Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
77.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sporting Cristal
37 matches
Atletico Grau
26 matches
| Sporting Cristal | Statistic | Atletico Grau |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 16 | Losses | 12 |
| 58 | Goals For | 25 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.96 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 4.67 | Shots On Goal | 3.96 |
| 13.89 | Total Shots | 11.46 |
| 5.47 | Corners | 3.92 |
| 55.9% | Ball Possession | 45.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with Sporting Cristal's more proactive style and Atletico Grau's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atletico Grau. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Sporting Cristal are currently 10 in the standings with 32 points from 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, while the 43:38 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Yotún (5 goals), M. Hoyos (3 goals), Gustavo Cazonatti (3 goals), with creative support from Y. Yotún (7 assists), S. González (3 assists), M. Hoyos (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Atletico Grau sit 13 with 29 points after 25 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, while the 22:27 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Fernández (3 goals), R. Ruidíaz (2 goals), R. Guarderas (1 goals), with creative support from R. Guarderas (2 assists), P. de la Cruz (2 assists), R. Ruidíaz (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Cristal won 8 times, Atletico Grau won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:17 from Sporting Cristal's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.15 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | 24 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | 16 | 49 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | 16 | 45 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 45 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 40 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:34 | 4 | 37 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 |
Sporting Cristal
Home
|
26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 35 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
| 11 |
Atletico Grau
Away
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 12 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|