16.08.2026 16:00
Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Referee: Junior Rivera, Peru
Sporting Cristal
Match Timeline
Sport Huancayo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Cristiano
Sporting Cristal
11'
M. Hoyos · Assist: S. Gonzalez
Sporting Cristal
25'
H. Barcos · Assist: S. Gonzalez
Sporting Cristal
🔄
46'
R. Huaccha ↔ D. Porozo
Sport Huancayo
🔄
60'
D. Carabano ↔ A. Quinonez
Sport Huancayo
🔄
60'
P. Magallanes ↔ J. J. Gimenez Delgado
Sport Huancayo
🔄
62'
H. Barcos ↔ Gabriel
Sporting Cristal
🔄
62'
M. Tavara ↔ C. Cabellos
Sporting Cristal
63'
J. J. Gimenez Delgado
Sport Huancayo
🟨
68'
Hugo Ángeles
Sport Huancayo
🟨
71'
Jimmy Valoyes
Sport Huancayo
73'
M. Hoyos · Assist: Y. Yotun
Sporting Cristal
🔄
75'
M. Gaona ↔ Y. Murillo
Sport Huancayo
🔄
78'
J. Cuesta ↔ M. Castro
Sporting Cristal
🔄
78'
S. Gonzalez ↔ L. Iberico
Sporting Cristal
80'
R. Lutiger · Assist: Gabriel
Sporting Cristal
🔄
82'
M. Hoyos ↔ I. Avila
Sporting Cristal
🔄
82'
J. Sanguinetti ↔ J. Martinez
Sport Huancayo
🟨
87'
Juan Giménez
Sport Huancayo

Sporting Cristal vs Sport Huancayo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.5%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sporting Cristal Win 70.5%
Draw 10.2%
Sport Huancayo Win 19.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Cristal1.51
Sport Huancayo1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
WWDLW
46 GF / 47 GA
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo
WLDWL
27 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
21
BTTS Yes
15
19
Over 2.5
14
4.71
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 32 matches
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 21 matches
Sporting Cristal Statistic Sport Huancayo
11 Wins 6
7 Draws 5
14 Losses 10
46 Goals For 27
47 Goals Against 34
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
21 BTTS Yes 15
27 Over 1.5 19
19 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 3
4.71 Shots On Goal 4.29
14.26 Total Shots 13.14
5.35 Corners 4.33
56.6% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sporting Cristal expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Sport Huancayo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Huancayo having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sport Huancayo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Sporting Cristal Analysis

Sporting Cristal sit 12 with 19 points after 17 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, while the 28:30 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Yoshimar Yotún (3 goals), Gustavo Cazonatti (3 goals), Felipe Vizeu (3 goals), with creative support from Yoshimar Yotún (4 assists), Maxloren Castro (2 assists), Santiago González (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sport Huancayo Analysis

With 16 points from 17 games and a place of 17, Sport Huancayo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats with a 21:31 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Ronal Huaccha (4 goals), Nahuel Luján (3 goals), Piero Magallanes (3 goals), with creative support from Nahuel Luján (2 assists), Piero Magallanes (2 assists), Diego Carabaño (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Cristal won 11 times, Sport Huancayo won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:11 from Sporting Cristal's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.8%)
Predicted formations: Sporting Cristal 4-3-3 / Sport Huancayo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sporting Cristal wins 11, draws 1, Sport Huancayo wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5 26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 25 10 7 8 37:31 6 37
W W W D W
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
12 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
13 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
14 25 8 5 12 22:27 -5 29
L W W W D
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2