PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA

22.08.2026 19:30

Sporting CP

3 - 1

Alverca

Estádio José Alvalade

Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal

Sporting CP

Match Timeline

Alverca

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Sporting CP vs Alverca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 85.1%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 62.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 66.7%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	85.1%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	62.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	66.7%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Sporting CP Win 85.1%

Draw 3.8%

Alverca Win 11.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

Sporting CP2.55

Alverca1.08

Recent Form (Last 5)

Sporting CP

WWDLW

22 GF / 6 GA

Alverca

WLDWL

8 GF / 6 GA

Key Stats

3.67

Average Goals Scored

1.14

Average Goals Conceded

0.86

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.5

Shots on Goal

4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting CP 6 matches

Alverca 7 matches

Sporting CP	Statistic	Alverca
5	Wins	4
1	Draws	1
0	Losses	2
22	Goals For	8
6	Goals Against	6
3.67	Avg Goals Scored	1.14
1	Avg Goals Conceded	0.86
4	BTTS Yes	2
6	Over 1.5	4
5	Over 2.5	2
5	Over 3.5	1
2	Clean Sheets	3
0	Failed To Score	2
5.5	Shots On Goal	4.5
10	Total Shots	14.5
4.5	Corners	5.5
56%	Ball Possession	46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Sporting CP won 4 times, Alverca won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:5 from Sporting CP's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)

Predicted formations: Sporting CP 4-2-3-1 / Alverca 3-4-2-1

H2H summary: Sporting CP wins 4, draws 0, Alverca wins 1

Standings

Primeira Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18:3	15	21	W W W W W
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22:7	15	16	L W W W W
3	Sporting CP Home	7	4	3	0	17:8	9	15	D D W W W
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11:4	7	15	D W W D W
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10:7	3	11	D L D W L
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7:5	2	11	D W L W W
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9:9	0	11	W W W L D
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14:14	0	10	L D W D W
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5:5	0	8	D L L D W
10	Alverca Away	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8	W W L D L
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8:12	-4	8	D L L L D
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8:14	-6	8	D W L L W
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9:7	2	7	W D D D L
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5:8	-3	5	D L D L W
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7:15	-8	4	L L L L L
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4	L D L L W
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3:16	-13	4	W L D L L
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3:10	-7	2	L L D L L