SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
53%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
47.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
31 matches
1. FC Nürnberg
31 matches
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Statistic | 1. FC Nürnberg |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 11 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 16 | Losses | 12 |
| 44 | Goals For | 40 |
| 65 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 2.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.97 | Shots On Goal | 4.42 |
| 11.32 | Total Shots | 12.45 |
| 4.19 | Corners | 5.1 |
| 47.5% | Ball Possession | 48.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors 1. FC Nürnberg. 1. FC Nürnberg carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 41 points while SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 17 on 33, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SpVgg Greuther Fürth expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and 1. FC Nürnberg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward 1. FC Nürnberg having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. SpVgg Greuther Fürth have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
With 33 points from 31 games and a place of 17, SpVgg Greuther Fürth still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 44:65, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through N. Futkeu (16 goals), F. Klaus (7 goals), B. Hrgota (4 goals), with creative support from B. Hrgota (9 assists), N. Futkeu (6 assists), F. Klaus (6 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, 1. FC Nürnberg have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 41 points from 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses, while the 40:41 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. A. Zoma (11 goals), J. Justvan (7 goals), R. Lubach (6 goals), with creative support from J. Justvan (7 assists), Berkay Yılmaz (6 assists), M. A. Zoma (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 5 times, 1. FC Nürnberg won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:25 from SpVgg Greuther Fürth's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 50:31 | 19 | 70 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 64:39 | 25 | 62 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59:45 | 14 | 62 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60:44 | 16 | 60 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 57:45 | 12 | 52 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52:47 | 5 | 52 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 47:44 | 3 | 51 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 |
1. FC Nürnberg
Away
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 2 | 46 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:47 | 2 | 44 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 53:64 | -11 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:53 | 1 | 41 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44:48 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 53:51 | 2 | 39 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | -18 | 37 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Home
|
34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 49:68 | -19 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 17 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 33:53 | -20 | 37 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:61 | -23 | 30 |
L
D
D
L
L
|