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17.10.2026 16:30
El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini
Referee: Morilla Turrion, Alejandro

Sporting Gijon vs Albacete Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.98
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.9%
1.98 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.93 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.3%
1.22 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sporting Gijon Win 78.9%
Draw 12.2%
Albacete Win 8.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Gijon1.51
Albacete0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
WWDLW
19 GF / 18 GA
Albacete Albacete
WLDWL
11 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
0.73
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
5
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
8
3.78
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 14 matches
Albacete Albacete 15 matches
Sporting Gijon Statistic Albacete
7 Wins 2
1 Draws 3
6 Losses 10
19 Goals For 11
18 Goals Against 26
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
5 BTTS Yes 9
8 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 5
3.78 Shots On Goal 4
11 Total Shots 12.89
3.78 Corners 5.22
49.6% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sporting Gijon arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 13 points compared to Albacete in 22 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Albacete.

Sporting Gijon Analysis

With 13 points from 8 games and a place of 8, Sporting Gijon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 8:8 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Antonio Casas (3 goals), J. Otero (1 goals), Guille Rosas (1 goals), with creative support from J. Otero (1 assists), Álex Corredera (1 assists), Andrés Cuenca (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Albacete Analysis

With 1 points from 8 games and a place of 22, Albacete still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 5:15, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through San Bartolomé (1 goals), Alex Rubio (1 goals), Róber (1 goals), with creative support from Mario Soberón (1 assists), Agus Medina (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Gijon won 5 times, Albacete won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:21 from Sporting Gijon's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Sporting Gijon 4-4-2 / Albacete 4-4-2
H2H summary: Sporting Gijon wins 5, draws 6, Albacete wins 4

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 0 2 16:5 11 21
W W W W W
2 9 7 0 2 19:10 9 21
L W W W W
3 9 6 2 1 15:4 11 20
L D W W W
4 9 5 2 2 11:4 7 17
W D L W W
5 9 4 4 1 10:7 3 16
W D D W L
6 9 5 1 3 9:8 1 16
W W L W L
7 9 4 3 2 15:9 6 15
D D W W L
8 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
L L W W W
9 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
W L W L W
10 9 4 2 3 14:13 1 14
W W L L D
11 9 3 3 3 13:11 2 12
W D W D L
12 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D L D L W
13 10 4 0 6 15:20 -5 12
W L W L W
14 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
15 9 3 2 4 10:11 -1 11
W W L L W
16 9 3 2 4 13:16 -3 11
L D L L W
17 10 3 2 5 6:15 -9 11
L L L L W
18 9 3 1 5 13:15 -2 10
W D W L L
19 9 2 2 5 12:17 -5 8
L L L L W
20 9 1 4 4 11:11 0 7
L W D L L
21 9 1 2 6 8:20 -12 5
L D W D L
22 9 0 1 8 5:20 -15 1
L L L L D
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation