Sport Recife vs Londrina Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Sport Recife
Londrina
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sport Recife
21 matches
Londrina
21 matches
| Sport Recife | Statistic | Londrina |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 5 |
| 11 | Draws | 5 |
| 3 | Losses | 11 |
| 26 | Goals For | 27 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 0.9 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.24 | Shots On Goal | 3.67 |
| 13.67 | Total Shots | 12.76 |
| 5 | Corners | 5.48 |
| 54% | Ball Possession | 45.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Sport Recife's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Recife expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Londrina in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Londrina having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Londrina. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Sport Recife sit 10 with 29 points after 20 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 11 draws, and 3 losses, while the 25:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on Perotti (6 goals), Chrystian Barletta (5 goals), Biel Fonseca (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel Fonseca (3 assists), C. de Pena (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
With 20 points from 20 games and a place of 17, Londrina still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 27:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Paulinho Moccelin (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), João Vitor (2 assists), Iago Teles (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 7 times, Londrina won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:8 from Sport Recife's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 9 | 51 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 |
Sport Recife
Home
|
29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 10 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 |
Londrina
Away
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | -2 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | -45 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
L
|