PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni
Referee: J. Benitez
Sportivo Trinidense
Match Timeline
Cerro Porteno
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
F. Romero
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
46'
C. Paredes ↔ R. Piris
Cerro Porteno
🔄
46'
F. Peralta ↔ F. Noguera
Cerro Porteno
49'
C. Gonzalez
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
54'
C. Bobadilla ↔ J. Iturbe
Cerro Porteno
🔄
70'
N. Mana ↔ T. Rayer
Sportivo Trinidense
75'
P. Vegetti
Cerro Porteno
🔄
78'
A. Morinigo ↔ N. Camacho
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
79'
C. Gonzalez ↔ L. De la Cruz
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
79'
N. Gauto ↔ P. Zarza
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
79'
F. Romero ↔ O. Gimenez
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
82'
Axel Cañete
Sportivo Trinidense
90'
N. Camacho
Sportivo Trinidense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 25.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
25.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Trinidense Win 60.7%
Draw 0%
Cerro Porteno Win 39.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Trinidense1.06
Cerro Porteno1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense
WWDLW
25 GF / 22 GA
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
WLDWL
30 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
14
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
6
4.15
Shots on Goal
4.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 20 matches
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 23 matches
Sportivo Trinidense Statistic Cerro Porteno
6 Wins 12
8 Draws 6
6 Losses 5
25 Goals For 30
22 Goals Against 18
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
14 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 11
3 Failed To Score 7
4.15 Shots On Goal 4.39
11.35 Total Shots 12.87
4.15 Corners 4.74
40% Ball Possession 53.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cerro Porteno. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sportivo Trinidense have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sportivo Trinidense expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Cerro Porteno in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cerro Porteno having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Sportivo Trinidense Analysis

Sportivo Trinidense approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 26 points from 20 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 25:22 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on N. Camacho (6 goals), F. Romero (5 goals), Alan Tobías Morinigo (2 goals), with creative support from Alan Tobías Morinigo (2 assists), N. Camacho (1 assists), C. Gonzalez (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Cerro Porteno Analysis

Placed 3 with 34 points from 19 outings, Cerro Porteno continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 27:19 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Cecilio Domínguez (5 goals), I. Aliseda (4 goals), J. Iturbe (3 goals), with creative support from Cecilio Domínguez (2 assists), I. Aliseda (2 assists), J. Morel (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Trinidense won 4 times, Cerro Porteno won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:28 from Sportivo Trinidense's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Sportivo Trinidense 4-4-2 / Cerro Porteno 4-3-3
H2H summary: Sportivo Trinidense wins 4, draws 2, Cerro Porteno wins 9
Stats
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
1 Corner Kicks 4
15 Fouls 4
2 Offsides 1
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
272 Total passes 557
162 Passes accurate 449
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sportivo Trinidense
Formation
Cerro Porteno
M. Dufour
M. Dufour
A. Canete
A. Canete
A. Da Silveira
A. Da Silveira
B. Valdez
B. Valdez
S. Mendoza
S. Mendoza
N. Mana
N. Mana
G. Viera
G. Viera
N. Gauto
N. Gauto
A. Morinigo
A. Morinigo
F. Romero
F. Romero
C. Gonzalez
C. Gonzalez
A. Martin
A. Martin
C. Bobadilla
C. Bobadilla
M. Perez
M. Perez
J. Morel
J. Morel
L. A. Quintana Rodriguez
L. A. Quintana Rodriguez
M. Chaparro
M. Chaparro
F. Dominguez
F. Dominguez
F. Peralta
F. Peralta
C. Paredes
C. Paredes
P. Vegetti
P. Vegetti
M. Klimowicz
M. Klimowicz
Sportivo Trinidense 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
M. Dufour
G
6
A. Canete
🟨 82'
D
40
A. Da Silveira
D
30
B. Valdez
D
14
S. Mendoza
D
10
N. Mana
↓ 70'
M
21
G. Viera
M
5
N. Gauto
↓ 79'
M
31
A. Morinigo
↓ 78'
M
18
F. Romero
⚽ 18' ↓ 79'
F
20
C. Gonzalez
⚽ 49' ↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
12
V. Samudio
G
23
C. Benitez
D
8
L. De la Cruz
↑ 79'
D
4
D. Melgarejo
D
3
D. Villalba
D
29
T. Rayer
↑ 70'
M
22
P. Zarza
↑ 79'
F
7
N. Camacho
⚽ 90' ↑ 78'
F
9
O. Gimenez
↑ 79'
F
34
F. J. Roman Torales
D
19
A. B. Cano Esteche
M
24
F. Baruja
M
Cerro Porteno 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
A. Martin
G
32
C. Bobadilla
↓ 54'
D
22
M. Perez
D
5
J. Morel
D
14
L. A. Quintana Rodriguez
D
35
M. Chaparro
D
2
F. Dominguez
M
16
F. Peralta
↓ 46'
M
8
C. Paredes
↓ 46'
M
19
P. Vegetti
⚽ 75'
F
40
M. Klimowicz
F
Substitutes
25
R. Fernandez
11
J. Iturbe
↑ 54'
F
24
E. Paez
F
26
R. Piris
↑ 46'
M
38
A. Cristaldo
27
J. Torres
F
20
W. Viera
M
18
R. Melgarejo
36
F. Noguera
↑ 46'
F
17
D. Espinola
M
28
C. Franco
F
37
V. Sanchez
D
Last matches: Sportivo Trinidense
24.05.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Ameliano
2
1
W
09.05.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
1
2
L
01.05.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
2 de Mayo
1
2
L
25.04.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
17.04.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
1
W
12.04.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Libertad Asuncion
1
1
D
06.04.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Rubio NU
4
0
W
01.04.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Olimpia
2
1
W
29.03.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Club Guarani
0
0
D
23.03.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
W
19.03.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
14.03.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
1
2
L
09.03.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
28.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
2 de Mayo
0
1
L
25.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Luqueno
1
1
D
19.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
15.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
07.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Rubio NU
1
0
W
01.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Olimpia
2
3
L
29.01.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Club Guarani
0
0
D
Last matches: Cerro Porteno
28.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
24.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
2
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
0
W
11.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
0
0
D
08.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
03.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
1
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
1
D
24.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
14.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
11.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
0
1
L
04.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
2 de Mayo
3
0
W
31.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
28.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
0
W
21.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
3
2
W
18.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
0
2
L
14.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
07.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
2
0
W
01.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
0
W
25.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
H2H: Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno
15.05.26
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
3
1
W
14.03.26
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
L
09.11.25
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
0
0
D
24.08.25
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
3
W
20.04.25
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
0
L
08.02.25
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
1
0
W
21.11.24
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
3
2
W
12.09.24
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
06.04.24
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
1
3
L
21.01.24
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
3
1
L
24.10.23
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
2
5
L
05.08.23
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
4
1
L
16.04.23
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
3
2
L
04.02.23
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
13.10.17
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
Last matches: Sportivo Trinidense
01.05.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
2 de Mayo
1
2
L
17.04.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
1
W
06.04.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Rubio NU
4
0
W
01.04.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Olimpia
2
1
W
23.03.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
W
19.03.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
09.03.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
25.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Luqueno
1
1
D
15.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
29.01.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Club Guarani
0
0
D
H2H at home: Sportivo Trinidense
15.05.26
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
3
1
W
09.11.25
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
0
0
D
08.02.25
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
1
0
W
21.11.24
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
3
2
W
06.04.24
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
1
3
L
24.10.23
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
2
5
L
04.02.23
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
13.10.17
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
Last matches: Cerro Porteno
21.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
0
W
08.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
03.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
1
2
L
11.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
0
1
L
31.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
21.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
3
2
W
18.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
0
2
L
07.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
2
0
W
25.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
07.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
2 de Mayo
0
0
D
27.01.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4
2
W
H2H away: Cerro Porteno
15.05.26
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
3
1
L
09.11.25
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
0
0
D
08.02.25
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
1
0
L
21.11.24
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
3
2
L
06.04.24
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
1
3
W
24.10.23
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
2
5
W
04.02.23
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
0
1
W
13.10.17
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
0
1
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L