
53'
R. Edmondson · Assist: C. Forrester
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
61'
A. McDonnell ↔ C. Whelan
Bohemians
🔄
61'
R. Tierney ↔ Z. Myers
Bohemians
🔄
61'
D. Rooney ↔ S. Diallo
Bohemians
🔄
67'
Z. Elbouzedi ↔ A. Breslin
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
69'
D. James-Taylor ↔ L. Kavanagh
Bohemians
🔄
81'
S. Mullen ↔ C. Parsons
Bohemians
🔄
89'
J. Brown ↔ R. Boyce
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
89'
R. Edmondson ↔ D. Nugent
St Patrick's Athl.

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 72.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
72.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
63.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
52.6%
-
Probability Distribution
St Patrick's Athl. Win 44.5%
Draw 28.1%
Bohemians Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
St Patrick's Athl.1.41
Bohemians1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
WWDLW
25 GF / 11 GA
Bohemians Bohemians
WLDWL
27 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
5
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
8
6.08
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 14 matches
Bohemians Bohemians 18 matches
St Patrick's Athl. Statistic Bohemians
8 Wins 8
3 Draws 7
3 Losses 3
25 Goals For 27
11 Goals Against 15
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
5 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 4
6.08 Shots On Goal 5.67
17.75 Total Shots 15.75
5.33 Corners 6.08
54% Ball Possession 58.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St Patrick's Athl. expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Bohemians in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bohemians having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Bohemians. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

St Patrick's Athl. Analysis

St Patrick's Athl. come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 23 points after 12 matches. With 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 18:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by R. Edmondson (4 goals), A. Keena (3 goals), K. Leavy (3 goals), with creative support from K. Leavy (2 assists), J. Lennon (2 assists), J. McClelland (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Bohemians Analysis

Bohemians arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 20 points after 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, while the 13:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Whelan (6 goals), Patrick Hickey (2 goals), C. Parsons (1 goals), with creative support from M. Strods (2 assists), C. Whelan (1 assists), D. Rooney (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, St Patrick's Athl. won 5 times, Bohemians won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:11 from St Patrick's Athl.'s perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (72.5%)
Predicted formations: St Patrick's Athl. 4-4-2 / Bohemians 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: St Patrick's Athl. wins 5, draws 7, Bohemians wins 3
Stats
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians Bohemians
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
7 Corner Kicks 6
10 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 8
6 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
351 Total passes 541
248 Passes accurate 452
1.49 expected_goals 1.13
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

St Patrick's Athl.
Formation
Bohemians
J. Anang
J. Anang
J. Brown
J. Brown
J. Redmond
J. Redmond
T. Grivosti
T. Grivosti
L. Turner
🎯
L. Turner
K. Leavy
K. Leavy
J. Lennon
J. Lennon
B. Baggley
B. Baggley
Z. Elbouzedi
Z. Elbouzedi
R. Edmondson
⚽ 2
R. Edmondson
A. Keena
A. Keena
K. Chorazka
K. Chorazka
D. Power
D. Power
P. Hickey
P. Hickey
S. Todd
S. Todd
S. Mullen
S. Mullen
A. McDonnell
A. McDonnell
D. Devoy
D. Devoy
D. Rooney
D. Rooney
R. Tierney
R. Tierney
M. Strods
M. Strods
D. James-Taylor
🎯
D. James-Taylor
St Patrick's Athl. 4-4-2
Starting XI
94
J. Anang
G
23
J. Brown
↓ 89'
D
4
J. Redmond
D
5
T. Grivosti
D
24
L. Turner
🎯 10'
D
10
K. Leavy
M
6
J. Lennon
⚽ 42'
M
19
B. Baggley
M
7
Z. Elbouzedi
↓ 67'
M
27
R. Edmondson
⚽ 10' ⚽ 53' ↓ 89'
F
9
A. Keena
↓ 22'
F
Substitutes
49
S. Molloy
G
2
S. Hoare
D
11
J. McClelland
F
15
R. Boyce
↑ 89'
D
35
S. Rooney
F
8
C. Forrester
🎯 53' ↑ 22'
M
3
A. Breslin
↑ 67'
D
16
D. Nugent
↑ 89'
M
42
G. Nzingo
M
Bohemians 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
K. Chorazka
G
16
D. Power
D
12
P. Hickey
D
22
S. Todd
D
15
S. Mullen
↓ 81'
D
17
A. McDonnell
↓ 61' 🟨 52'
M
10
D. Devoy
M
11
D. Rooney
↓ 61'
M
26
R. Tierney
↓ 61'
M
32
M. Strods
⚽ 1'
M
18
D. James-Taylor
🎯 1' ↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
25
P. Walters
G
9
C. Whelan
↑ 61'
F
4
N. Morahan
M
20
L. Kavanagh
↑ 69'
D
23
Z. Myers
↑ 61'
D
5
S. Diallo
↑ 61'
M
3
R. Burke
D
7
C. Parsons
↑ 81'
F
24
C. Byrne
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
24.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Doncaster
2
4
L
10.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
3
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
2
L
19.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
4
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
2
D
17.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
3
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
0
W
16.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
4
1
W
Last matches: Bohemians
22.07.26
UEF
Bohemians
Ballkani
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Bohemians
St Joseph S Fc
0
0
D
09.07.26
UEF
Bohemians
St Joseph S Fc
2
0
W
03.07.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
2
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
22.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
3
0
W
19.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
1
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
4
L
29.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
3
1
W
25.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
22.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
4
2
W
15.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
2
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
3
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
10.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Waterford
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
1
1
D
H2H: St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians
26.06.26
H2H
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
L
24.04.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
1
W
08.02.26
H2H
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
20.10.25
H2H
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
04.07.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
0
D
25.04.25
H2H
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
2
1
L
14.03.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
0
W
14.10.24
H2H
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
W
28.06.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
0
D
24.05.24
H2H
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
23.02.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
1
L
26.01.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
1
1
D
12.11.23
H2H
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
W
20.10.23
H2H
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
W
11.08.23
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
0
D
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
24.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
3
0
W
19.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
4
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
16.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
4
1
W
02.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
4
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Cork City
1
1
D
07.08.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Beşiktaş
1
4
L
24.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
10.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Hegelmann Litauen
1
0
W
H2H at home: St Patrick's Athl.
24.04.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
1
W
04.07.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
0
D
14.03.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
0
W
28.06.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
0
D
23.02.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
1
L
26.01.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
1
1
D
11.08.23
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
0
D
Last matches: Bohemians
16.07.26
UEF
Bohemians
St Joseph S Fc
0
0
D
03.07.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
2
0
W
22.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
3
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
4
L
29.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
3
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
4
2
W
08.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
3
1
W
17.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
0
D
16.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Waterford
1
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
4
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Bohemians
Waterford
4
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
Bohemians
Drogheda United
1
1
D
H2H away: Bohemians
24.04.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
1
L
04.07.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
0
D
14.03.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
0
L
28.06.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
0
D
23.02.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
1
W
26.01.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
1
1
D
11.08.23
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 5 5 40:22 18 50
W W D W L
2 25 12 7 6 40:21 19 43
D D W L W
3 25 12 7 6 40:27 13 43
W W W L L
4 25 9 9 7 39:37 2 36
D L L L W
5 24 8 10 6 35:35 0 34
W D L D W
6 25 6 11 8 32:31 1 29
L W D L W
7 23 7 6 10 32:39 -7 27
W L L W L
8 24 6 7 11 29:41 -12 25
W L L D L
9 24 4 9 11 33:47 -14 21
D W W L W
10 24 5 5 14 20:40 -20 20
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1