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NIGERIA › NPFL
11.10.2026 15:00
Mobolaji Johnson Arena
Sporting Lagos
Match Timeline
Bendel Insurance
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
K. Oke Solomon
Bendel Insurance
⚽
14'
V. Samuel
Sporting Lagos
🟨
17'
Bendel Insurance
Bendel Insurance
⚽
22'
G. Olaniya
Sporting Lagos
🟨
53'
Bendel Insurance
Bendel Insurance
🟨
54'
Sporting Lagos
Sporting Lagos

Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 78.2%
Odds 1.95
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 2.06
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.30
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
78.2%
1.95 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
2.06 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.30 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
9.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
41.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sporting Lagos Win 21.8%
Draw 31.8%
Bendel Insurance Win 46.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Lagos1.31
Bendel Insurance1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Lagos Sporting Lagos
WWDLW
8 GF / 8 GA
Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance
WLDWL
13 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
3
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Lagos Sporting Lagos 7 matches
Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 7 matches
Sporting Lagos Statistic Bendel Insurance
2 Wins 4
3 Draws 0
2 Losses 3
8 Goals For 13
8 Goals Against 11
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
3 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Bendel Insurance's more proactive style and Sporting Lagos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bendel Insurance. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bendel Insurance having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sporting Lagos Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Sporting Lagos have collected 9 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 8:8 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bendel Insurance Analysis

Bendel Insurance approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 12 points after 7 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a 13:11 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Lagos won 1 times, Bendel Insurance won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Sporting Lagos's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (78.2%)
H2H summary: Sporting Lagos wins 1, draws 0, Bendel Insurance wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 14:9 5 17
D W W L W
2 8 4 4 0 13:2 11 16
D W D D W
3 8 4 2 2 13:8 5 14
W L W D W
4 8 3 4 1 12:9 3 13
D L D W D
5 8 4 1 3 10:10 0 13
L W L D L
6 8 3 3 2 10:7 3 12
W L D W L
7 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
L W L W L
8 8 3 3 2 10:9 1 12
W D D D W
9 8 3 3 2 10:11 -1 12
W D D W L
10 8 2 5 1 11:11 0 11
L D D D D
11 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
W D W L D
12 8 3 1 4 9:9 0 10
L W L W L
13 8 3 1 4 6:7 -1 10
W L L W D
14 8 2 3 3 6:7 -1 9
D W L D L
15 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
D L W L W
16 8 2 2 4 9:10 -1 8
D L D L W
17 8 2 2 4 7:11 -4 8
L D D L L
18 8 2 2 4 7:14 -7 8
W L W L L
19 8 2 1 5 11:14 -3 7
L W W D L
20 8 1 2 5 5:13 -8 5
L D L D W
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation