🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Children's Mercy Park
Referee: N. Bensalah
Sporting Kansas City
Match Timeline
New York Red Bulls
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
J. Ruvalcaba · Assist: G. Berggren
New York Red Bulls
🔄
19'
C. Cowell ↔ R. Mosquera
New York Red Bulls
🟨
45+1'
J. Marshall-Rutty
New York Red Bulls
45'
J. Ruvalcaba · Assist: J. Hall
New York Red Bulls
🔄
58'
Z. Bassong ↔ M. Garcia
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
58'
J. Davis ↔ J. Reynolds
Sporting Kansas City
64'
C. Harris · Assist: M. Garcia
Sporting Kansas City
🟨
70'
L. Johnsen
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
73'
J. Ruvalcaba ↔ R. Mitchell
New York Red Bulls
🔄
73'
G. Berggren ↔ N. Benedetti
New York Red Bulls
🔄
76'
T. Calheira ↔ S. Afrifa
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
79'
↔ C. Harper
New York Red Bulls
🔄
80'
O. Valencia ↔ J. Bazan
New York Red Bulls
🔄
82'
Capita ↔ S. Suleymanov
Sporting Kansas City
🟨
87'
N. Benedetti
New York Red Bulls

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sporting Kansas City Win 26.2%
Draw 23.8%
New York Red Bulls Win 50%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Kansas City1.45
New York Red Bulls1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
WWDLW
18 GF / 40 GA
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
WLDWL
36 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1.8
2.11
Average Goals Conceded
2.2
9
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
15
3.69
Shots on Goal
5.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 19 matches
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 20 matches
Sporting Kansas City Statistic New York Red Bulls
6 Wins 7
2 Draws 4
11 Losses 9
18 Goals For 36
40 Goals Against 44
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
2.11 Avg Goals Conceded 2.2
9 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 12
2 Clean Sheets 2
8 Failed To Score 4
3.69 Shots On Goal 5.14
8.85 Total Shots 13.71
3.46 Corners 6.43
43.5% Ball Possession 53.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring New York Red Bulls. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. New York Red Bulls carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 19 points while Sporting Kansas City sit 15 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward New York Red Bulls having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Sporting Kansas City Analysis

Sporting Kansas City sit 15 with 11 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats with a 13:34 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Joveljic (6 goals), C. Harris (1 goals), Capita (1 goals), with creative support from C. Harris (3 assists), M. Garcia (2 assists), J. Davis (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

New York Red Bulls Analysis

New York Red Bulls sit 6 with 19 points after 14 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 23:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Hall (9 goals), J. Ruvalcaba (5 goals), E. M. Choupo-Moting (2 goals), with creative support from Ronald Donkor (4 assists), C. Cowell (3 assists), E. Forsberg (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 4 times, New York Red Bulls won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:22 from Sporting Kansas City's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.2%)
Predicted formations: Sporting Kansas City 4-4-2 / New York Red Bulls -
Missing players: Sporting Kansas City 2, New York Red Bulls 5
H2H summary: Sporting Kansas City wins 4, draws 4, New York Red Bulls wins 7
Stats
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 1
5 Fouls 15
6 Offsides 1
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 3
12 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 7
509 Total passes 324
406 Passes accurate 220
1.69 expected_goals 0.88
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sporting Kansas City
Formation
New York Red Bulls
S. Cleveland
S. Cleveland
J. Davis
J. Davis
I. James
I. James
W. Meyer
W. Meyer
J. Reid
J. Reid
Capita
Capita
L. Johnsen
L. Johnsen
Z. Bassong
Z. Bassong
C. Harris
C. Harris
T. Calheira
T. Calheira
D. Joveljic
D. Joveljic
E. Horvath
E. Horvath
J. Marshall-Rutty
J. Marshall-Rutty
J. Che
J. Che
D. Nealis
D. Nealis
O. Valencia
O. Valencia
R. Donkor
R. Donkor
A. Mehmeti
A. Mehmeti
G. Berggren
🎯
G. Berggren
C. Cowell
C. Cowell
J. Hall
🎯
J. Hall
J. Ruvalcaba
⚽ 2
J. Ruvalcaba
Sporting Kansas City 4-4-2
Starting XI
30
S. Cleveland
G
8
J. Davis
↓ 58'
D
2
I. James
D
28
W. Meyer
D
99
J. Reid
D
7
Capita
↓ 82'
M
4
L. Johnsen
🟨 70'
M
22
Z. Bassong
↓ 58'
M
11
C. Harris
⚽ 64'
M
19
T. Calheira
↓ 76'
F
9
D. Joveljic
F
Substitutes
1
J. Pulskamp
G
6
M. Garcia
🎯 64' ↑ 58'
M
93
S. Suleymanov
↑ 82'
F
17
S. Afrifa
↑ 76'
F
57
Diego Borges
16
J. Bartlett
D
23
E. Bartlow
D
13
J. Reynolds
↑ 58'
D
14
M. Tschantret
M
New York Red Bulls 4-3-3 (estimated)
Starting XI
34
E. Horvath
G
3
J. Marshall-Rutty
🟨 45+1'
D
2
J. Che
D
12
D. Nealis
D
5
O. Valencia
↓ 80'
D
48
R. Donkor
M
15
A. Mehmeti
M
4
G. Berggren
🎯 3' ↓ 73'
M
7
C. Cowell
↓ 19'
F
16
J. Hall
🎯 45'
F
11
J. Ruvalcaba
⚽ 3' ⚽ 45' ↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
77
J. McCarthy
G
17
C. Harper
↑ 79'
F
33
R. Mitchell
↑ 73'
F
79
R. Mosquera
↑ 19'
F
70
A. Rojas
F
37
M. Sofo
F
39
N. Benedetti
↑ 73' 🟨 87'
M
26
T. Parker
D
14
J. Bazan
↑ 80'
D
Last matches: Sporting Kansas City
23.07.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FC
2
1
W
17.07.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City
2
3
L
17.05.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
2
1
W
14.05.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
1
W
10.05.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
Portland Timbers
0
6
L
02.05.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
0
5
L
18.04.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
3
L
12.04.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes
1
3
L
04.04.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
Real Salt Lake
1
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids
1
4
L
15.03.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
08.03.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
San Diego
0
1
L
01.03.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
Columbus Crew
2
2
D
22.02.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes
0
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
2
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
Sporting Kansas City
New York City FC
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FC
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Sporting Kansas City
Charlotte
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
0
1
L
Last matches: New York Red Bulls
22.07.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
1
3
L
16.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
09.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
3
1
W
02.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
2
L
25.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
0
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
DC United
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
1
4
L
11.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
2
2
D
04.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
4
2
W
21.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
1
6
L
14.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
0
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
2
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
2
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Hartford Athletic
5
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
3
1
W
H2H: Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls
24.05.26
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
1
2
L
07.09.24
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
1
1
D
04.07.22
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
0
1
L
18.04.21
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
W
14.04.19
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
2
2
D
14.07.18
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
3
2
L
21.09.17
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
2
1
W
04.05.17
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
09.04.16
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
0
2
W
08.03.15
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
31.10.14
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
2
1
L
27.10.14
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
0
2
L
06.09.14
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
2
1
L
28.05.14
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
03.08.13
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
2
3
L
Last matches: Sporting Kansas City
23.07.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FC
2
1
W
14.05.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
1
W
02.05.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
12.04.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes
1
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids
1
4
L
08.03.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
San Diego
0
1
L
01.03.26
Maj
Sporting Kansas City
Columbus Crew
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
2
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
Sporting Kansas City
New York City FC
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FC
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Sporting Kansas City
Charlotte
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
0
1
L
17.01.26
Fri
Sporting Kansas City
FIU Panthers
1
0
W
H2H at home: Sporting Kansas City
24.05.26
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
1
2
L
04.07.22
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
0
1
L
14.04.19
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
2
2
D
21.09.17
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
2
1
W
04.05.17
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
08.03.15
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
27.10.14
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
0
2
L
28.05.14
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
03.08.13
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
2
3
L
Last matches: New York Red Bulls
22.07.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
1
3
L
09.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
3
1
W
25.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
0
2
L
18.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
1
4
L
11.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
2
2
D
21.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
1
6
L
14.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
1
1
D
22.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
2
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
2
3
L
H2H away: New York Red Bulls
24.05.26
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
1
2
W
04.07.22
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
0
1
W
14.04.19
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
2
2
D
21.09.17
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
2
1
L
04.05.17
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
2
0
L
08.03.15
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
27.10.14
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
0
2
W
28.05.14
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
03.08.13
H2H
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
2
3
W

Missing Players

Sporting Kansas City 2 missing
-
K. Agyabeng
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
J. Miller
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
New York Red Bulls 5 missing
-
A. Marcucci
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
C. Harper
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
E. M. Choupo-Moting
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Dos Santos
Questionable Calf Injury
OUT
-
E. Forsberg
Questionable Hip Injury
OUT