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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
11.10.2026 23:00
Citypark
Referee: Joseph Dickerson
St. Louis City
Match Timeline
Los Angeles Galaxy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
C. Holse · Assist: Rafael Navarro
St. Louis City
⚽
7'
C. Holse · Assist: Rafael Navarro
St. Louis City
🔄
12'
K. Furuhashi ↔ Joao Klauss
Los Angeles Galaxy
⚽
21'
C. Holse · Assist: C. Durkin
St. Louis City
⚽
32'
R. Taylor · Assist: E. Thommy
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
40'
C. Durkin
St. Louis City
⚽
45'
Rafael Navarro
St. Louis City
⚽
45+7'
L. MacNaughton · Assist: A. Matan
St. Louis City
🔄
47'
S. Roberto ↔ L. Sanabria
Los Angeles Galaxy
⚽
53'
Rafael Navarro · Assist: C. Durkin
St. Louis City
🔄
60'
R. Taylor ↔ J. Paintsil
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
61'
P. Ruiz ↔ M. Reus
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
63'
C. Wallem
St. Louis City
🟨
67'
J. Aude
Los Angeles Galaxy
⚽
71'
Joao Klauss · Assist: M. Reus
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
73'
C. Durkin ↔ F. Fall
St. Louis City
🟨
75'
H. Miller
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
76'
E. Thommy ↔ C. Garces
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
81'
Rafael Navarro ↔ S. Becher
St. Louis City
🔄
81'
C. Holse ↔ S. Jeong
St. Louis City
🔄
81'
C. Wallem ↔ J. Orozco
St. Louis City
🔄
90+1'
A. Matan ↔ D. Downs
St. Louis City

St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
St. Louis City Win 75.2%
Draw 4.6%
Los Angeles Galaxy Win 20.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
St. Louis City1.6
Los Angeles Galaxy1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
St. Louis City St. Louis City
W W W D W
15 GF / 6 GA
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
W W D L W
9 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
21
BTTS Yes
26
18
Over 2.5
27
4.93
Shots on Goal
5.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

St. Louis City St. Louis City 31 matches
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 42 matches
St. Louis City Statistic Los Angeles Galaxy
14 Wins 16
9 Draws 12
8 Losses 14
52 Goals For 62
44 Goals Against 62
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
21 BTTS Yes 26
27 Over 1.5 36
18 Over 2.5 27
13 Over 3.5 12
5 Clean Sheets 11
5 Failed To Score 7
4.93 Shots On Goal 5.06
13.81 Total Shots 12.97
5.48 Corners 5.31
52.6% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights St. Louis City's more proactive style and Los Angeles Galaxy's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Los Angeles Galaxy. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St. Louis City expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Los Angeles Galaxy in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Los Angeles Galaxy having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. St. Louis City come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

St. Louis City Analysis

St. Louis City approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 47 points after 27 outings. The return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 48:36, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through S. Becher (5 goals), T. Totland (3 goals), Marcel Hartel (3 goals), with creative support from S. Becher (3 assists), T. Totland (3 assists), Marcel Hartel (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis

From their first 28 matches, Los Angeles Galaxy have collected 36 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 37:44 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Reus (6 goals), J. Paintsil (5 goals), Gabriel Pec (4 goals), with creative support from M. Reus (4 assists), Gabriel Pec (2 assists), J. Paintsil (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City won 4 times, Los Angeles Galaxy won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:23 from St. Louis City's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: St. Louis City 3-1-4-2 / Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2-3-1
Missing players: St. Louis City 2, Los Angeles Galaxy 3
H2H summary: St. Louis City wins 4, draws 4, Los Angeles Galaxy wins 3

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 7 7 63:31 32 55
W D D L D
2 30 14 9 7 56:41 15 51
L D W W W
3 30 14 9 7 55:47 8 51
D W L W D
4 30 13 9 8 52:42 10 48
D D D W D
5 30 13 8 9 41:39 2 47
D D D L D
6 31 12 10 9 48:33 15 46
D W D L D
7 30 11 9 10 39:37 2 42
D L W W W
8 31 10 10 11 43:52 -9 40
D W L W W
9 30 11 6 13 41:41 0 39
D D D L D
10 30 10 6 14 45:48 -3 36
W D L W L
11 30 9 7 14 51:56 -5 34
D L D L L
12 30 8 10 12 53:56 -3 34
D D L D D
13 30 8 10 12 47:55 -8 34
W D D L L
14 30 7 10 13 38:56 -18 31
L L L D D
15 30 6 4 20 36:75 -39 22
L L D L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)