Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.8%
|
2.04 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.52 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.19 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.20 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
7.00 |
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
St. Louis City
21 matches
Real Salt Lake
20 matches
| St. Louis City | Statistic | Real Salt Lake |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 10 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 6 |
| 27 | Goals For | 38 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.9 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.53 | Shots On Goal | 5.69 |
| 14.35 | Total Shots | 15.44 |
| 6.18 | Corners | 4.75 |
| 50.6% | Ball Possession | 50.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Real Salt Lake's more proactive style and St. Louis City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Salt Lake. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. St. Louis City come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
So far, St. Louis City have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 22 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 22:23 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Marcel Hartel (3 goals), Eduard Löwen (2 goals), Jeong Sang-bin (2 goals), with creative support from Marcel Hartel (3 assists), Simon Becher (3 assists), Eduard Löwen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Real Salt Lake arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 26 points after 15 matches. The record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 27:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Zavier Gozo (4 goals), Sergi Solans (3 goals), Diego Luna (3 goals), with creative support from Sergi Solans (3 assists), Zavier Gozo (2 assists), Juan Sanabria (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City won 1 times, Real Salt Lake won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from St. Louis City's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.
St. Louis City
4
3
6
2
10
3
Lineups
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
DC United
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
FC Dallas
St. Louis City
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New England Revolution
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
San Diego
St. Louis City
Charlotte
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC
Real Salt Lake
Burnley
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
Austin
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United FC
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake
Orange County SC
Real Salt Lake
Randers FC
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
New England Revolution
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
Charlotte
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United FC
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake
Randers FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38:17 | 21 | 34 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 33 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 25:24 | 1 | 29 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Real Salt Lake
Away
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 27 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
| 6 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 32:25 | 7 | 27 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
St. Louis City
Home
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 24 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:25 | -5 | 24 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 27:25 | 2 | 22 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 24:29 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 21 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22:36 | -14 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 18:46 | -28 | 14 |
L
L
W
L
L
|