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17.10.2026 14:00
McDiarmid Park

ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.70
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.7%
1.50 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.70 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
ST Johnstone Win 41.4%
Draw 25.4%
Dundee Utd Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
ST Johnstone1.77
Dundee Utd1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone
WWDLW
21 GF / 12 GA
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd
WLDWL
12 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
6
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
5
3.38
Shots on Goal
5.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 11 matches
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 9 matches
ST Johnstone Statistic Dundee Utd
6 Wins 3
2 Draws 2
3 Losses 4
21 Goals For 12
12 Goals Against 14
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
6 BTTS Yes 3
8 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
3.38 Shots On Goal 5.38
10 Total Shots 16
3.25 Corners 6.25
47.6% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dundee Utd. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with ST Johnstone expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Dundee Utd in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dundee Utd having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

ST Johnstone Analysis

ST Johnstone are currently 6 in the standings with 8 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 9:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Fowler (4 goals), C. Diabate (1 goals), E. Alıç (1 goals), with creative support from J. Gullan (2 assists), J. Fowler (1 assists), S. Stanton (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dundee Utd Analysis

Dundee Utd sit 8 with 8 points after 7 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 9:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Randall (2 goals), W. Ferry (1 goals), M. Forbes (1 goals), with creative support from J. Randall (2 assists), M. Merghem (2 assists), W. Ferry (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, ST Johnstone won 4 times, Dundee Utd won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:13 from ST Johnstone's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.6%)
Predicted formations: ST Johnstone 4-2-3-1 / Dundee Utd 4-3-3
H2H summary: ST Johnstone wins 4, draws 5, Dundee Utd wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 16:4 12 21
W L W W W
2 8 6 1 1 11:5 6 19
W W W W W
3 8 5 1 2 19:8 11 16
W D L W W
4 8 4 1 3 11:8 3 13
W W L D L
5 8 3 2 3 10:10 0 11
W D L W D
6 8 3 2 3 10:11 -1 11
W W D L W
7 8 3 1 4 8:14 -6 10
L L L L W
8 8 2 2 4 7:9 -2 8
L D W D L
9 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
L L L L W
10 8 2 1 5 8:12 -4 7
L D L L L
11 8 1 3 4 7:11 -4 6
L D W D L
12 8 1 2 5 7:18 -11 5
L D W D L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)