🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
02.08.2026 00:30
Energizer Park
Referee: Chris Penso, USA
St. Louis City
Match Timeline
Real Salt Lake
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Zach Booth
Real Salt Lake
🟨
28'
Eduard Löwen
St. Louis City
🟨
29'
Philip Quinton
Real Salt Lake
🟨
40'
DeAndre Yedlin
Real Salt Lake
🟨
43'
Christopher Durkin
St. Louis City
🔄
45+1'
G. Dillon ↔ S. Spierings
Real Salt Lake
🔄
46'
Lineker Rodrigues ↔ S. Lobjanidze
Real Salt Lake
60'
S. Solans · Assist: S. Lobjanidze
Real Salt Lake
🔄
65'
E. Lowen ↔ M. Hartel
St. Louis City
🔄
65'
C. Durkin ↔ A. Matan
St. Louis City
72'
M. Hartel
St. Louis City
🔄
78'
D. Luna ↔ V. Olatunji
Real Salt Lake
🟨
80'
Jeong Sang-bin
St. Louis City
🔄
84'
S. Jeong ↔ T. Ostrak
St. Louis City
🔄
90+1'
S. Becher ↔ P. Ault
St. Louis City
🔄
90+1'
Z. Booth ↔ D. Marczuk
Real Salt Lake
🔄
90+1'
S. Solans ↔ A. Hezarkhani
Real Salt Lake

St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.8%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
St. Louis City Win 70.8%
Draw 5.4%
Real Salt Lake Win 23.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
St. Louis City1.37
Real Salt Lake1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
St. Louis City St. Louis City
WWDLW
27 GF / 31 GA
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WLDWL
38 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.9
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
12
BTTS Yes
16
10
Over 2.5
15
4.53
Shots on Goal
5.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

St. Louis City St. Louis City 21 matches
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 20 matches
St. Louis City Statistic Real Salt Lake
8 Wins 10
5 Draws 4
8 Losses 6
27 Goals For 38
31 Goals Against 30
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
12 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 19
10 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 2
4.53 Shots On Goal 5.69
14.41 Total Shots 15.44
6.18 Corners 4.75
50.6% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Real Salt Lake's more proactive style and St. Louis City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Salt Lake. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. St. Louis City come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

St. Louis City Analysis

So far, St. Louis City have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 22 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 22:23 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Marcel Hartel (3 goals), Eduard Löwen (2 goals), Jeong Sang-bin (2 goals), with creative support from Marcel Hartel (3 assists), Simon Becher (3 assists), Eduard Löwen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Real Salt Lake arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 26 points after 15 matches. The record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 27:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Zavier Gozo (4 goals), Sergi Solans (3 goals), Diego Luna (3 goals), with creative support from Sergi Solans (3 assists), Zavier Gozo (2 assists), Juan Sanabria (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City won 1 times, Real Salt Lake won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:14 from St. Louis City's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: St. Louis City 3-4-3 / Real Salt Lake 3-4-3
H2H summary: St. Louis City wins 1, draws 4, Real Salt Lake wins 3

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 24 8 6 10 42:37 5 30
L L W W L
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)