BRAZIL › SERIE B
17.05.2026 23:30
Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Referee: E. Batista
Sport Recife
Match Timeline
CRB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
8'
Marlon Douglas ↔ Gustavo Maia
Sport Recife
⚽
39'
Mikael
CRB
🟨
46'
Lucas Lovat
CRB
🔄
46'
De Lucca ↔ Danielzinho
CRB
🟨
56'
Madson
Sport Recife
⚽
59'
Danielzinho
CRB
🔄
60'
↔ Iury Castilho
Sport Recife
🔄
60'
Madson ↔ Augusto
Sport Recife
🟨
64'
Fábio Alemão
CRB
🟨
72'
Diogo Hereda
CRB
🔄
75'
de Pena Carlos ↔ Edson Lucas
Sport Recife
🟨
76'
Zé Lucas
Sport Recife
🔄
76'
Clayson ↔ Yago Felipe
Sport Recife
⚽
78'
Pedro Perotti · Assist: Iury Castilho
Sport Recife
🔄
79'
Pedro Castro ↔ Luizao
CRB
🔄
83'
Mikael ↔ Luiz Phellype
CRB
🔄
83'
Thiaguinho ↔ Douglas Baggio
CRB
🟨
90'
Danielzinho
CRB
🔄
90'
Dada Belmonte ↔ Bressan
CRB

Sport Recife vs CRB Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sport Recife Win 68%
Draw 4.4%
CRB Win 27.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Recife1.43
CRB1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WWDLW
11 GF / 5 GA
CRB CRB
WLDWL
11 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
4
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Recife Sport Recife 8 matches
CRB CRB 8 matches
Sport Recife Statistic CRB
4 Wins 2
4 Draws 2
0 Losses 4
11 Goals For 11
5 Goals Against 12
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
4 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
4.5 Shots On Goal 4.88
12.75 Total Shots 13.88
4.75 Corners 3.5
52.6% Ball Possession 54.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sport Recife's more proactive style and CRB's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. CRB arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward CRB. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Sport Recife arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 16 points compared to CRB in 17 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Sport Recife Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 16 points from 8 games, Sport Recife bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 4 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 11:5, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Chrystian Barletta (4 goals), Pedro Perotti (4 goals), Felipinho (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (2 assists), Marlon Douglas (2 assists), Felipinho (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

CRB Analysis

CRB sit 17 with 8 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 11:12 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Mikael (3 goals), Pedro Castro (3 goals), Dadá Belmonte (2 goals), with creative support from De Lucca (2 assists), Hereda (2 assists), Mikael (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 6 times, CRB won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Sport Recife's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.21 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Sport Recife 4-2-3-1 / CRB 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sport Recife wins 6, draws 2, CRB wins 6

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 6 8 43:31 12 54
W W D W L
2 30 14 9 7 49:27 22 51
D L D W W
3 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 30 13 10 7 37:27 10 49
W L W W D
6 30 13 9 8 43:38 5 48
D W D W W
7 29 13 8 8 28:27 1 47
L L L W L
8
CRB Away
29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
9 30 11 11 8 40:32 8 44
L W L W L
10 29 10 13 6 30:22 8 43
W D W L W
11 30 12 6 12 30:36 -6 42
L W W L L
12 30 11 9 10 40:31 9 42
D W W L W
13 30 11 8 11 38:37 1 41
W L D L W
14 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
15 30 9 9 12 33:39 -6 36
D W D L W
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 30 7 7 16 39:43 -4 28
L L W W L
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
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