20.09.2026 18:00
Estadio Huancayo

Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.2%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sport Huancayo Win 78.2%
Draw 11.4%
UTC Cajamarca Win 10.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Huancayo1.47
UTC Cajamarca1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo
WWDLW
34 GF / 42 GA
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca
WLDWL
32 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
18
BTTS Yes
18
17
Over 2.5
15
4.58
Shots on Goal
4.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 26 matches
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 28 matches
Sport Huancayo Statistic UTC Cajamarca
9 Wins 5
5 Draws 9
12 Losses 14
34 Goals For 32
42 Goals Against 48
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
18 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 22
17 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 7
4.58 Shots On Goal 4.31
15.35 Total Shots 12.27
4.69 Corners 4.42
48.5% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward UTC Cajamarca. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Huancayo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and UTC Cajamarca in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward UTC Cajamarca having the stronger overall control. UTC Cajamarca arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Sport Huancayo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 32 points compared to UTC Cajamarca in 18 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sport Huancayo Analysis

So far, Sport Huancayo have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 32 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, while the 34:42 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Magallanes (4 goals), Javier Andrés Sanguinetti (4 goals), R. Huaccha (4 goals), with creative support from N. Luján (3 assists), D. Carabaño (3 assists), P. Magallanes (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

UTC Cajamarca Analysis

With 15 points from 26 games and a place of 18, UTC Cajamarca still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 30:47 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Rasmussen (4 goals), M. Lliuya (3 goals), A. Arroyo (3 goals), with creative support from M. Lliuya (3 assists), M. Rasmussen (2 assists), D. Camacho (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Sport Huancayo won 9 times, UTC Cajamarca won 0 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:9 from Sport Huancayo's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.6%)
Predicted formations: Sport Huancayo 4-4-2 / UTC Cajamarca 3-4-3
H2H summary: Sport Huancayo wins 9, draws 5, UTC Cajamarca wins 0

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5 26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 26 10 7 9 38:34 4 37
L W W W D
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 25:28 -3 32
W L W W W
12 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
13 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
14 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2