Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
ST Mirren Win 0%
Draw 0%
Motherwell Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
ST Mirren1.9
Motherwell1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
ST Mirren
WWDLW
7 GF / 2 GA
Motherwell
WLDWL
13 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.63
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
1
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
4
4.5
Shots on Goal
2
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
ST Mirren
3 matches
Motherwell
8 matches
| ST Mirren | Statistic | Motherwell |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 0 | Losses | 2 |
| 7 | Goals For | 13 |
| 2 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 2 |
| 14 | Total Shots | 3.33 |
| 6 | Corners | 1.67 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 34.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, ST Mirren won 4 times, Motherwell won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:21 from ST Mirren's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Predicted formations: ST Mirren 4-2-3-1 / Motherwell 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: ST Mirren wins 4, draws 4, Motherwell wins 7
Last matches: ST Mirren
08.08.26
Pre
ST Mirren
ST Johnstone
1
0
W
01.08.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Falkirk
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
ST Mirren
Arbroath
4
2
W
25.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Partick
1
0
W
21.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Partick
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
3
L
02.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Livingston
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Celtic
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Falkirk
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Rangers
0
1
L
03.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Livingston
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
5
L
14.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Hibernian
0
2
L
11.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
3
4
L
03.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
Last matches: Motherwell
13.08.26
UEF
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
0
D
06.08.26
UEF
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
2
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
3
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Genk
3
4
L
05.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Aarhus
0
4
L
16.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
1
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
5
0
W
H2H: ST Mirren vs Motherwell
21.02.26
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
5
L
03.01.26
H2H
Motherwell
ST Mirren
2
0
L
01.11.25
H2H
Motherwell
ST Mirren
1
4
W
09.08.25
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
0
D
15.03.25
H2H
Motherwell
ST Mirren
2
2
D
07.12.24
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
1
L
28.09.24
H2H
Motherwell
ST Mirren
2
1
L
30.03.24
H2H
Motherwell
ST Mirren
1
1
D
16.12.23
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
0
D
16.09.23
H2H
Motherwell
ST Mirren
0
1
W
19.08.23
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
1
0
W
15.02.23
H2H
Motherwell
ST Mirren
2
1
L
28.01.23
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
1
0
W
31.07.22
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
1
L
02.04.22
H2H
Motherwell
ST Mirren
4
2
L
Last matches: ST Mirren
08.08.26
Pre
ST Mirren
ST Johnstone
1
0
W
25.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Partick
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Livingston
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Rangers
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
5
L
03.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
31.01.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee
0
0
D
10.01.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Falkirk
0
2
L
27.12.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
0
D
20.12.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Livingston
1
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
22.11.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Celtic
0
1
L
08.11.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Hibernian
0
3
L
29.10.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
2
2
D
18.10.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
0
1
L
27.09.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee
1
0
W
24.08.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Rangers
1
1
D
H2H at home: ST Mirren
21.02.26
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
5
L
09.08.25
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
0
D
07.12.24
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
1
L
16.12.23
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
0
D
19.08.23
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
1
0
W
28.01.23
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
1
0
W
31.07.22
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
1
L
Last matches: Motherwell
06.08.26
UEF
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
2
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
3
0
W
05.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Aarhus
0
4
L
16.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
1
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
5
0
W
31.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
Livingston
2
0
W
10.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
1
1
D
27.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
0
1
L
13.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
0
0
D
03.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
0
D
22.11.25
Pre
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
3
1
W
09.11.25
Pre
Motherwell
Aberdeen
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pre
Motherwell
Livingston
2
1
W
05.10.25
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
L
H2H away: Motherwell
21.02.26
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
5
W
09.08.25
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
0
D
07.12.24
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
1
W
16.12.23
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
0
D
19.08.23
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
1
0
L
28.01.23
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
1
0
L
31.07.22
H2H
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
1
W
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
ST Mirren
Home
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
|
| 3 |
Motherwell
Away
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)