Sport Recife vs Athletic Club Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
84.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
75.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sport Recife
11 matches
Athletic Club
11 matches
| Sport Recife | Statistic | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 15 | Goals For | 13 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 0.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.18 | Shots On Goal | 3.36 |
| 12.09 | Total Shots | 9.73 |
| 4 | Corners | 4.09 |
| 51.3% | Ball Possession | 42.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sport Recife arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 22 points compared to Athletic Club in 10 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Athletic Club. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Recife expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Athletic Club in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Athletic Club having the stronger overall control. Sport Recife come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.
Sport Recife come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 22 points after 11 matches. With 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:7, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Chrystian Barletta (6 goals), Pedro Perotti (5 goals), Felipinho (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), de Pena Carlos (2 assists), Marlon Douglas (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Athletic Club are currently 10 in the standings with 17 points from 11 matches. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 13:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (2 goals), Belezi (1 goals), with creative support from Ian Luccas (2 assists), Belezi (1 assists), Jota (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 0 times, Athletic Club won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Sport Recife's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 46 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:25 | 12 | 44 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 44 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 41 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 37:35 | 2 | 39 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 |
Sport Recife
Home
|
25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 38 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 9 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31:32 | -1 | 37 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 36 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 23:19 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 30:28 | 2 | 34 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Athletic Club
Away
|
25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 34 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 14 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 34:29 | 5 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:31 | -4 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18:42 | -24 | 14 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16:52 | -36 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
L
|