BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Referee: A. Filho
Sport Recife
Match Timeline
Athletic Club
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Jhonatan
Athletic Club
🔄
46'
Edson Lucas ↔ de Pena Carlos
Sport Recife
🔄
46'
Madson ↔ Augusto
Sport Recife
🔄
57'
Max ↔ Bruninho
Athletic Club
🔄
57'
D. Vera ↔ Ruan Assis
Athletic Club
60'
Augusto · Assist: Biel Fonseca
Sport Recife
66'
Ian Luccas · Assist: Diogo Batista
Athletic Club
🔄
68'
Diogo Batista ↔ Douglas Pele
Athletic Club
🟨
73'
Carlos De Pena
Sport Recife
🟨
73'
Bruninho
Athletic Club
🔄
79'
Biel Fonseca ↔ Marlon Douglas
Sport Recife
🔄
83'
G. Cabezas ↔ Jota
Athletic Club
🔄
83'
Ian Luccas ↔ Gabriel Moyses
Athletic Club
🔄
86'
Pedro Martins ↔ Ze Gabriel
Sport Recife
🔄
86'
Chrystian Barletta ↔ Max Alves
Sport Recife

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.5%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sport Recife Win 51.9%
Draw 15.5%
Athletic Club Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Recife1.22
Athletic Club0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WWDLW
15 GF / 7 GA
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WLDWL
13 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.18
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
4
4.18
Shots on Goal
3.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Recife Sport Recife 11 matches
Athletic Club Athletic Club 11 matches
Sport Recife Statistic Athletic Club
6 Wins 4
4 Draws 5
1 Losses 2
15 Goals For 13
7 Goals Against 11
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 8
7 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 1
6 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
4.18 Shots On Goal 3.36
12.09 Total Shots 9.73
4 Corners 4.09
51.3% Ball Possession 42.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sport Recife arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 22 points compared to Athletic Club in 10 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Athletic Club. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Recife expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Athletic Club in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Athletic Club having the stronger overall control. Sport Recife come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Sport Recife Analysis

Sport Recife come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 22 points after 11 matches. With 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:7, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Chrystian Barletta (6 goals), Pedro Perotti (5 goals), Felipinho (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), de Pena Carlos (2 assists), Marlon Douglas (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club are currently 10 in the standings with 17 points from 11 matches. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 13:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (2 goals), Belezi (1 goals), with creative support from Ian Luccas (2 assists), Belezi (1 assists), Jota (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 0 times, Athletic Club won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Sport Recife's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
Predicted formations: Sport Recife 4-2-3-1 / Athletic Club 4-3-3
H2H summary: Sport Recife wins 0, draws 1, Athletic Club wins 1
Stats
Sport Recife Sport Recife
Athletic Club Athletic Club
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
0
8 Corner Kicks 2
4 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 3
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 5
8 Blocked Shots 0
13 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
572 Total passes 288
503 Passes accurate 228
1.66 expected_goals 0.83
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sport Recife
Formation
Athletic Club
Thiago Couto
Thiago Couto
Madson
Madson
Benevenuto
Benevenuto
Ze Marcos
Ze Marcos
Felipinho
Felipinho
Pedro Martins
Pedro Martins
Fabio Matheus
Fabio Matheus
Biel Fonseca
🎯
Biel Fonseca
Chrystian Barletta
Chrystian Barletta
Edson Lucas
Edson Lucas
Pedro Perotti
Pedro Perotti
Luan Polli
Luan Polli
Jhonatan Silva
Jhonatan Silva
Belezi
Belezi
Zeca
Zeca
Diogo Batista
🎯
Diogo Batista
G. Cabezas
G. Cabezas
Joao Miguel
Joao Miguel
Kauan Rodrigues
Kauan Rodrigues
Max
Max
D. Vera
D. Vera
Ian Luccas
Ian Luccas
Sport Recife 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
26
Thiago Couto
G
13
Madson
↓ 46'
D
5
Benevenuto
D
4
Ze Marcos
D
60
Felipinho
D
48
Pedro Martins
↓ 86'
M
47
Fabio Matheus
M
6
Biel Fonseca
🎯 60' ↓ 79'
M
30
Chrystian Barletta
↓ 86'
M
96
Edson Lucas
↓ 46'
M
9
Pedro Perotti
F
Substitutes
1
Halls
G
10
de Pena Carlos
↑ 46' 🟨 73'
M
3
Marcelo Ajul
D
66
Rafinha
D
31
Marlon Douglas
↑ 79'
F
11
Gustavo Maia
F
23
Ze Gabriel
↑ 86'
M
8
Max Alves
↑ 86'
M
28
Habraao
D
77
Micael
F
68
Augusto
⚽ 60' ↑ 46'
D
75
Arthur Maron
F
Athletic Club 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Luan Polli
G
3
Jhonatan Silva
D
4
Belezi
D
6
Zeca
D
22
Diogo Batista
🎯 66' ↓ 68'
M
8
G. Cabezas
↓ 83'
M
16
Joao Miguel
M
17
Kauan Rodrigues
M
11
Max
↓ 57'
F
21
D. Vera
↓ 57'
F
5
Ian Luccas
⚽ 66' ↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
12
Jhonatan Luiz
🟨 -5'
G
10
Gustavinho
M
2
Douglas Pele
↑ 68'
D
15
Jota
↑ 83'
7
Bruninho
↑ 57' 🟨 73'
F
14
Marcelo Henrique
D
18
Pedro Oliveira
M
19
Ruan Assis
↑ 57'
F
20
Gabriel Moyses
↑ 83'
13
Felipe Vieira
Last matches: Sport Recife
10.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
3
3
D
04.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
19.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Juventude
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
CRB
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
3
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ceara
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Avai
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
0
0
D
Last matches: Athletic Club
13.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ceara
0
0
D
07.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Avai
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Londrina
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Goias
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Juventude
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
CRB
3
2
W
05.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Criciuma
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
H2H: Sport Recife vs Athletic Club
11.06.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
1
1
D
18.03.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
1
3
L
Last matches: Sport Recife
10.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
3
3
D
19.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
CRB
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ceara
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Avai
2
2
D
01.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
1
D
H2H at home: Sport Recife
11.06.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
1
1
D
18.03.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
1
3
L
Last matches: Athletic Club
13.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ceara
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Londrina
0
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
04.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
CRB
3
2
W
02.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Criciuma
1
1
D
H2H away: Athletic Club
11.06.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
1
1
D
18.03.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
1
3
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 9 6 2 20:12 8 33
W W W W D
2 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W L W L
3 17 9 4 4 22:18 4 31
W W W W L
4 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L W W W D
5 17 8 5 4 17:8 9 29
W D W W W
6 17 8 4 5 20:17 3 28
L W W D L
7 17 7 5 5 23:16 7 26
D L L L D
8 17 6 8 3 21:15 6 26
D L L D D
9 17 7 4 6 18:23 -5 25
D W W L D
10 17 6 6 5 19:19 0 24
W L W D D
11 17 5 9 3 14:11 3 24
D W D L W
12 17 5 8 4 16:16 0 23
D L W L D
13 17 6 3 8 21:21 0 21
L D L L D
14 17 5 5 7 20:18 2 20
D W L W W
15 17 5 5 7 26:31 -5 20
D L W D D
16 17 5 4 8 25:25 0 19
D W D W W
17 17 4 6 7 15:20 -5 18
D L L L D
18 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
W L L W L
19 17 2 2 13 11:33 -22 8
L L L L L
20 17 1 4 12 11:28 -17 7
D L L L W
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