GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
Referee: S. Storks
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Match Timeline
1. FC Nürnberg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
13'
Noel Futkeu
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
13'
N. Futkeu
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🟨
15'
Adam Markhiev
1. FC Nürnberg
45'
F. Gruber
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
52'
Felix Klaus
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
58'
A. Grimaldi ↔ P. Scobel
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
59'
F. Higl ↔ D. Arifi
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
75'
J. Dehm ↔ D. Srbeny
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
75'
R. Lubach ↔ R. Nzingoula
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
76'
Javier Fernandez
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
86'
B. Hrgota ↔ J. Consbruch
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
86'
P. Will ↔ S. Ltaief
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
88'
F. O. Becker ↔ T. Baack
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
88'
J. Fernandez ↔ M. Soldic
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
90'
Doni Arifi
SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 47.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53%
-
BTTS BTTS No
47.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win 38.9%
Draw 8.1%
1. FC Nürnberg Win 53%
Expected Goals (xG)
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.38
1. FC Nürnberg1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WWDLW
44 GF / 65 GA
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg
WLDWL
40 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.29
2.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
19
BTTS Yes
19
21
Over 2.5
16
3.97
Shots on Goal
4.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 31 matches
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 31 matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Statistic 1. FC Nürnberg
9 Wins 11
6 Draws 8
16 Losses 12
44 Goals For 40
65 Goals Against 41
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
2.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
19 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 25
21 Over 2.5 16
13 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 9
3.97 Shots On Goal 4.42
11.32 Total Shots 12.45
4.19 Corners 5.1
47.5% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors 1. FC Nürnberg. 1. FC Nürnberg carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 41 points while SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 17 on 33, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SpVgg Greuther Fürth expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and 1. FC Nürnberg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward 1. FC Nürnberg having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. SpVgg Greuther Fürth have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Analysis

With 33 points from 31 games and a place of 17, SpVgg Greuther Fürth still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 44:65, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through N. Futkeu (16 goals), F. Klaus (7 goals), B. Hrgota (4 goals), with creative support from B. Hrgota (9 assists), N. Futkeu (6 assists), F. Klaus (6 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1. FC Nürnberg Analysis

So far, 1. FC Nürnberg have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 41 points from 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses, while the 40:41 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. A. Zoma (11 goals), J. Justvan (7 goals), R. Lubach (6 goals), with creative support from J. Justvan (7 assists), Berkay Yılmaz (6 assists), M. A. Zoma (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 6 times, 1. FC Nürnberg won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:21 from SpVgg Greuther Fürth's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
Predicted formations: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-4-2-1 / 1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins 6, draws 5, 1. FC Nürnberg wins 4
Stats
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
8
4 Corner Kicks 5
9 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 0
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 8
9 Shots insidebox 13
4 Shots outsidebox 7
5 Goalkeeper Saves 5
289 Total passes 404
209 Passes accurate 340
1.58 expected_goals 1.48
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Formation
1. FC Nürnberg
S. Prufrock
S. Prufrock
J. Elvedi
J. Elvedi
P. Ziereis
P. Ziereis
R. Munz
R. Munz
J. Dehm
J. Dehm
F. Klaus
F. Klaus
P. Will
P. Will
B. Hrgota
B. Hrgota
A. Keller
A. Keller
N. Futkeu
N. Futkeu
F. Higl
F. Higl
J. Reichert
J. Reichert
H. Koudossou
H. Koudossou
F. Gruber
F. Gruber
L. Lochoshvili
L. Lochoshvili
B. Yilmaz
B. Yilmaz
A. Markhiev
A. Markhiev
J. Fernandez
J. Fernandez
J. Justvan
J. Justvan
F. O. Becker
F. O. Becker
R. Lubach
R. Lubach
A. Grimaldi
A. Grimaldi
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-5-2
Starting XI
43
S. Prufrock
G
15
J. Elvedi
D
4
P. Ziereis
D
5
R. Munz
D
23
J. Dehm
↓ 75'
M
30
F. Klaus
🟨 52'
M
13
P. Will
↓ 86'
M
10
B. Hrgota
↓ 86'
M
16
A. Keller
M
9
N. Futkeu
⚽ 13'
F
18
F. Higl
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
26
P. Boevink
G
27
G. Itter
D
28
D. Arifi
↑ 59' 🟨 90'
M
25
B. Bjarnason
D
14
J. Consbruch
↑ 86'
M
37
J. Green
M
7
D. Srbeny
↑ 75'
F
33
M. Dietz
D
47
S. Ltaief
↑ 86'
F
1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Reichert
G
8
H. Koudossou
D
4
F. Gruber
⚽ 45'
D
24
L. Lochoshvili
D
21
B. Yilmaz
D
6
A. Markhiev
🟨 15'
M
20
J. Fernandez
↓ 88' 🟨 76'
M
10
J. Justvan
M
25
F. O. Becker
↓ 88'
M
18
R. Lubach
↓ 75'
M
33
A. Grimaldi
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
26
C. Mathenia
G
5
T. Baack
↑ 88'
M
28
T. Buchmann
D
39
P. Scobel
↑ 58'
F
32
T. Janisch
D
22
R. Nzingoula
↑ 75'
M
37
N. Maboulou
F
41
E. Porstner
D
16
M. Soldic
↑ 88'
M
Last matches: SpVgg Greuther Fürth
18.07.26
Fri
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC Zurich
3
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Eintracht Bamberg
3
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Eltersdorf
3
0
W
05.07.26
Fri
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Bayreuth
0
1
L
26.05.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Rot-Weiß Essen
2
0
W
22.05.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Rot-Weiß Essen
0
1
L
17.05.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3
0
W
10.05.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC
1
2
L
26.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VfL Bochum
1
2
L
19.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SV Darmstadt 98
3
2
W
11.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Preußen Münster
0
0
D
05.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SC Paderborn 07
0
2
L
26.03.26
Fri
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Red Bull Salzburg
0
1
L
20.03.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Karlsruher SC
1
3
L
13.03.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SV Elversberg
2
0
W
08.03.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hannover 96
2
1
W
28.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC Schalke 04
1
1
D
20.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Arminia Bielefeld
2
1
W
14.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
1
L
06.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Magdeburg
4
5
L
Last matches: 1. FC Nürnberg
25.07.26
Fri
1. FC Nürnberg
Palermo
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
1. FC Nürnberg
Waldhof Mannheim
3
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
1. FC Nürnberg
Ansbach
5
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
1. FC Nürnberg
Kornburg
10
0
W
17.05.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Hannover 96
3
3
D
09.05.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
FC Schalke 04
3
0
W
26.04.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
1
0
W
18.04.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Arminia Bielefeld
1
1
D
11.04.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Dynamo Dresden
0
2
L
05.04.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
1
D
21.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3
0
W
14.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Holstein Kiel
3
2
W
07.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0
1
L
01.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Hertha BSC
1
2
L
20.02.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
13.02.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Karlsruher SC
5
1
W
07.02.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SC Paderborn 07
1
2
L
30.01.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Preußen Münster
1
1
D
23.01.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SV Darmstadt 98
0
2
L
17.01.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SV Elversberg
3
2
W
H2H: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg
03.05.26
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg
1
1
D
07.12.25
H2H
1. FC Nürnberg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
2
D
16.03.25
H2H
1. FC Nürnberg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3
0
L
20.10.24
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg
0
4
L
25.02.24
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Furth
FC Nurnberg
2
1
L
15.09.23
H2H
FC Nurnberg
SpVgg Greuther Furth
1
1
D
04.02.23
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Furth
FC Nurnberg
1
0
L
23.07.22
H2H
FC Nurnberg
SpVgg Greuther Furth
2
0
L
21.03.21
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Furth
FC Nurnberg
2
2
D
29.11.20
H2H
FC Nurnberg
SpVgg Greuther Furth
2
3
W
13.06.20
H2H
FC Nurnberg
SpVgg Greuther Furth
0
1
W
24.11.19
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Furth
FC Nurnberg
0
0
D
03.03.18
H2H
FC Nurnberg
SpVgg Greuther Furth
0
2
W
24.09.17
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Furth
FC Nurnberg
1
3
W
05.03.17
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Furth
FC Nurnberg
1
0
L
Last matches: SpVgg Greuther Fürth
26.05.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Rot-Weiß Essen
2
0
W
17.05.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3
0
W
19.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SV Darmstadt 98
3
2
W
05.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SC Paderborn 07
0
2
L
13.03.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SV Elversberg
2
0
W
28.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC Schalke 04
1
1
D
20.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Arminia Bielefeld
2
1
W
06.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Magdeburg
4
5
L
24.01.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Eintracht Braunschweig
0
0
D
10.01.26
Fri
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0
2
L
07.01.26
Fri
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC Schweinfurt 05
5
0
W
12.12.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC
3
3
D
29.11.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VfL Bochum
0
3
L
07.11.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Preußen Münster
1
0
W
24.10.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Karlsruher SC
1
4
L
05.10.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hannover 96
2
2
D
14.09.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
3
L
24.08.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel
0
2
L
03.08.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Dynamo Dresden
3
2
W
18.05.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hamburger SV
3
2
W
H2H at home: SpVgg Greuther Fürth
03.05.26
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg
1
1
D
20.10.24
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg
0
4
L
Last matches: 1. FC Nürnberg
25.07.26
Fri
1. FC Nürnberg
Palermo
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
1. FC Nürnberg
Ansbach
5
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
1. FC Nürnberg
Kornburg
10
0
W
17.05.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Hannover 96
3
3
D
18.04.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Arminia Bielefeld
1
1
D
05.04.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
1
D
14.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Holstein Kiel
3
2
W
01.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Hertha BSC
1
2
L
20.02.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
07.02.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SC Paderborn 07
1
2
L
23.01.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SV Darmstadt 98
0
2
L
14.12.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
FC Schalke 04
0
1
L
29.11.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
0
3
L
07.11.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
W
26.10.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1
1
D
03.10.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3
2
W
13.09.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Karlsruher SC
1
2
L
22.08.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Preußen Münster
1
2
L
02.08.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SV Elversberg
0
1
L
18.05.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
4
1
W
H2H away: 1. FC Nürnberg
03.05.26
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg
1
1
D
20.10.24
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg
0
4
W

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga