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25.10.2026 13:00
Estadio Jose Tomas Silva
Referee: C. Benitez
Sportivo Ameliano
Match Timeline
Olimpia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
31'
Gabriel Ávalos · Assist: Mateo Gamarra
Olimpia
⚽
33'
Luca Andrea Falabella · Assist: Julio González
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
50'
Richard Ortiz
Olimpia
🟨
52'
Valentin Larralde
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
53'
Fernando Cardozo
Olimpia
🔄
55'
Cristhian·Ocampos ↔ R. Torales
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
56'
Eduardo Delmas ↔ Richard Sánchez
Olimpia
🔄
56'
Sebastián Ferreira ↔ Bernardo Romeo Benitez Farina
Olimpia
⚽
59'
Richard Sánchez · Assist: Gabriel Ávalos
Olimpia
🔄
62'
Valentin Larralde ↔ Estivel Moreira
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
62'
Edgar Paez ↔ Carlos Fabricio Favero Villasanti
Sportivo Ameliano
⚽
63'
Richard Sánchez · Assist: Gabriel Ávalos
Olimpia
🔄
65'
Alex Fernando Franco Zayas ↔ Iván Leguizamón
Olimpia
⚽
72'
Fredy Vera
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
73'
Raul Ignacio Cabral ↔ Luis María Ayala Bentos
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
73'
Walter Rodriguez ↔ Gabriel Marcelo Camargo
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
79'
Gabriel Ávalos ↔ Tiago Caballero
Olimpia
🔄
80'
Fernando Cardozo ↔ Víctor Sebastián Quintana Herrera
Olimpia
🟥
88'
Julio González
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
90+4'
Gabriel Marcelo Camargo
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
90+4'
Mateo Gamarra
Olimpia
🟨
90+4'
Fabián Franco
Sportivo Ameliano

Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Ameliano Win 33.6%
Draw 3.7%
Olimpia Win 62.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Ameliano1.06
Olimpia1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano
D L L D D
5 GF / 7 GA
Olimpia Olimpia
W D D W W
8 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
24
BTTS Yes
19
14
Over 2.5
19
3.95
Shots on Goal
5.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 37 matches
Olimpia Olimpia 38 matches
Sportivo Ameliano Statistic Olimpia
12 Wins 23
16 Draws 7
9 Losses 8
44 Goals For 62
39 Goals Against 33
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
24 BTTS Yes 19
27 Over 1.5 27
14 Over 2.5 19
5 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 15
7 Failed To Score 6
3.95 Shots On Goal 5.31
11.97 Total Shots 15.81
4.08 Corners 5.19
51% Ball Possession 54.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Olimpia's more proactive style and Sportivo Ameliano's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Olimpia. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Olimpia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 30 points while Sportivo Ameliano sit 8 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sportivo Ameliano expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Olimpia in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Olimpia having the stronger overall control.

Sportivo Ameliano Analysis

Sportivo Ameliano sit 8 with 19 points after 15 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 17:18 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Ocampos (5 goals), E. Moreira (3 goals), R. Torales (2 goals), with creative support from C. Ocampos (2 assists), E. Torales (2 assists), J. González (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Olimpia Analysis

Olimpia come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 30 points after 15 matches. With 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 25:10, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by R. Redes (3 goals), H. Sandoval (3 goals), R. Ortiz (2 goals), with creative support from R. Ortiz (2 assists), A. Rodríguez (2 assists), E. Delmás (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Ameliano won 6 times, Olimpia won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from Sportivo Ameliano's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Sportivo Ameliano 4-2-3-1 / Olimpia 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Sportivo Ameliano wins 6, draws 4, Olimpia wins 5

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 3 3 37:14 23 42
W W W W W
2 19 10 4 5 31:18 13 34
W D L W W
3 19 10 3 6 28:20 8 33
W L L W L
4 19 9 5 5 26:14 12 32
L L W L W
5 19 8 7 4 21:17 4 31
L W W W L
6 19 8 6 5 18:21 -3 30
L D L D L
7 19 8 4 7 25:20 5 28
D W L W D
8 19 7 1 11 25:33 -8 22
W W L L W
9 19 4 7 8 19:28 -9 19
L L L L D
10 19 4 5 10 21:36 -15 17
D L W L L
11 19 4 4 11 21:33 -12 16
D L W D W
12 19 2 5 12 14:32 -18 11
D W W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)