GERMANY › 3. LIGA
02.05.2026 14:30
Donaustadion
Referee: N. Rose
SSV Ulm 1846
Match Timeline
FC Viktoria Köln
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Marcel Seegert
SSV Ulm 1846
🔄
33'
J. Meier ↔ F. Vater
SSV Ulm 1846
🟨
55'
Evan Brown
SSV Ulm 1846
🟨
62'
Elias Löder
SSV Ulm 1846
🔄
64'
L. Roser ↔ M. Mrden
SSV Ulm 1846
🔄
65'
J. Sachse ↔ J. Vega Zambrano
FC Viktoria Köln
🔄
66'
T. Duman ↔ F. Engelhardt
FC Viktoria Köln
🟨
67'
Lucas Wolf
FC Viktoria Köln
⚽
72'
L. Munst · Assist: D. Otto
FC Viktoria Köln
🔄
73'
E. Anderson Brown ↔ E. Aksakal
SSV Ulm 1846
🔄
73'
M. Seegert ↔ A. El-Zein
SSV Ulm 1846
🟨
75'
Leonhard Münst
FC Viktoria Köln
🔄
80'
L. Munst ↔ F. Ronstadt
FC Viktoria Köln
🔄
80'
R. Velasco ↔ S. Kozuki
FC Viktoria Köln
⚽
81'
S. Kozuki · Assist: S. Handle
FC Viktoria Köln
🔄
89'
V. Boboy ↔ L. Popp
FC Viktoria Köln

SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC Viktoria Köln Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 80%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
80%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
SSV Ulm 1846 Win 46.3%
Draw 13.4%
FC Viktoria Köln Win 40.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
SSV Ulm 18461.35
FC Viktoria Köln1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846
WWDLW
46 GF / 72 GA
FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln
WLDWL
48 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.37
2.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
26
BTTS Yes
17
24
Over 2.5
19
3.62
Shots on Goal
3.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846 35 matches
FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln 35 matches
SSV Ulm 1846 Statistic FC Viktoria Köln
9 Wins 14
5 Draws 5
21 Losses 16
46 Goals For 48
72 Goals Against 49
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
2.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
26 BTTS Yes 17
29 Over 1.5 27
24 Over 2.5 19
16 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 10
4 Failed To Score 11
3.62 Shots On Goal 3.9
10.83 Total Shots 9.48
5.1 Corners 3.69
44.5% Ball Possession 42.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Viktoria Köln. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SSV Ulm 1846 expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and FC Viktoria Köln in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Viktoria Köln having the stronger overall control.

SSV Ulm 1846 Analysis

With 32 points from 35 games and a place of 18, SSV Ulm 1846 still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 21 defeats, and the 46:72 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Loder (10 goals), Dennis Chessa (6 goals), Leon Dajaku (5 goals), with creative support from Leon Dajaku (7 assists), N. Kolle (4 assists), Dennis Chessa (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Viktoria Köln Analysis

FC Viktoria Köln sit 11 with 47 points after 35 league matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 5 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 48:49 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Lobinger (17 goals), D. Otto (8 goals), Tim Kloss (6 goals), with creative support from D. Otto (10 assists), Leonhard Münst (6 assists), L. Lobinger (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, SSV Ulm 1846 won 3 times, FC Viktoria Köln won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from SSV Ulm 1846's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.6%)
Predicted formations: SSV Ulm 1846 3-4-2-1 / FC Viktoria Köln 3-4-3
H2H summary: SSV Ulm 1846 wins 3, draws 0, FC Viktoria Köln wins 1

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6 38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation