PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Referee: J. Alarcon
Sporting Cristal
Match Timeline
ADT
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
J. Guivin Tanta · Assist: J. Narvaez
ADT
🟨
18'
Yoshimar Yotún
Sporting Cristal
🟨
24'
Cristiano
Sporting Cristal
🟨
32'
Ángel Ojeda
ADT
🟨
40'
Jhair Soto
ADT
🔄
44'
C. Cabello ↔ L. Gomez
ADT
🟨
55'
John Narváez
ADT
59'
Y. Yotun · Assist: M. Castro
Sporting Cristal
🔄
60'
Gabriel ↔ C. Benavente
Sporting Cristal
🔄
60'
M. Tavara ↔ C. Cabellos
Sporting Cristal
🔄
69'
A. Ojeda ↔ R. Biojo
ADT
🔄
74'
V. Cedron ↔ S. Garcia
ADT
🔄
75'
J. Rojas ↔ H. Arakaki
ADT
78'
G. Cazonatti · Assist: C. Cabellos
Sporting Cristal
🟨
79'
Jonathan Bauman
ADT
VAR
83'
Maxloren Castro
Sporting Cristal
🟨
84'
Juan Valencia
ADT
VAR
86'
Yoshimar Yotún
Sporting Cristal
🟨
87'
Jhair Soto
ADT
🟥
87'
Jhair Soto
ADT
🟨
90+4'
Sinclair García
ADT
🔄
90+5'
M. Castro ↔ I. Wisdom
Sporting Cristal
🔄
90+2'
I. Avila ↔ D. Otoya
Sporting Cristal

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sporting Cristal Win 54.3%
Draw 4.5%
ADT Win 41.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Cristal1.36
ADT1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
WWDLW
37 GF / 38 GA
ADT ADT
WLDWL
21 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
17
BTTS Yes
7
16
Over 2.5
7
4.79
Shots on Goal
5.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 25 matches
ADT ADT 16 matches
Sporting Cristal Statistic ADT
8 Wins 5
6 Draws 5
11 Losses 6
37 Goals For 21
38 Goals Against 19
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
17 BTTS Yes 7
21 Over 1.5 10
16 Over 2.5 7
10 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 4
4.79 Shots On Goal 5.33
14.54 Total Shots 13.07
5.25 Corners 3.8
57.2% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features ADT's more proactive style and Sporting Cristal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors ADT. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sporting Cristal have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sporting Cristal expected to line up in 4-4-2 and ADT in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward ADT having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sporting Cristal Analysis

Sporting Cristal approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 16 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 24:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Felipe Vizeu (5 goals), L. Iberico (4 goals), Gustavo Cazonatti (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Yotun (5 assists), I. Avila (3 assists), S. Gonzalez (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

ADT Analysis

So far, ADT have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 20 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 20:17 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Guivin Tanta (4 goals), Jonathan Bauman (4 goals), J. Rojas (3 goals), with creative support from Carlos Cabello (5 assists), Jonathan Bauman (1 assists), J. Rojas (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Cristal won 4 times, ADT won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Sporting Cristal's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Sporting Cristal 4-4-2 / ADT 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sporting Cristal wins 4, draws 3, ADT wins 2
Stats
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
ADT ADT
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
11
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
1
12 Corner Kicks 0
6 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 0
63% Ball Possession 37%
27 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Goal 1
11 Shots off Goal 2
9 Blocked Shots 1
18 Shots insidebox 2
9 Shots outsidebox 2
0 Goalkeeper Saves 4
502 Total passes 304
440 Passes accurate 234
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 7 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Sporting Cristal
Formation
ADT
D. Enriquez
D. Enriquez
L. Sosa
L. Sosa
M. Araujo
M. Araujo
R. Lutiger
R. Lutiger
Cristiano
Cristiano
M. Tavara
M. Tavara
G. Cazonatti
G. Cazonatti
Y. Yotun
Y. Yotun
I. Avila
I. Avila
Gabriel
Gabriel
M. Castro
🎯
M. Castro
J. Valencia
J. Valencia
C. Cabello
C. Cabello
J. Soto
J. Soto
J. Narvaez
🎯
J. Narvaez
A. Ojeda
A. Ojeda
J. Alvino
J. Alvino
J. Guivin Tanta
J. Guivin Tanta
L. E. Benites Vargas
L. E. Benites Vargas
V. Cedron
V. Cedron
J. Rojas
J. Rojas
J. Bauman
J. Bauman
Sporting Cristal 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
D. Enriquez
G
8
L. Sosa
D
20
M. Araujo
D
5
R. Lutiger
D
90
Cristiano
🟨 24'
D
25
M. Tavara
↓ 60'
M
55
G. Cazonatti
⚽ 78'
M
19
Y. Yotun
⚽ 59' 🟨 18'
M
11
I. Avila
↓ 90+2'
F
27
Gabriel
↓ 60'
F
23
M. Castro
🎯 59' ↓ 90+5'
F
Substitutes
33
C. Bautista
14
C. Benavente
↑ 60'
F
9
F. Vizeu
26
I. Wisdom
↑ 90+5'
M
41
J. Cuenca
96
L. Abram
D
32
L. Diaz
D
28
D. Otoya
↑ 90+2'
F
21
C. Cabellos
🎯 78' ↑ 60'
M
ADT 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
J. Valencia
🟨 84'
G
14
C. Cabello
↓ 44'
D
28
J. Soto
🟨 40' 🟨 87' 🟥 87'
D
23
J. Narvaez
🎯 14' 🟨 55'
D
6
A. Ojeda
↓ 69' 🟨 32'
D
15
J. Alvino
8
J. Guivin Tanta
⚽ 14'
M
21
L. E. Benites Vargas
M
10
V. Cedron
↓ 74'
M
7
J. Rojas
↓ 75'
M
32
J. Bauman
🟨 79'
F
Substitutes
33
C. Solis
G
5
J. Vega
M
13
L. Gomez
↑ 44'
D
25
S. Garcia
↑ 74'
11
A. Cubas
M
37
N. Rengifo
F
17
H. Arakaki
↑ 75'
M
4
R. Biojo
↑ 69'
D
3
L. Rugel
D
Last matches: Sporting Cristal
31.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
2
3
L
28.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
21.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Junior
2
3
L
15.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
FC Cajamarca
1
3
L
10.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
05.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Cusco
2
2
D
29.04.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Junior
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
1
4
L
19.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
3
2
W
16.04.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
1
2
L
09.04.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
3
0
W
11.03.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Atletico
3
1
W
04.03.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
Last matches: ADT
30.05.26
Pri
ADT
Cusco
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
ADT
UCV Moquegua
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pri
ADT
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
ADT
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
4
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
ADT
FC Cajamarca
2
2
D
14.04.26
Pri
ADT
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
ADT
Cienciano
2
3
L
20.03.26
Pri
ADT
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Huancayo
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
ADT
Juan Pablo II College
2
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
ADT
Alianza Atletico
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Boys
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
ADT
Universitario
0
2
L
18.01.26
Fri
ADT
FC Cajamarca
1
2
L
H2H: Sporting Cristal vs ADT
24.05.26
H2H
Sporting Cristal
ADT
2
1
W
04.10.25
H2H
ADT
Sporting Cristal
3
2
L
17.05.25
H2H
Sporting Cristal
ADT
2
1
W
12.07.24
H2H
ADT
Sporting Cristal
3
1
L
27.01.24
H2H
Sporting Cristal
ADT
6
2
W
06.08.23
H2H
ADT
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
04.03.23
H2H
Sporting Cristal
ADT
0
0
D
29.09.22
H2H
Sporting Cristal
ADT
4
2
W
08.05.22
H2H
ADT
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
Last matches: Sporting Cristal
05.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Cusco
2
2
D
29.04.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Junior
2
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
3
2
W
09.04.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
3
0
W
11.03.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Atletico
3
1
W
25.02.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
2 de Mayo
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
2
2
D
08.02.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
1
2
L
25.01.26
Fri
Sporting Cristal
Universidad Catolica
3
1
W
H2H at home: Sporting Cristal
24.05.26
H2H
Sporting Cristal
ADT
2
1
W
17.05.25
H2H
Sporting Cristal
ADT
2
1
W
27.01.24
H2H
Sporting Cristal
ADT
6
2
W
04.03.23
H2H
Sporting Cristal
ADT
0
0
D
29.09.22
H2H
Sporting Cristal
ADT
4
2
W
Last matches: ADT
09.05.26
Pri
ADT
UCV Moquegua
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pri
ADT
FC Cajamarca
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
ADT
Cienciano
2
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Huancayo
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
ADT
Alianza Atletico
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pri
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
01.02.26
Pri
ADT
Universitario
0
2
L
18.01.26
Fri
ADT
FC Cajamarca
1
2
L
H2H away: ADT
24.05.26
H2H
Sporting Cristal
ADT
2
1
L
17.05.25
H2H
Sporting Cristal
ADT
2
1
L
27.01.24
H2H
Sporting Cristal
ADT
6
2
L
04.03.23
H2H
Sporting Cristal
ADT
0
0
D
29.09.22
H2H
Sporting Cristal
ADT
4
2
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
?
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
?
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
?
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
?
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
?
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
?
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
?
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
?
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
?
10
ADT Away
17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
?
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
?
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
?
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
?
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
?
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
?
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
?
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
?
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
?
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)