23.05.2026 19:00
Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio
Referee: D. Lopez
Sportivo Luqueno
Match Timeline
Olimpia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
34'
J. Ramos
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
35'
Jonathan Ramos
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
41'
Sebastián Quintana
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
43'
Romeo Benítez
Olimpia
🔄
46'
L. Ramirez ↔ A. F. Rodriguez Armoa
Olimpia
52'
J. Vera
Olimpia
🔄
60'
A. Villalba ↔ S. Ocampos
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
63'
Jonathan Diaz
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
66'
S. Ferreira ↔ H. Sandoval
Olimpia
🔄
66'
A. Ledesma ↔ A. F. Franco Zayas
Olimpia
🔄
66'
C. Olmedo ↔ R. Caceres
Olimpia
🔄
67'
G. Bogado ↔ O. Ruiz
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
67'
J. Ramos ↔ S. Diaz
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
67'
L. Comas ↔ M. Ojeda
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
79'
R. Lezcano ↔ D. Gonzalez
Olimpia
🔄
82'
S. Quintana ↔ A. Benitez
Sportivo Luqueno
89'
F. Alfonso · Assist: R. Benitez
Olimpia

Sportivo Luqueno vs Olimpia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.5%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Luqueno Win 27.4%
Draw 15.2%
Olimpia Win 57.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Luqueno1
Olimpia1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
WWDLW
23 GF / 31 GA
Olimpia Olimpia
WLDWL
33 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
13
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
9
3.9
Shots on Goal
5.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 21 matches
Olimpia Olimpia 21 matches
Sportivo Luqueno Statistic Olimpia
5 Wins 13
5 Draws 4
11 Losses 4
23 Goals For 33
31 Goals Against 18
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
13 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 2
3.9 Shots On Goal 5.1
10.57 Total Shots 14.75
3.24 Corners 4.45
45.2% Ball Possession 54.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Olimpia's more proactive style and Sportivo Luqueno's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Olimpia. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sportivo Luqueno expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Olimpia in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Olimpia having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Olimpia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 46 points while Sportivo Luqueno sit 11 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Sportivo Luqueno Analysis

From their first 21 matches, Sportivo Luqueno have collected 20 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, while the 23:31 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Iván Maggi (10 goals), Sebastián Quintana (4 goals), L. Comas (2 goals), with creative support from L. Comas (3 assists), Iván Maggi (2 assists), G. Bogado (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Olimpia Analysis

Olimpia arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 46 points after 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 35:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Alcaraz (7 goals), G. Vargas (3 goals), S. Ferreira (3 goals), with creative support from H. Quintana (2 assists), R. Sanchez (2 assists), A. F. Rodriguez Armoa (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Luqueno won 1 times, Olimpia won 14 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:30 from Sportivo Luqueno's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
Predicted formations: Sportivo Luqueno 3-4-1-2 / Olimpia 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Sportivo Luqueno wins 1, draws 0, Olimpia wins 14

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)