Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
73.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sporting Kansas City
21 matches
Minnesota United FC
18 matches
| Sporting Kansas City | Statistic | Minnesota United FC |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 7 |
| 2 | Draws | 5 |
| 13 | Losses | 6 |
| 21 | Goals For | 22 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 2.14 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.93 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 9.47 | Total Shots | 13.27 |
| 3.8 | Corners | 5.27 |
| 44.9% | Ball Possession | 46.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Minnesota United FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Minnesota United FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 22 points while Sporting Kansas City sit 15 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sporting Kansas City expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Minnesota United FC in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Minnesota United FC having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
With 11 points from 14 games and a place of 15, Sporting Kansas City still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 14:36, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Joveljic (6 goals), C. Harris (2 goals), Capita (1 goals), with creative support from C. Harris (3 assists), M. Garcia (3 assists), S. Afrifa (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Minnesota United FC have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 22 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 18:22 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Yeboah (8 goals), Anthony Markanich (4 goals), J. Pereyra (1 goals), with creative support from J. Pereyra (5 assists), T. Chancalay (3 assists), J. Rodriguez (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 6 times, Minnesota United FC won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:22 from Sporting Kansas City's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Sporting Kansas City
7
10
4
4
0
2
Lineups
Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City
Houston Dynamo
Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles FC
Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City
Portland Timbers
Sporting Kansas City
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
Vancouver Whitecaps
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
Columbus Crew
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
Atlanta United FC
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
New England Revolution
Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United FC
Austin
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
Nashville SC
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
Minnesota United FC
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
Houston Dynamo
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
Columbus Crew
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
Charlotte
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
FIU Panthers
Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
New England Revolution
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
Nashville SC
Minnesota United FC
Austin
Minnesota United FC
Charlotte
Minnesota United FC
DC United
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40:18 | 22 | 37 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35:21 | 14 | 34 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 38:28 | 10 | 33 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38:29 | 9 | 33 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:26 | 2 | 30 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 30:25 | 5 | 28 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 28 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 37:36 | 1 | 27 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 25 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 |
Minnesota United FC
Away
|
20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22:28 | -6 | 25 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 24 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25:39 | -14 | 20 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
Home
|
20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 19:49 | -30 | 15 |
D
L
L
L
W
|