Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
49.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
78%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Sporting Kansas City
Houston Dynamo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sporting Kansas City
23 matches
Houston Dynamo
25 matches
| Sporting Kansas City | Statistic | Houston Dynamo |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 15 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 14 | Losses | 6 |
| 23 | Goals For | 44 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 2.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.94 | Shots On Goal | 4.81 |
| 9.35 | Total Shots | 13.38 |
| 3.59 | Corners | 4.19 |
| 44.8% | Ball Possession | 44.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sporting Kansas City expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Houston Dynamo in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Houston Dynamo having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Houston Dynamo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 23 points while Sporting Kansas City sit 15 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Houston Dynamo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Sporting Kansas City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 14 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 18:40 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Dejan Joveljić (4 goals), Manu García (2 goals), Calvin Harris (2 goals), with creative support from Manu García (3 assists), Calvin Harris (2 assists), Dejan Joveljić (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Houston Dynamo sit 7 with 23 points after 15 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Guilherme (4 goals), Lawrence Ennali (2 goals), Jack McGlynn (2 goals), with creative support from Lawrence Ennali (2 assists), Guilherme (1 assists), Jack McGlynn (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 6 times, Houston Dynamo won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:17 from Sporting Kansas City's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 48:18 | 30 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 2 |
Houston Dynamo
Away
|
22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 39 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 34 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 41:37 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:30 | 3 | 34 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 31:28 | 3 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 30 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 30:32 | -2 | 29 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 34:33 | 1 | 28 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:39 | 0 | 28 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 26 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 28:35 | -7 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28:41 | -13 | 24 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
Home
|
22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 20:54 | -34 | 15 |
L
L
D
L
L
|