BRAZIL SERIE B
14.08.2026 23:30
Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Referee: F. Rodrigues
Sport Recife
Match Timeline
Londrina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
Diego Hernandez · Assist: Clayson
Sport Recife
VAR
14'
Diego Hernández
Sport Recife
30'
Joao Vitor · Assist: Kaue Leonardo
Londrina
🔄
42'
Chrystian Barletta ↔ Marlon Douglas
Sport Recife
43'
Diego Hernandez · Assist: Clayson
Sport Recife
VAR
53'
Marlon
Sport Recife
🟨
53'
João Vitor
Londrina
🔄
69'
Joao Tavares ↔ Guilherme Dantas
Londrina
🔄
69'
Vitinho Mota ↔ Pablo Dyego
Londrina
🔄
69'
Willian Pottker ↔ Gilberto
Londrina
🔄
70'
Diego Hernandez ↔ Juan Alano
Sport Recife
🔄
70'
Clayson ↔ Dudu
Sport Recife
🔄
77'
Heron ↔ Kevyn
Londrina
🔄
82'
Claudinho ↔ Benevenuto
Sport Recife
🔄
82'
Pedro Perotti ↔ Biel Fonseca
Sport Recife
🔄
88'
Lucas Marques ↔ Rai Nascimento
Londrina
🟨
90+3'
Felipinho
Sport Recife

Sport Recife vs Londrina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sport Recife Win 73.1%
Draw 7.8%
Londrina Win 19.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Recife1.35
Londrina1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WWDLW
26 GF / 19 GA
Londrina Londrina
WLDWL
27 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.29
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
12
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
13
4.24
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Recife Sport Recife 21 matches
Londrina Londrina 21 matches
Sport Recife Statistic Londrina
7 Wins 5
11 Draws 5
3 Losses 11
26 Goals For 27
19 Goals Against 32
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
12 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 8
4.24 Shots On Goal 3.67
13.67 Total Shots 12.76
5 Corners 5.48
54% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Sport Recife's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Recife expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Londrina in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Londrina having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Londrina. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Sport Recife Analysis

Sport Recife sit 10 with 29 points after 20 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 11 draws, and 3 losses, while the 25:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on Perotti (6 goals), Chrystian Barletta (5 goals), Biel Fonseca (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel Fonseca (3 assists), C. de Pena (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Londrina Analysis

With 20 points from 20 games and a place of 17, Londrina still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 27:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Paulinho Moccelin (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), João Vitor (2 assists), Iago Teles (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 7 times, Londrina won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:8 from Sport Recife's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Sport Recife 4-3-3 / Londrina 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Sport Recife wins 7, draws 0, Londrina wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
11 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
12 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
13 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
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