AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL
29.08.2026 05:00
Churchill Reserve
St. Albans Saints
Match Timeline
Dandenong Thunder
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
M. Platt
St. Albans Saints
11'
C. Jarome
St. Albans Saints
15'
M. Platt
St. Albans Saints
29'
M. Platt
St. Albans Saints
69'
J. Colina
St. Albans Saints
90+1'
St. Albans Saints
St. Albans Saints

St. Albans Saints vs Dandenong Thunder Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.8%
Odds 1.23
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.8%
1.23
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.36
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.07
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.67
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
St. Albans Saints Win 85.8%
Draw 7.1%
Dandenong Thunder Win 7.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
St. Albans Saints1.66
Dandenong Thunder1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints
WWDLW
30 GF / 43 GA
Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder
WLDWL
23 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.72
Average Goals Conceded
2.36
15
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 25 matches
Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 25 matches
St. Albans Saints Statistic Dandenong Thunder
8 Wins 4
7 Draws 3
10 Losses 18
30 Goals For 23
43 Goals Against 59
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.72 Avg Goals Conceded 2.36
15 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dandenong Thunder having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. St. Albans Saints arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 31 points compared to Dandenong Thunder in 14 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dandenong Thunder. Dandenong Thunder arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

St. Albans Saints Analysis

St. Albans Saints sit 9 with 31 points after 25 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 30:43 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dandenong Thunder Analysis

With 15 points from 24 games and a place of 14, Dandenong Thunder still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 23:54, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, St. Albans Saints won 2 times, Dandenong Thunder won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:25 from St. Albans Saints's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.9%)
H2H summary: St. Albans Saints wins 2, draws 3, Dandenong Thunder wins 7

Standings

Victoria NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 16 6 4 56:24 32 54
W L W W D
2 26 15 6 5 41:19 22 51
L D D W W
3 26 15 4 7 51:36 15 49
L L W W W
4 26 15 2 9 65:34 31 47
W W W W L
5 26 13 2 11 39:36 3 41
L W L L W
6 26 11 7 8 42:34 8 40
L W W L L
7 26 9 11 6 35:34 1 38
W L W D D
8 26 10 7 9 35:31 4 37
W D W W D
9 26 9 7 10 36:43 -7 34
W W D L W
10 26 8 6 12 42:42 0 30
L L L L L
11 26 7 7 12 28:42 -14 28
D L L D W
12 26 6 6 14 27:51 -24 24
L W D D L
13 26 4 6 16 23:52 -29 18
W L L D D
14 26 4 3 19 23:65 -42 15
L L L L L