Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
55.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Sporting Kansas City
Philadelphia Union
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sporting Kansas City
30 matches
Philadelphia Union
34 matches
| Sporting Kansas City | Statistic | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 13 |
| 3 | Draws | 8 |
| 19 | Losses | 13 |
| 31 | Goals For | 68 |
| 65 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 2.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 5.07 |
| 10.5 | Total Shots | 16.17 |
| 3.92 | Corners | 6.03 |
| 44.5% | Ball Possession | 48.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Philadelphia Union's more proactive style and Sporting Kansas City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Philadelphia Union. Philadelphia Union carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 30 points while Sporting Kansas City sit 15 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Sporting Kansas City have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Sporting Kansas City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 15 points from 23 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 23:58, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through D. Joveljić (6 goals), T. Calheira (3 goals), Manu García (2 goals), with creative support from Manu García (3 assists), C. Harris (2 assists), D. Joveljić (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 24 matches, Philadelphia Union have collected 30 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 41:39 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Iloski (10 goals), B. Damiani (6 goals), Cavan Sullivan (3 goals), with creative support from Cavan Sullivan (4 assists), F. Westfield (3 assists), B. Damiani (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 4 times, Philadelphia Union won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:21 from Sporting Kansas City's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53:23 | 30 | 46 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49:42 | 7 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:35 | 7 | 41 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 40 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 30 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 29 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 29 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
Home
|
24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26:59 | -33 | 18 |
W
L
L
L
D
|