05.09.2026 19:30

Sporting CP

2 - 0

Nacional

Estádio José Alvalade

Referee: J. Pinheiro

Sporting CP vs Nacional H2H Stats

Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.

View today's football H2H stats

Sporting CP

Match Timeline

Nacional

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Sporting CP vs Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 86.4%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 67.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	86.4%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	67.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	85%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Sporting CP Win 86.4%

Draw 4.2%

Nacional Win 9.5%

Expected Goals (xG)

Sporting CP2.8

Nacional1.08

Recent Form (Last 5)

Sporting CP

W W W D W

16 GF / 6 GA

Nacional

L L W D L

6 GF / 8 GA

Key Stats

3.63

Average Goals Scored

1.22

0.88

Average Goals Conceded

1.56

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

6.25

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting CP 8 matches

Nacional 9 matches

Sporting CP	Statistic	Nacional
7	Wins	1
1	Draws	4
0	Losses	4
29	Goals For	11
7	Goals Against	14
3.63	Avg Goals Scored	1.22
0.88	Avg Goals Conceded	1.56
5	BTTS Yes	5
8	Over 1.5	7
7	Over 2.5	4
7	Over 3.5	3
3	Clean Sheets	2
0	Failed To Score	3
6.25	Shots On Goal	3
12.25	Total Shots	11.75
3.75	Corners	4.5
58%	Ball Possession	52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting CP won 14 times, Nacional won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:6 from Sporting CP's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)

Predicted formations: Sporting CP 4-2-3-1 / Nacional 3-4-2-1

H2H summary: Sporting CP wins 14, draws 1, Nacional wins 0

Standings

Primeira Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Porto	11	11	0	0	27:5	22	33	W W W W W
2	Benfica	11	9	1	1	30:10	20	28	W W W W L
3	Sporting CP Home	11	7	3	1	24:11	13	24	W W L W D
4	Santa Clara	11	6	3	2	16:8	8	21	L W L W D
5	Arouca	11	6	2	3	13:8	5	20	L W W W D
6	Academico Viseu	11	6	2	3	15:13	2	20	L W W W W
7	GIL Vicente	11	5	3	3	10:8	2	18	W D L W W
8	SC Braga	11	5	2	4	13:11	2	17	W W L L L
9	Moreirense	11	4	2	5	13:18	-5	14	L W W L D
10	Famalicao	11	3	4	4	15:14	1	13	W L W L W
11	Alverca	11	3	3	5	14:15	-1	12	D L L W W
12	Estrela	11	2	4	5	17:22	-5	10	L L L L L
13	Nacional Away	11	3	1	7	11:19	-8	10	W L W L L
14	Vitória SC	11	2	3	6	11:12	-1	9	L D W L D
15	Maritimo	10	2	2	6	9:21	-12	8	L L L D L
16	Casa Pia	11	2	2	7	6:20	-14	8	D L W L W
17	Rio Ave	11	2	1	8	9:24	-15	7	L L L W L
18	Estoril	10	0	2	8	5:19	-14	2	L L L L L