02.08.2026 16:00
Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Referee: K. Ortega
Sporting Cristal
Match Timeline
Juan Pablo II College
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Miguel Araujo
Sporting Cristal
🟨
31'
Yoshimar Yotún
Sporting Cristal
VAR
36'
Martín Távara
Sporting Cristal
🟨
42'
Matias Almiron
Juan Pablo II College
46'
H. Barcos
Sporting Cristal
🔄
54'
C. Flores ↔ E. Ramirez
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
57'
I. Wisdom ↔ Gabriel
Sporting Cristal
🔄
67'
N. Leguizamon ↔ A. Henricks
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
68'
M. Tavara ↔ L. Iberico
Sporting Cristal
🔄
68'
M. Castro ↔ C. Cabellos
Sporting Cristal
🔄
68'
J. Torres ↔ J. Carhualllanqui
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
72'
Alvaro Rojas
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
75'
Catriel Cabellos
Sporting Cristal
🔄
79'
F. Agurto ↔ J. Toledo
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
79'
A. Rojas ↔ J. Barreto
Juan Pablo II College
80'
S. Gonzalez
Sporting Cristal
🟨
82'
Santiago González
Sporting Cristal
🔄
84'
S. Gonzalez ↔ I. Avila
Sporting Cristal
🔄
84'
H. Barcos ↔ M. Hoyos
Sporting Cristal

Sporting Cristal vs Juan Pablo II College Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.6%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sporting Cristal Win 78.6%
Draw 6.5%
Juan Pablo II College Win 14.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Cristal1.7
Juan Pablo II College1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
WWDLW
43 GF / 46 GA
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
WLDWL
29 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
2.1
20
BTTS Yes
14
19
Over 2.5
14
4.79
Shots on Goal
3.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 30 matches
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 20 matches
Sporting Cristal Statistic Juan Pablo II College
10 Wins 6
6 Draws 5
14 Losses 9
43 Goals For 29
46 Goals Against 42
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 2.1
20 BTTS Yes 14
25 Over 1.5 20
19 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 4
4.79 Shots On Goal 3.26
14.48 Total Shots 9.11
5.38 Corners 3.68
56.5% Ball Possession 42.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Juan Pablo II College. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sporting Cristal expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Juan Pablo II College in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juan Pablo II College having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Sporting Cristal Analysis

Sporting Cristal are currently 10 in the standings with 22 points from 18 matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 29:30 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gustavo Cazonatti (3 goals), Felipe Vizeu (3 goals), Yoshimar Yotún (2 goals), with creative support from Yoshimar Yotún (4 assists), Maxloren Castro (1 assists), Gabriel Santana (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Juan Pablo II College Analysis

Juan Pablo II College sit 13 with 20 points after 19 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 26:42 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Martín Alaníz (2 goals), Josue Torres (2 goals), Erinson Ramirez (1 goals), with creative support from Martín Alaníz (2 assists), Erinson Ramirez (1 assists), Cristhian Tizón (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Cristal won 3 times, Juan Pablo II College won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:2 from Sporting Cristal's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
Predicted formations: Sporting Cristal 4-2-3-1 / Juan Pablo II College 4-4-2
H2H summary: Sporting Cristal wins 3, draws 1, Juan Pablo II College wins 0

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 8 3 44:18 26 56
W L D L D
2 27 14 7 6 43:31 12 49
L W D W W
3 27 14 6 7 39:24 15 48
W L W W W
4 27 13 7 7 45:29 16 46
D W W L D
5 27 14 3 10 40:38 2 45
W L W W L
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 27 11 7 9 40:35 5 40
W L W W W
9 27 11 5 11 48:40 8 38
W W W L L
10 27 10 8 9 29:26 3 38
D W L W W
11 27 9 5 13 26:31 -5 32
L W L W W
12 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
13 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
14 27 7 9 11 35:38 -3 30
L L D L W
15 27 7 6 14 41:52 -11 27
L W L W L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 26 5 7 14 27:41 -14 22
L L L L D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2