PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Jose Tomas Silva
Referee: M. D. de Vivar
Sportivo Ameliano
Match Timeline
Nacional Asuncion
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
10'
Abel Paredes
Sportivo Ameliano
11'
E. Vera
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
13'
Roque Santa Cruz
Nacional Asuncion
20'
H. A. Benitez · Assist: R. C. Ramirez Antunez
Nacional Asuncion
🟨
30'
Abel Paredes
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
34'
Fabrizio Portillo
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
36'
Alexis Canete
Nacional Asuncion
🟨
43'
Fabián Franco
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
46'
F. Portillo ↔ L. Ayala
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
50'
Líder Cáceres
Nacional Asuncion
VAR
55'
Raúl Cabral
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
63'
Sebastian Vargas
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
63'
L. Caceres ↔ D. J. Colman Escobar
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
64'
C. R. Santa ↔ I. Bailone
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
72'
J. Sanguina ↔ L. Bruno
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
76'
J. Feliu ↔ C. Espinola
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
76'
H. A. Benitez ↔ J. Santacruz
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
81'
R. Cabral ↔ A. Contrera
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
81'
V. Larralde ↔ M. Leon
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
88'
R. Prieto ↔ T. Vega
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
90+1'
E. Vera ↔ A. Avalos
Sportivo Ameliano

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 81.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
81.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
74.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Ameliano Win 45%
Draw 36.4%
Nacional Asuncion Win 18.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Ameliano1.17
Nacional Asuncion1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano
WWDLW
20 GF / 13 GA
Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion
WLDWL
22 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
8
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
7
3.25
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 16 matches
Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 16 matches
Sportivo Ameliano Statistic Nacional Asuncion
7 Wins 6
6 Draws 7
3 Losses 3
20 Goals For 22
13 Goals Against 17
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
8 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 3
3.25 Shots On Goal 3.5
11.63 Total Shots 11
4.19 Corners 4.13
48.4% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sportivo Ameliano come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Nacional Asuncion.

Sportivo Ameliano Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 27 points from 16 games, Sportivo Ameliano bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a -:- goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on E. Vera (6 goals), A. Falabella (2 goals), C. Ocampos (2 goals), with creative support from R. Cabral (3 assists), A. Paredes (2 assists), E. Vera (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a balanced approach.

Nacional Asuncion Analysis

Nacional Asuncion arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 25 points after 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, while the -:- goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Valdez (4 goals), A. Samudio (2 goals), D. J. Colman Escobar (2 goals), with creative support from A. D. Canete Torres (3 assists), I. Valdez (2 assists), O. Gaona Lugo (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Ameliano won 6 times, Nacional Asuncion won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:10 from Sportivo Ameliano's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.5%)
Predicted formations: Sportivo Ameliano 4-2-3-1 / Nacional Asuncion 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sportivo Ameliano wins 6, draws 6, Nacional Asuncion wins 3
Stats
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 2
13 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 2
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 1
1 Blocked Shots 3
3 Shots insidebox 5
4 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
425 Total passes 292
325 Passes accurate 180
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sportivo Ameliano
Formation
Nacional Asuncion
M. Martinez
M. Martinez
F. Franco
F. Franco
J. Gonzalez
J. Gonzalez
A. Falabella
A. Falabella
A. Paredes
A. Paredes
J. Benitez
J. Benitez
F. Portillo
F. Portillo
V. Larralde
V. Larralde
R. Cabral
R. Cabral
E. Vera
E. Vera
J. Sanguina
J. Sanguina
S. Rojas
S. Rojas
L. Caceres
L. Caceres
A. D. Canete Torres
A. D. Canete Torres
G. Benitez
G. Benitez
J. Feliu
J. Feliu
R. C. Ramirez Antunez
🎯
R. C. Ramirez Antunez
F. Jara
F. Jara
S. Vargas
S. Vargas
R. Prieto
R. Prieto
C. R. Santa
C. R. Santa
H. A. Benitez
H. A. Benitez
Sportivo Ameliano 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
23
M. Martinez
G
21
F. Franco
🟨 43'
D
26
J. Gonzalez
D
22
A. Falabella
D
19
A. Paredes
🟨 30'
D
6
J. Benitez
M
38
F. Portillo
↓ 46' 🟨 34'
M
20
V. Larralde
↓ 81'
M
30
R. Cabral
↓ 81'
M
10
E. Vera
⚽ 11' ↓ 90+1'
M
28
J. Sanguina
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
35
A. Sanchez
G
34
M. Benitez
D
27
M. Jacquet
D
5
H. Benitez
D
24
L. Ayala
↑ 46'
M
25
L. Bruno
↑ 72'
F
18
A. Avalos
↑ 90+1'
17
C. Favero
F
40
A. Contrera
↑ 81'
M
15
W. Rodriguez
M
36
M. Leon
↑ 81'
F
11
S. Aranda
M
Nacional Asuncion 3-4-3
Starting XI
30
S. Rojas
G
15
L. Caceres
↓ 63' 🟨 50'
D
3
A. D. Canete Torres
🟨 36'
D
5
G. Benitez
D
21
J. Feliu
↓ 76'
M
25
R. C. Ramirez Antunez
🎯 20'
M
8
F. Jara
M
29
S. Vargas
27
R. Prieto
↓ 88'
F
24
C. R. Santa
↓ 64' 🟨 13'
F
9
H. A. Benitez
⚽ 20' ↓ 76'
Substitutes
1
G. Ortiz
G
7
I. Bailone
↑ 64'
F
10
C. Arrua
M
23
C. Espinola
↑ 76'
D
11
M. Almeida
F
36
F. Pelozo
F
6
S. Torales
M
17
J. Santacruz
↑ 76'
M
22
D. J. Colman Escobar
↑ 63'
M
38
T. Vega
↑ 88'
26
M. Coronel
D
32
M. Garrone
F
Last matches: Sportivo Ameliano
01.08.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
28.07.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Rubio NU
1
1
D
25.07.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
24.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
16.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
0
1
L
11.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
W
03.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
1
1
D
24.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
10.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo
2
1
W
05.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
2
2
D
31.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
1
W
27.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
2
0
W
23.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Rubio NU
2
1
W
19.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
15.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
0
0
D
09.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
28.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
0
1
L
25.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
19.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
14.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo
3
0
W
Last matches: Nacional Asuncion
03.08.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2
3
L
29.07.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
2
0
W
25.07.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
24.05.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
2
1
W
15.05.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
1
1
D
09.05.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
03.05.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
1
0
W
24.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
W
11.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
0
0
D
04.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
0
3
L
31.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
27.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
22.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
0
D
18.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
1
2
L
15.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
1
0
W
09.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
01.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
1
1
D
26.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2
2
D
19.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
15.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2
0
W
H2H: Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion
25.07.26
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
20.04.26
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
19.02.26
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
20.11.25
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
2
0
L
29.08.25
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
3
0
W
04.05.25
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
0
1
W
22.02.25
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
2
1
W
06.10.24
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
0
W
04.08.24
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
0
0
D
06.04.24
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
19.01.24
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
0
W
28.10.23
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
2
1
L
11.08.23
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
2
0
W
05.05.23
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
L
24.02.23
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
Last matches: Sportivo Ameliano
01.08.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
25.07.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
24.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
11.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
W
05.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
2
2
D
27.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
2
0
W
15.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
0
0
D
28.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
0
1
L
25.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
14.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo
3
0
W
31.01.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
0
W
25.01.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Rubio NU
2
2
D
H2H at home: Sportivo Ameliano
25.07.26
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
20.04.26
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
29.08.25
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
3
0
W
22.02.25
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
2
1
W
06.10.24
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
0
W
19.01.24
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
0
W
11.08.23
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
2
0
W
24.02.23
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
Last matches: Nacional Asuncion
03.08.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2
3
L
25.07.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
15.05.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
1
1
D
03.05.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
1
0
W
04.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
0
3
L
31.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
0
D
18.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
1
2
L
09.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
26.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2
2
D
15.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2
0
W
27.01.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
H2H away: Nacional Asuncion
25.07.26
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
20.04.26
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
29.08.25
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
3
0
L
22.02.25
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
2
1
L
06.10.24
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
0
L
19.01.24
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
0
L
11.08.23
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
2
0
L
24.02.23
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)