PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio José Alvalade
Referee: R. Baixinho
Sporting CP
Match Timeline
Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Léo Santos
Nacional
🟨
55'
Ze Vitor
Nacional
🔄
64'
Luis Guilherme ↔ S. Faye
Sporting CP
🔄
64'
J. Simoes ↔ Trincao
Sporting CP
🔄
65'
Paulinho Boia ↔ Witi
Nacional
72'
P. Goncalves
Sporting CP
76'
A. Nunez
Nacional
🔄
80'
P. Goncalves ↔ G. Kochorashvili
Sporting CP
🔄
80'
G. Catamo ↔ Alisson Santos
Sporting CP
🔄
80'
Gabriel Veron ↔ Daniel Junior
Nacional
🔄
80'
J. Silva ↔ C. Labidi
Nacional
🟨
87'
Alan Núñez
Nacional
VAR
90+1'
Luis Javier Suárez
Sporting CP
🔄
90+2'
Liziero ↔ A. Sousa
Nacional
🔄
90+2'
J. Ramirez ↔ L. Joao
Nacional
90'
L. Suarez · Assist: Alisson Santos
Sporting CP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Sporting CP Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting CP2.12
Nacional1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting CP Sporting CP
WWDLW
69 GF / 21 GA
Nacional Nacional
WLDWL
26 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
2.56
Average Goals Scored
1.37
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
16
BTTS Yes
12
20
Over 2.5
10
6.56
Shots on Goal
3.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting CP Sporting CP 27 matches
Nacional Nacional 19 matches
Sporting CP Statistic Nacional
20 Wins 5
4 Draws 5
3 Losses 9
69 Goals For 26
21 Goals Against 28
2.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
16 BTTS Yes 12
26 Over 1.5 15
20 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 4
6.56 Shots On Goal 3.95
16.56 Total Shots 11.95
5.85 Corners 4.05
58.2% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting CP won 14 times, Nacional won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:6 from Sporting CP's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Sporting CP 4-2-3-1 / Nacional 5-4-1
H2H summary: Sporting CP wins 14, draws 1, Nacional wins 0
Stats
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Nacional Nacional
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
0
11 Corner Kicks 0
12 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 2
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 0
11 Shots insidebox 3
5 Shots outsidebox 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
539 Total passes 344
459 Passes accurate 271
1.74 expected_goals 1.32
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sporting CP
Formation
Nacional
R. Silva
R. Silva
I. Fresneda
I. Fresneda
O. Diomande
O. Diomande
E. Quaresma
E. Quaresma
M. Araujo
M. Araujo
H. Morita
H. Morita
J. Simoes
J. Simoes
G. Catamo
G. Catamo
P. Goncalves
P. Goncalves
Luis Guilherme
Luis Guilherme
L. Suarez
L. Suarez
Kaique Pereira
Kaique Pereira
A. Nunez
A. Nunez
Leo Santos
Leo Santos
Matheus Dias
Matheus Dias
Ze Vitor
Ze Vitor
Jose Gomes
Jose Gomes
Gabriel Veron
Gabriel Veron
Liziero
Liziero
J. Silva
J. Silva
Paulinho Boia
Paulinho Boia
J. Ramirez
J. Ramirez
Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
R. Silva
G
22
I. Fresneda
D
26
O. Diomande
D
72
E. Quaresma
D
20
M. Araujo
D
5
H. Morita
M
52
J. Simoes
↓ 64'
M
10
G. Catamo
↓ 80'
M
8
P. Goncalves
⚽ 72' ↓ 80'
M
31
Luis Guilherme
↓ 64'
M
97
L. Suarez
⚽ 90'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Virginia
G
13
G. Vagiannidis
D
14
G. Kochorashvili
↑ 80'
M
15
S. Faye
↑ 64'
F
17
Trincao
↑ 64'
F
23
D. Braganca
M
25
G. Inacio
D
27
Alisson Santos
🎯 90' ↑ 80'
F
91
R. Mangas
D
Nacional 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
Kaique Pereira
G
16
A. Nunez
⚽ 76' 🟨 87'
D
34
Leo Santos
🟨 28'
D
6
Matheus Dias
D
38
Ze Vitor
🟨 55'
D
5
Jose Gomes
D
27
Gabriel Veron
↓ 80'
M
28
Liziero
↓ 90+2'
M
26
J. Silva
↓ 80'
M
11
Paulinho Boia
↓ 65'
M
9
J. Ramirez
↓ 90+2'
F
Substitutes
50
K. V. Medeiros de Freitas
G
7
Witi
↑ 65'
F
8
M. Baeza
M
10
Daniel Junior
↑ 80'
M
15
C. Labidi
↑ 80'
M
18
A. Sousa
↑ 90+2'
M
19
L. Joao
↑ 90+2'
F
33
C. Goncalves
D
88
Deivison
M
Last matches: Sporting CP
08.08.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Estrela
2
2
D
31.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Nottingham Forest
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Monaco
2
0
W
20.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Strasbourg
7
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Celtic
4
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
4
1
W
04.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Vitória SC
5
1
W
29.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Tondela
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
AVS
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Benfica
1
2
L
15.04.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Arsenal
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Estrela
1
0
W
07.04.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Arsenal
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
4
2
W
22.03.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Alverca
4
1
W
17.03.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
11.03.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pri
Sporting CP
SC Braga
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Estoril
3
0
W
Last matches: Nacional
10.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
2
D
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
H2H: Sporting CP vs Nacional
01.02.26
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
1
W
23.08.25
H2H
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
4
W
25.01.25
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
0
W
29.10.24
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
3
1
W
17.08.24
H2H
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
6
W
01.05.21
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
0
W
08.01.21
H2H
Nacional
Sporting CP
0
2
W
19.04.19
H2H
Nacional
Sporting CP
0
1
W
16.12.18
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
5
2
W
18.03.17
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
0
W
28.10.16
H2H
Nacional
Sporting CP
0
0
D
13.02.16
H2H
Nacional
Sporting CP
0
4
W
21.09.15
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
1
0
W
02.05.15
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
0
W
21.12.14
H2H
Nacional
Sporting CP
0
1
W
Last matches: Sporting CP
31.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Nottingham Forest
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Monaco
2
0
W
20.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Strasbourg
7
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Celtic
4
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
0
W
04.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Vitória SC
5
1
W
29.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Tondela
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Benfica
1
2
L
07.04.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Arsenal
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
4
2
W
17.03.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Estoril
3
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Famalicao
1
0
W
20.01.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
2
1
W
16.01.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
3
0
W
28.12.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
4
0
W
13.12.25
Pri
Sporting CP
AVS
6
0
W
30.11.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Estrela
4
0
W
26.11.25
UEF
Sporting CP
Club Brugge KV
3
0
W
31.10.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Alverca
2
0
W
H2H at home: Sporting CP
01.02.26
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
1
W
25.01.25
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
0
W
29.10.24
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
3
1
W
01.05.21
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
0
W
16.12.18
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
5
2
W
18.03.17
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
0
W
21.09.15
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
1
0
W
02.05.15
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
0
W
Last matches: Nacional
10.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
2
D
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
17.01.26
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
02.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
1
2
L
21.12.25
Pri
Nacional
AVS
2
2
D
07.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
1
1
D
28.09.25
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
0
W
13.09.25
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
30.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
2
0
W
17.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
1
D
H2H away: Nacional
01.02.26
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
1
L
25.01.25
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
0
L
29.10.24
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
3
1
L
01.05.21
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
0
L
16.12.18
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
5
2
L
18.03.17
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
0
L
21.09.15
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
1
0
L
02.05.15
H2H
Sporting CP
Nacional
2
0
L