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21.11.2026 18:00
Republica de Italia Stadium

Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Armenio Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
77.3%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Italiano Win 45.7%
Draw 31.7%
Deportivo Armenio Win 22.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Italiano1.07
Deportivo Armenio0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano
L W L D W
3 GF / 6 GA
Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio
W D L D D
2 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.02
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1
17
BTTS Yes
20
16
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano 43 matches
Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio 44 matches
Sportivo Italiano Statistic Deportivo Armenio
20 Wins 18
12 Draws 12
11 Losses 14
48 Goals For 45
34 Goals Against 44
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.02
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1
17 BTTS Yes 20
25 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 17
6 Over 3.5 6
18 Clean Sheets 19
16 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Deportivo Armenio have the edge after taking the first leg 1-0, leaving Sportivo Italiano needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Armenio. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Armenio having the stronger overall control.

Sportivo Italiano Analysis

Sportivo Italiano come into this tie placed 3 in their league with 72 points from 42 matches. With 20 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses plus a goal ratio of 48:33, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Armenio Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Deportivo Armenio arrive from a league campaign that has them 8 with 63 points after 42 matches. With 17 wins, 12 draws, and 13 losses plus a goal ratio of 43:40, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (77.3%)

Standings

Prim B Metro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 24 9 9 69:33 36 81
L W D W L
2 42 21 14 7 56:28 28 77
D W D W L
3 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W L D W W
4 42 20 11 11 46:27 19 71
L W L D L
5 42 19 13 10 50:35 15 70
W L W D L
6 42 18 14 10 40:28 12 68
L W L D L
7 42 18 12 12 45:41 4 66
D W D L W
8 42 17 12 13 43:40 3 63
D L D D W
9 42 15 15 12 40:35 5 60
W L D D D
10 42 15 14 13 51:53 -2 59
D W W D W
11 42 12 15 15 41:46 -5 51
D L W L W
12 42 12 15 15 43:49 -6 51
L L D L W
13 42 13 11 18 39:45 -6 50
W W L L L
14 42 13 10 19 40:50 -10 49
D W W W D
15 42 11 16 15 40:55 -15 49
D L W D D
16 42 11 15 16 36:43 -7 48
W L D D W
17 42 10 17 15 33:41 -8 47
L W L D D
18 42 11 14 17 42:51 -9 47
L L L L L
19 42 10 16 16 35:41 -6 46
D W D L D
20 42 10 16 16 26:38 -12 46
W L D W D
21 42 8 21 13 28:38 -10 45
W W D W W
22 42 1 14 27 28:69 -41 17
L L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)