Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
85.3%
|
1.61 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.95 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.2%
|
1.23 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sportivo Ameliano
31 matches
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
31 matches
| Sportivo Ameliano | Statistic | Club Sp. San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 3 |
| 13 | Draws | 7 |
| 7 | Losses | 21 |
| 38 | Goals For | 17 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.55 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.87 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 16 |
| 3.71 | Shots On Goal | 1.45 |
| 11.65 | Total Shots | 6.13 |
| 3.97 | Corners | 2.55 |
| 50.6% | Ball Possession | 24.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sportivo Ameliano expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Club Sp. San Lorenzo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Sp. San Lorenzo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Club Sp. San Lorenzo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Sportivo Ameliano arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 13 points compared to Club Sp. San Lorenzo in 12 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Sportivo Ameliano sit 6 with 13 points after 9 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 11:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by C. Ocampos (3 goals), E. Moreira (2 goals), R. Cabral (1 goals), with creative support from E. Torales (2 assists), J. González (1 assists), Fabián Franco (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 1 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 3:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Aragón (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Ameliano won 3 times, Club Sp. San Lorenzo won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Sportivo Ameliano's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 23 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20:9 | 11 | 22 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:6 | 12 | 21 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 |
Sportivo Ameliano
Home
|
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 17 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Away
|
11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3:21 | -18 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|