Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
72.8%
|
1.53 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.33 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.36 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.00 |
Sporting Kansas City
Portland Timbers
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sporting Kansas City
33 matches
Portland Timbers
32 matches
| Sporting Kansas City | Statistic | Portland Timbers |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 10 |
| 3 | Draws | 7 |
| 21 | Losses | 15 |
| 37 | Goals For | 56 |
| 71 | Goals Against | 60 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 2.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 4.48 |
| 10.89 | Total Shots | 13.56 |
| 3.93 | Corners | 4.93 |
| 44.4% | Ball Possession | 50.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sporting Kansas City expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Portland Timbers in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Portland Timbers having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Portland Timbers. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Sporting Kansas City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 21 points from 27 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 18 defeats with a 32:65 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Dejan Joveljić (7 goals), André Luiz (5 goals), C. Harris (3 goals), with creative support from C. Harris (3 assists), Manu García (3 assists), S. Afrifa (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Portland Timbers approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 32 points from 27 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 48:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Kevin Kelsy (9 goals), K. Velde (6 goals), David Pereira da Costa (3 goals), with creative support from David Pereira da Costa (7 assists), K. Velde (5 assists), C. Bassett (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 2 times, Portland Timbers won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:37 from Sporting Kansas City's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 61:30 | 31 | 51 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 12 | 47 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52:45 | 7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 10 | 46 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 39:39 | 0 | 37 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 36 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Portland Timbers
Away
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | -3 | 33 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 11 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41:46 | -5 | 32 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 48:51 | -3 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36:51 | -15 | 31 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 42:51 | -9 | 30 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
Home
|
28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 35:68 | -33 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
W
|