Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
78.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
33.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sporting CP
43 matches
Guimaraes
31 matches
| Sporting CP | Statistic | Guimaraes |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wins | 12 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 13 |
| 99 | Goals For | 38 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 2.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 38 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 30 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 6.33 | Shots On Goal | 3.97 |
| 16.44 | Total Shots | 13.29 |
| 6.4 | Corners | 4.26 |
| 58.7% | Ball Possession | 50.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sporting CP's more proactive style and Guimaraes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Guimaraes. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Sporting CP arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 73 points compared to Guimaraes in 7 on 42, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Sporting CP arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 73 points after 31 matches. The record of 22 wins, 7 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 77:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Suarez (25 goals), P. Goncalves (13 goals), Geny Catamo (6 goals), with creative support from Trincao (11 assists), P. Goncalves (6 assists), L. Suarez (4 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
From their first 31 matches, Guimaraes have collected 42 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 38:43 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Samu (7 goals), Gustavo (5 goals), Oumar Camara (5 goals), with creative support from N. Saviolo (4 assists), Gonçalo Nogueira (4 assists), Samu (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting CP won 11 times, Guimaraes won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 40:15 from Sporting CP's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.
Sporting CP
10
5
3
5
1
3
Lineups
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Tondela
Sporting CP
AVS
Sporting CP
Benfica
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Sporting CP
Estrela
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
Alverca
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
Sporting CP
SC Braga
Sporting CP
Estoril
Sporting CP
Moreirense
Sporting CP
Famalicao
Sporting CP
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Nacional
Sporting CP
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
Arouca
Guimaraes
Nacional
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
GIL Vicente
Guimaraes
AVS
Guimaraes
Tondela
Guimaraes
Benfica
Guimaraes
Famalicao
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
Alverca
Guimaraes
SC Braga
Guimaraes
Estrela
Guimaraes
Arouca
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Estoril
Guimaraes
FC Porto
Guimaraes
Nacional
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
Tondela
Sporting CP
Benfica
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
Sporting CP
Estoril
Sporting CP
Famalicao
Sporting CP
Nacional
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
AVS
Sporting CP
Estrela
Sporting CP
Club Brugge KV
Sporting CP
Alverca
Sporting CP
Marseille
Sporting CP
SC Braga
Sporting CP
Moreirense
Sporting CP
Kairat Almaty
Guimaraes
Nacional
Guimaraes
GIL Vicente
Guimaraes
AVS
Guimaraes
Benfica
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
SC Braga
Guimaraes
Arouca
Guimaraes
Estoril
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
Tondela
Guimaraes
Famalicao
Guimaraes
Alverca
Guimaraes
Estrela
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Guimaraes
FC Porto