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30.08.2026 14:00
The SMISA Stadium
Referee: Kevin Clancy, Scotland
ST Mirren
Match Timeline
Motherwell
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
Tawanda Maswanhise · Assist: Alex Lowry
Motherwell
VAR
13'
Emmanuel Longelo
Motherwell
⚽
15'
Tawanda Maswanhise
Motherwell
⚽
24'
Regan Charles-Cook
Motherwell
⚽
39'
Paul Nsio · Assist: Samuel Ramos
ST Mirren
⚽
44'
Declan John · Assist: Samuel Ramos
ST Mirren
⚽
45+4'
Samuel Ramos · Assist: Alexander Gogić
ST Mirren
🔄
46'
Tom Sparrow ↔ Stephen O'Donnell
Motherwell
🟨
47'
Stephen O'Donnell
Motherwell
🟨
52'
Martin Moormann
Motherwell
🔄
58'
Tawanda Maswanhise ↔ Jardell Kanga
Motherwell
🔄
58'
Regan Charles-Cook ↔ Sebastian Palmer-Houlden
Motherwell
🔄
61'
Chris Mochrie ↔ Fraser Taylor
ST Mirren
🔄
61'
Calvin Ramsay ↔ Jayden Richardson
ST Mirren
🔄
61'
Nikolas Agrafiotis ↔ Eseosa Sule
ST Mirren
🔄
71'
Samuel Ramos ↔ Luke Thomas
ST Mirren
🔄
71'
Joe Hodge ↔ Dylan Williams
Motherwell
🔄
73'
Ibrahim Said ↔ Eythor Bjørgolfsson
Motherwell
🔄
75'
Ismeal Kabia ↔ Jake Young
ST Mirren
🟨
85'
Ryan Carr
ST Mirren
🟨
89'
Jake Young
ST Mirren
⚽
90+3'
Jardell Kanga
Motherwell

ST Mirren vs Motherwell Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
90.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
ST Mirren Win 36.3%
Draw 11.2%
Motherwell Win 52.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
ST Mirren2.08
Motherwell1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
ST Mirren ST Mirren
W W W
7 GF / 2 GA
Motherwell Motherwell
L L W D D
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
1
BTTS Yes
5
1
Over 2.5
6
4.5
Shots on Goal
1.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ST Mirren ST Mirren 3 matches
Motherwell Motherwell 10 matches
ST Mirren Statistic Motherwell
3 Wins 4
0 Draws 2
0 Losses 4
7 Goals For 15
2 Goals Against 17
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
1 BTTS Yes 5
2 Over 1.5 9
1 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 2
4.5 Shots On Goal 1.75
14 Total Shots 3.25
6 Corners 1.63
47% Ball Possession 34.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, ST Mirren won 4 times, Motherwell won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:21 from ST Mirren's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
Predicted formations: ST Mirren 4-2-3-1 / Motherwell 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: ST Mirren wins 4, draws 4, Motherwell wins 7

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 9 1 2 27:10 17 28
L D W W W
2 11 7 3 1 19:9 10 24
D W D W W
3 11 6 2 3 24:17 7 20
D W L W D
4 12 5 3 4 15:12 3 18
W W W W L
5 11 5 2 4 17:13 4 17
W L D W W
6 11 4 4 3 16:16 0 16
D W D W W
7 12 3 5 4 15:19 -4 14
D D L D W
8 12 4 2 6 12:20 -8 14
L D W L L
9 12 3 3 6 14:20 -6 12
W D L L L
10 11 3 2 6 12:14 -2 11
L L W L D
11 12 2 3 7 13:28 -15 9
D L L W L
12 11 2 2 7 11:17 -6 8
D L L L D
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)