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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
11.10.2026 00:30
Children's Mercy Park
Referee: Pierre Luce Lauziere
Sporting Kansas City
Match Timeline
Portland Timbers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
David Da Costa · Assist: Ariel Lassiter
Portland Timbers
🟨
12'
Vincent Janssen
Portland Timbers
VAR
45+1'
Kristoffer Velde
Portland Timbers
⚽
45+4'
Vincent Janssen
Portland Timbers
⚽
45+7'
André Luiz
Sporting Kansas City
⚽
45+7'
André Luiz
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
63'
Vincent Janssen ↔ Antony
Portland Timbers
🔄
63'
Diego Chará ↔ Jose Caicedo
Portland Timbers
⚽
64'
Ariel Lassiter · Assist: Jímer Fory
Portland Timbers
⚽
70'
Justin Reynolds · Assist: Taylor Calheira
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
71'
Justin Reynolds ↔ Ian James
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
71'
Stephen Afrifa ↔ Ruben Ramos Jr
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
71'
Taylor Calheira ↔ Seymour Garfield-Reid
Sporting Kansas City
⚽
72'
André Luiz · Assist: Seymour Garfield-Reid
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
75'
Julio Joao Ortiz Landazuri ↔ Eric Izoita
Portland Timbers
🔄
79'
Zorhan Bassong ↔ Jacob Bartlett
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
82'
André Luiz ↔ Shapi Suleymanov
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
87'
Ariel Lassiter ↔ Ian Smith
Portland Timbers
🔄
87'
Kristoffer Velde ↔ Alexander Aravena
Portland Timbers

Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
72.8%
1.53 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.33 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.36 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sporting Kansas City Win 27.2%
Draw 19.8%
Portland Timbers Win 53%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Kansas City1.42
Portland Timbers1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
WWDLW
37 GF / 71 GA
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WLDWL
56 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.75
2.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
18
BTTS Yes
24
23
Over 2.5
23
4.33
Shots on Goal
4.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 33 matches
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 32 matches
Sporting Kansas City Statistic Portland Timbers
9 Wins 10
3 Draws 7
21 Losses 15
37 Goals For 56
71 Goals Against 60
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
2.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
18 BTTS Yes 24
29 Over 1.5 29
23 Over 2.5 23
12 Over 3.5 16
3 Clean Sheets 2
12 Failed To Score 7
4.33 Shots On Goal 4.48
10.89 Total Shots 13.56
3.93 Corners 4.93
44.4% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sporting Kansas City expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Portland Timbers in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Portland Timbers having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Portland Timbers. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Sporting Kansas City Analysis

Sporting Kansas City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 21 points from 27 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 18 defeats with a 32:65 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Dejan Joveljić (7 goals), André Luiz (5 goals), C. Harris (3 goals), with creative support from C. Harris (3 assists), Manu García (3 assists), S. Afrifa (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Portland Timbers Analysis

Portland Timbers approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 32 points from 27 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 48:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Kevin Kelsy (9 goals), K. Velde (6 goals), David Pereira da Costa (3 goals), with creative support from David Pereira da Costa (7 assists), K. Velde (5 assists), C. Bassett (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 2 times, Portland Timbers won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:37 from Sporting Kansas City's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)
Predicted formations: Sporting Kansas City 4-4-2 / Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Sporting Kansas City 7, Portland Timbers 6
H2H summary: Sporting Kansas City wins 2, draws 3, Portland Timbers wins 10

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 6 7 61:30 31 51
D L D W L
2 27 13 8 6 48:36 12 47
W W W D W
3 28 13 8 7 52:45 7 47
L W D W W
4 28 13 7 8 50:40 10 46
D W D W W
5 28 13 6 9 36:34 2 45
D L D L W
6 29 11 9 9 44:31 13 42
D L D L W
7 28 11 8 9 38:35 3 41
W W W W D
8 28 11 4 13 39:39 0 37
D L D W D
9 28 9 9 10 37:44 -7 36
W W D L W
10 28 9 6 13 51:54 -3 33
D L L L D
11 28 9 5 14 41:46 -5 32
L W L L L
12 28 8 8 12 48:51 -3 32
L D D L L
13 28 7 10 11 36:51 -15 31
L D D W D
14 28 7 9 12 42:51 -9 30
D L L L L
15 28 6 4 18 35:68 -33 22
D L W L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)