BRAZIL SERIE B
19.09.2026 19:30
Ilha do Retiro
Referee: Paulo Schleich Vollkopf

Sport Recife vs Juventude Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 2.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.4%
1.36
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
2.51
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.9%
1.14
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Sport Recife Win 42.3%
Draw 11.6%
Juventude Win 46%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Recife1.04
Juventude1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WWDLW
37 GF / 28 GA
Juventude Juventude
WLDWL
30 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.61
17
BTTS Yes
6
13
Over 2.5
7
4.25
Shots on Goal
4.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Recife Sport Recife 28 matches
Juventude Juventude 28 matches
Sport Recife Statistic Juventude
10 Wins 14
11 Draws 8
7 Losses 6
37 Goals For 30
28 Goals Against 17
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.61
17 BTTS Yes 6
21 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 2
10 Clean Sheets 19
4 Failed To Score 9
4.25 Shots On Goal 4.36
14.11 Total Shots 12.46
4.89 Corners 4.11
54.9% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sport Recife have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Juventude carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 50 points while Sport Recife sit 9 on 41, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Juventude. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Recife expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Juventude in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juventude having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sport Recife Analysis

Sport Recife approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 41 points from 27 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 36:26, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Chrystian Barletta (7 goals), Perotti (7 goals), Madson (2 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel (3 assists), C. de Pena (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 50 points after 27 outings. They have recorded 14 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a 30:15 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Raí (5 goals), Alisson Safira (4 goals), Alan Kardec (3 goals), with creative support from Aderlan (3 assists), Rodrigo Sam (2 assists), Luan Gonçalves (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 3 times, Juventude won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from Sport Recife's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Sport Recife 4-2-3-1 / Juventude 3-4-3
H2H summary: Sport Recife wins 3, draws 1, Juventude wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
3 28 14 8 6 30:17 13 50
L W D D W
4 28 13 9 6 31:23 8 48
D W W D W
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W W L
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
10 28 10 11 7 37:28 9 41
L W L L W
11 28 10 10 8 33:30 3 40
W L W L L
12 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
13 28 11 6 11 28:34 -6 39
W L L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 28 8 7 13 31:35 -4 31
L L L L L
17 28 8 6 14 29:36 -7 30
D L L L W
18 28 7 7 14 38:39 -1 28
W W L D L
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 28 2 4 22 16:62 -46 10
L L L L L
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