BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Referee: F. Rodrigues
Sport Recife
Match Timeline
Londrina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
Diego Hernandez · Assist: Clayson
Sport Recife
VAR
14'
Diego Hernández
Sport Recife
30'
Joao Vitor · Assist: Kaue Leonardo
Londrina
🔄
42'
Chrystian Barletta ↔ Marlon Douglas
Sport Recife
43'
Diego Hernandez · Assist: Clayson
Sport Recife
VAR
53'
Marlon
Sport Recife
🟨
53'
João Vitor
Londrina
🔄
69'
Joao Tavares ↔ Guilherme Dantas
Londrina
🔄
69'
Vitinho Mota ↔ Pablo Dyego
Londrina
🔄
69'
Willian Pottker ↔ Gilberto
Londrina
🔄
70'
Diego Hernandez ↔ Juan Alano
Sport Recife
🔄
70'
Clayson ↔ Dudu
Sport Recife
🔄
77'
Heron ↔ Kevyn
Londrina
🔄
82'
Claudinho ↔ Benevenuto
Sport Recife
🔄
82'
Pedro Perotti ↔ Biel Fonseca
Sport Recife
🔄
88'
Lucas Marques ↔ Rai Nascimento
Londrina
🟨
90+3'
Felipinho
Sport Recife

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sport Recife Win 73.1%
Draw 7.8%
Londrina Win 19.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Recife1.35
Londrina1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WWDLW
26 GF / 19 GA
Londrina Londrina
WLDWL
27 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.29
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
12
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
13
4.24
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Recife Sport Recife 21 matches
Londrina Londrina 21 matches
Sport Recife Statistic Londrina
7 Wins 5
11 Draws 5
3 Losses 11
26 Goals For 27
19 Goals Against 32
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
12 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 8
4.24 Shots On Goal 3.67
13.67 Total Shots 12.76
5 Corners 5.48
54% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Sport Recife's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Recife expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Londrina in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Londrina having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Londrina. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Sport Recife Analysis

Sport Recife sit 10 with 29 points after 20 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 11 draws, and 3 losses, while the 25:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on Perotti (6 goals), Chrystian Barletta (5 goals), Biel Fonseca (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel Fonseca (3 assists), C. de Pena (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Londrina Analysis

With 20 points from 20 games and a place of 17, Londrina still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 27:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Paulinho Moccelin (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), João Vitor (2 assists), Iago Teles (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 7 times, Londrina won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:8 from Sport Recife's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Sport Recife 4-3-3 / Londrina 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Sport Recife wins 7, draws 0, Londrina wins 1
Stats
Sport Recife Sport Recife
Londrina Londrina
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
8
1 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 0
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 8
7 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 8
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
446 Total passes 416
391 Passes accurate 354
1.03 expected_goals 0.75
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sport Recife
Formation
Londrina
Thiago Couto
Thiago Couto
Claudinho
Claudinho
Marcelo Ajul
Marcelo Ajul
Kayky Almeida
Kayky Almeida
Felipinho
Felipinho
Ze Gabriel
Ze Gabriel
Willian Oliveira
Willian Oliveira
Chrystian Barletta
Chrystian Barletta
Diego Hernandez
⚽ 2
Diego Hernandez
Clayson
🎯
Clayson
Pedro Perotti
Pedro Perotti
Mauricio Kozlinski
Mauricio Kozlinski
Kaue Leonardo
🎯
Kaue Leonardo
Yago Lincoln
Yago Lincoln
Gabriel Lacerda
Gabriel Lacerda
Heron
Heron
Lucas Marques
Lucas Marques
Vitinho Mota
Vitinho Mota
Joao Tavares
Joao Tavares
Joao Vitor
Joao Vitor
Paulinho Moccelin
Paulinho Moccelin
Willian Pottker
Willian Pottker
Sport Recife 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
26
Thiago Couto
G
27
Claudinho
↓ 82'
D
3
Marcelo Ajul
D
33
Kayky Almeida
D
60
Felipinho
🟨 90+3'
D
23
Ze Gabriel
M
29
Willian Oliveira
M
30
Chrystian Barletta
↓ 42'
M
20
Diego Hernandez
⚽ 11' ⚽ 43' ↓ 70'
M
25
Clayson
🎯 11' 🎯 43' ↓ 70'
M
9
Pedro Perotti
↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
21
Brenno
G
5
Benevenuto
↑ 82'
D
96
Edson Lucas
D
28
Habraao
D
8
Juan Alano
↑ 70'
M
6
Biel Fonseca
↑ 82'
M
48
Pedro Martins
M
15
Murilo Rhikman
M
10
de Pena Carlos
M
77
Dudu
↑ 70'
F
99
Ze Roberto
F
31
Marlon Douglas
↑ 42'
F
Londrina 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
30
Mauricio Kozlinski
G
75
Kaue Leonardo
🎯 30'
D
99
Yago Lincoln
D
15
Gabriel Lacerda
D
34
Heron
↓ 77'
D
8
Lucas Marques
↓ 88'
M
7
Vitinho Mota
↓ 69'
M
32
Joao Tavares
↓ 69'
M
22
Joao Vitor
⚽ 30' 🟨 53'
M
18
Paulinho Moccelin
M
23
Willian Pottker
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
1
Luan Ribeiro
G
12
Zanella
G
33
Kevyn
↑ 77'
D
44
Caio Rodrigues
D
2
Nino Paraiba
D
13
Andre Dhominique
D
27
Murilo Sousa
M
5
Tarik
D
55
Guilherme Dantas
↑ 69'
11
Pablo Dyego
↑ 69'
F
9
Gilberto
↑ 69'
F
28
Rai Nascimento
↑ 88'
F
Last matches: Sport Recife
24.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
3
0
W
19.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Avai
1
2
L
08.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
0
W
27.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
1
1
D
22.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Goias
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
2
2
D
10.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
3
3
D
04.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
19.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
0
0
D
11.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Juventude
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
CRB
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
3
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ceara
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Avai
2
2
D
Last matches: Londrina
22.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
1
2
L
18.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
10.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
0
1
L
26.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
1
4
L
23.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
18.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
13.07.26
Ser
Londrina
America Mineiro
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Londrina
CRB
5
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Cuiaba
2
2
D
20.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Athletic Club
2
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Avai
3
2
W
06.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Criciuma
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Vila Nova
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
0
3
L
18.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Ponte Preta
4
1
W
12.05.26
Ser
Londrina
São Bernardo
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Operario-PR
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
H2H: Sport Recife vs Londrina
14.08.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
04.04.26
H2H
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
W
23.09.23
H2H
Sport Recife
Londrina
4
0
W
04.06.23
H2H
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
W
22.10.22
H2H
Londrina
Sport Recife
2
1
L
09.07.22
H2H
Sport Recife
Londrina
2
0
W
24.09.19
H2H
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
W
25.05.19
H2H
Sport Recife
Londrina
3
2
W
Last matches: Sport Recife
24.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
3
0
W
27.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
2
2
D
10.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
3
3
D
19.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
11.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
CRB
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ceara
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Avai
2
2
D
01.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
1
D
H2H at home: Sport Recife
14.08.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
23.09.23
H2H
Sport Recife
Londrina
4
0
W
09.07.22
H2H
Sport Recife
Londrina
2
0
W
25.05.19
H2H
Sport Recife
Londrina
3
2
W
Last matches: Londrina
22.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
1
2
L
10.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
0
1
L
23.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
13.07.26
Ser
Londrina
America Mineiro
1
1
D
25.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Cuiaba
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Criciuma
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
0
3
L
18.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Ponte Preta
4
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Operario-PR
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
3
1
W
H2H away: Londrina
14.08.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Londrina
2
1
L
23.09.23
H2H
Sport Recife
Londrina
4
0
L
09.07.22
H2H
Sport Recife
Londrina
2
0
L
25.05.19
H2H
Sport Recife
Londrina
3
2
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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