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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
05.09.2026 19:30
Estádio José Alvalade
Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
Sporting CP
Match Timeline
Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Maximiliano Araújo
Sporting CP
🟨
20'
Sergi Altimira
Sporting CP
⚽
32'
L. Suarez
Sporting CP
🔄
46'
Leo Santos ↔ Deivison
Nacional
🟨
48'
Markus Jensen
Nacional
⚽
49'
F. Goncalves · Assist: L. Suarez
Sporting CP
🔄
62'
M. Jensen ↔ C. Labidi
Nacional
🔄
62'
Pablo Ruan ↔ A. Obando
Nacional
🔄
67'
G. Catamo ↔ Luis Guilherme
Sporting CP
🔄
67'
L. Suarez ↔ F. Ioannidis
Sporting CP
🔄
67'
R. Zalazar ↔ N. Irankunda
Sporting CP
🔄
73'
S. Gavriel ↔ M. Djalo
Nacional
🔄
78'
M. Araujo ↔ G. Vagiannidis
Sporting CP
🔄
80'
M. Baeza ↔ Daniel Junior
Nacional
🔄
87'
S. Altimira ↔ S. Andersen
Sporting CP

Sporting CP vs Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sporting CP Win 86.4%
Draw 4.2%
Nacional Win 9.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting CP2.8
Nacional1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting CP Sporting CP
WWDLW
29 GF / 7 GA
Nacional Nacional
WLDWL
11 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
3.63
Average Goals Scored
1.22
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
5
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
4
6.25
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting CP Sporting CP 8 matches
Nacional Nacional 9 matches
Sporting CP Statistic Nacional
7 Wins 1
1 Draws 4
0 Losses 4
29 Goals For 11
7 Goals Against 14
3.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
5 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 4
7 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 3
6.25 Shots On Goal 3
12.25 Total Shots 11.75
3.75 Corners 4.5
58% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting CP won 14 times, Nacional won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:6 from Sporting CP's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Sporting CP 4-2-3-1 / Nacional 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Sporting CP wins 14, draws 1, Nacional wins 0

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 20:4 16 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 24:7 17 19
W L W W W
3 8 5 3 0 20:9 11 18
W D D W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:4 8 18
W D W W D
5 8 4 2 2 11:7 4 14
W D L D W
6 8 4 2 2 11:10 1 14
W W W W L
7 7 3 2 2 6:5 1 11
W D L L D
8 8 3 2 3 13:12 1 11
W W W L D
9 7 3 2 2 8:8 0 11
L D W L W
10 8 2 4 2 14:15 -1 10
L L D W D
11 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L D L L L
12 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D W L L
13 8 1 4 3 10:11 -1 7
L W D D D
14 8 2 1 5 8:17 -9 7
W L D L L
15 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L D L D L
16 8 1 1 6 9:18 -9 4
L L L L L
17 8 1 1 6 3:17 -14 4
L W L D L
18 8 0 2 6 4:12 -8 2
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2