🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
CITYPARK
Referee: C. Penso
St. Louis City
Match Timeline
Real Salt Lake
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Z. Booth
Real Salt Lake
🟨
28'
E. Lowen
St. Louis City
🟨
29'
P. Quinton
Real Salt Lake
🟨
40'
D. Yedlin
Real Salt Lake
🟨
43'
C. Durkin
St. Louis City
🔄
45+1'
G. Dillon ↔ S. Spierings
Real Salt Lake
🔄
46'
Lineker Rodrigues ↔ S. Lobjanidze
Real Salt Lake
60'
S. Solans · Assist: S. Lobjanidze
Real Salt Lake
🔄
65'
E. Lowen ↔ M. Hartel
St. Louis City
🔄
65'
C. Durkin ↔ A. Matan
St. Louis City
73'
M. Hartel
St. Louis City
🔄
78'
D. Luna ↔ V. Olatunji
Real Salt Lake
🟨
80'
S. Jeong
St. Louis City
🔄
84'
S. Jeong ↔ T. Ostrak
St. Louis City
🔄
90+1'
S. Solans ↔ A. Hezarkhani
Real Salt Lake
🔄
90+1'
Z. Booth ↔ D. Marczuk
Real Salt Lake
🔄
90+2'
S. Becher ↔ P. Ault
St. Louis City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds 2.04
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.52
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.8%
2.04
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.52
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
St. Louis City Win 70.8%
Draw 5.4%
Real Salt Lake Win 23.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
St. Louis City1.37
Real Salt Lake1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
St. Louis City St. Louis City
WWDLW
27 GF / 31 GA
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WLDWL
38 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.9
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
12
BTTS Yes
16
10
Over 2.5
15
4.53
Shots on Goal
5.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

St. Louis City St. Louis City 21 matches
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 20 matches
St. Louis City Statistic Real Salt Lake
8 Wins 10
5 Draws 4
8 Losses 6
27 Goals For 38
31 Goals Against 30
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
12 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 19
10 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 2
4.53 Shots On Goal 5.69
14.35 Total Shots 15.44
6.18 Corners 4.75
50.6% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Real Salt Lake's more proactive style and St. Louis City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Salt Lake. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. St. Louis City come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

St. Louis City Analysis

So far, St. Louis City have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 22 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 22:23 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Marcel Hartel (3 goals), Eduard Löwen (2 goals), Jeong Sang-bin (2 goals), with creative support from Marcel Hartel (3 assists), Simon Becher (3 assists), Eduard Löwen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Real Salt Lake arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 26 points after 15 matches. The record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 27:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Zavier Gozo (4 goals), Sergi Solans (3 goals), Diego Luna (3 goals), with creative support from Sergi Solans (3 assists), Zavier Gozo (2 assists), Juan Sanabria (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City won 1 times, Real Salt Lake won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from St. Louis City's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: St. Louis City 3-4-3 / Real Salt Lake 3-4-3
H2H summary: St. Louis City wins 1, draws 3, Real Salt Lake wins 3
Stats
St. Louis City St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
10
Blocked Shots
3
9 Corner Kicks 4
12 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 2
10 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 5
9 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
651 Total passes 317
576 Passes accurate 250
1.71 expected_goals 1.24
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

St. Louis City
Formation
Real Salt Lake
Roman Bürki
Roman Bürki
Lukas MacNaughton
Lukas MacNaughton
Timo Baumgartl
Timo Baumgartl
Dante Polvara
Dante Polvara
Conrad Wallem
Conrad Wallem
Daniel Edelman
Daniel Edelman
Christopher Durkin
Christopher Durkin
Tomas Totland
Tomas Totland
Jeong Sang-bin
Jeong Sang-bin
Eduard Löwen
Eduard Löwen
Simon Becher
Simon Becher
Rafael Cabral
Rafael Cabral
DeAndre Yedlin
DeAndre Yedlin
Philip Quinton
Philip Quinton
Sam Junqua
Sam Junqua
Zach Booth
Zach Booth
Griffin Dillon
Griffin Dillon
Noel Caliskan
Noel Caliskan
Juan Sanabria
Juan Sanabria
Diego Luna
Diego Luna
Lineker Rodrigues
Lineker Rodrigues
Sergi Solans
Sergi Solans
St. Louis City 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Roman Bürki
G
5
Lukas MacNaughton
D
32
Timo Baumgartl
D
21
Dante Polvara
D
6
Conrad Wallem
M
24
Daniel Edelman
M
8
Christopher Durkin
↓ 65' 🟨 43'
M
14
Tomas Totland
M
77
Jeong Sang-bin
↓ 84' 🟨 80'
F
10
Eduard Löwen
↓ 65' 🟨 28'
F
11
Simon Becher
↓ 90+2'
F
Substitutes
23
Alexandru Mățan
↑ 65'
M
17
Marcel Hartel
⚽ 73' ↑ 65'
M
7
Tomáš Ostrák
↑ 84'
M
29
Palmer Ault
↑ 90+2'
M
39
Benjamin Lundt
G
27
Fallou Fall
D
28
Miguel Perez
M
59
Mykhi Joyner
M
20
Rafael Santos
D
Real Salt Lake 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
Rafael Cabral
G
2
DeAndre Yedlin
🟨 40'
D
26
Philip Quinton
🟨 29'
D
29
Sam Junqua
D
23
Zach Booth
↓ 90+1' 🟨 6'
M
27
Griffin Dillon
↓ 45+1'
M
92
Noel Caliskan
M
8
Juan Sanabria
M
10
Diego Luna
↓ 78'
F
70
Lineker Rodrigues
↓ 46'
F
22
Sergi Solans
⚽ 60' ↓ 90+1'
F
Substitutes
6
Stijn Spierings
↑ 45+1'
M
12
Saba Lobzhanidze
🎯 60' ↑ 46'
M
17
Victor Olatunji
↑ 78'
F
11
Dominik Marczuk
↑ 90+1'
F
39
Aiden Hezarkhani
↑ 90+1'
F
31
Mason Stajduhar
G
4
Lukas Engel
D
98
Alexandros Katranis
D
21
Juan Jose Arias
D
Last matches: St. Louis City
26.07.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
1
0
W
23.07.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
1
W
17.07.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
3
2
W
23.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Austin
3
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
DC United
1
1
D
14.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
2
1
W
10.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
1
0
W
03.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Austin
0
2
L
26.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
2
3
L
19.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
1
4
L
12.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
FC Dallas
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
New York City FC
1
1
D
22.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
New England Revolution
3
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
0
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
02.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
San Diego
0
2
L
21.02.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Charlotte
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
St. Louis City
Austin
1
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
St. Louis City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2
2
D
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
26.07.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
23.07.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC
1
3
L
16.07.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Burnley
4
1
W
23.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
14.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
1
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
0
2
L
19.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
4
2
W
04.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
2
2
D
15.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Austin
2
1
W
08.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United FC
3
2
W
01.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
22.02.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
3
D
06.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Orange County SC
1
1
D
22.01.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Randers FC
2
1
W
H2H: St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake
19.10.25
H2H
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
2
2
D
06.07.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
3
2
L
05.02.25
H2H
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
31.03.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
3
1
L
25.02.24
H2H
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
22.06.23
H2H
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
1
3
L
26.03.23
H2H
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
0
4
W
Last matches: St. Louis City
26.07.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
1
0
W
17.07.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
3
2
W
23.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Austin
3
0
W
14.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
2
1
W
26.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
2
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
New England Revolution
3
1
W
08.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
21.02.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Charlotte
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
St. Louis City
Austin
1
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
St. Louis City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2
2
D
H2H at home: St. Louis City
19.10.25
H2H
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
2
2
D
05.02.25
H2H
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
25.02.24
H2H
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
22.06.23
H2H
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
1
3
L
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
26.07.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
23.07.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC
1
3
L
23.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
10.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
1
3
L
26.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
22.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
2
2
D
08.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United FC
3
2
W
22.02.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
3
D
22.01.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Randers FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Real Salt Lake
19.10.25
H2H
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
2
2
D
05.02.25
H2H
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
25.02.24
H2H
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
22.06.23
H2H
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
1
3
W
Showing odds from: Bet365
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.38
Draw 3.94
Home 2.04
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.78
Draw 2.59
Home 2.54
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.52
Over 2.75 1.64
Over 3.0 1.81
Over 3.25 2.06
Over 3.5 2.29
Over 3.75 2.63
Over 4.5 3.82
Over 5.5 7.20
Under 1.5 5.59
Under 2.5 2.58
Under 2.75 2.33
Under 3.0 2.06
Under 3.25 1.82
Under 3.5 1.66
Under 3.75 1.52
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.11
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 3.75
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.40
Home 2.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.75
Home 2.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.20
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 17.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 3.80
Home 1.97
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.45
Home 2.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.90
Home 2.28
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 2.75 1.61
Over 3.0 1.78
Over 3.25 2.02
Over 3.5 2.25
Over 3.75 2.60
Over 4.0 3.20
Over 4.5 3.95
Over 5.5 7.00
Under 1.5 5.30
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 2.75 2.23
Under 3.0 1.98
Under 3.25 1.75
Under 3.5 1.61
Under 3.75 1.46
Under 4.0 1.32
Under 4.5 1.23
Under 5.5 1.08

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 4 3 38:17 21 34
D D L W L
2 19 10 4 5 35:19 16 34
D W W W W
3 18 10 3 5 37:24 13 33
L D L W L
4 17 9 2 6 25:24 1 29
W W D D W
5 17 8 3 6 29:25 4 27
D L L D W
6 18 7 6 5 32:25 7 27
D L D W W
7 18 7 5 6 24:24 0 26
D W W W W
8 18 7 3 8 33:33 0 24
W W D W L
9 17 7 3 7 20:22 -2 24
L L L L L
10 18 6 6 6 20:25 -5 24
D D L D L
11 18 7 1 10 27:25 2 22
W L W L L
12 19 5 7 7 24:29 -5 22
D D L L D
13 18 5 6 7 32:29 3 21
D W L L D
14 18 4 5 9 22:36 -14 17
L L W L L
15 18 4 2 12 18:46 -28 14
L L W L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)