PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Huancayo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.7%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.7%
1.36
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
1.75
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84%
1.80
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Sport Huancayo Win 85.7%
Draw 6.6%
UCV Moquegua Win 7.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Huancayo1.3
UCV Moquegua1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo
WWDLW
28 GF / 38 GA
UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua
WLDWL
20 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
0.87
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
16
BTTS Yes
10
15
Over 2.5
12
3.95
Shots on Goal
3.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 22 matches
UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 23 matches
Sport Huancayo Statistic UCV Moquegua
6 Wins 5
5 Draws 7
11 Losses 11
28 Goals For 20
38 Goals Against 31
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
16 BTTS Yes 10
20 Over 1.5 15
15 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 11
3.95 Shots On Goal 3.27
12.52 Total Shots 10.05
4.05 Corners 3.18
46.7% Ball Possession 39.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors UCV Moquegua. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sport Huancayo Analysis

Sport Huancayo are currently 12 in the standings with 23 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 27:34 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronal Huaccha (4 goals), Nahuel Luján (3 goals), Piero Magallanes (3 goals), with creative support from Nahuel Luján (2 assists), Piero Magallanes (2 assists), Diego Carabaño (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

UCV Moquegua Analysis

With 21 points from 21 games and a place of 15, UCV Moquegua still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats with a 19:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Edgar Lastre (5 goals), Jeferson Collazos (3 goals), Cristian Mejia (2 goals), with creative support from Edgar Lastre (3 assists), Yorman Zapata (2 assists), Nicolas Amasifuen (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Sport Huancayo won 0 times, UCV Moquegua won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Sport Huancayo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Sport Huancayo 4-2-3-1 / UCV Moquegua 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sport Huancayo wins 0, draws 0, UCV Moquegua wins 1
Last matches: Sport Huancayo
16.08.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Sporting Cristal
1
4
L
07.08.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
FC Cajamarca
2
0
W
25.07.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
2
0
W
20.07.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Universitario
1
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Cienciano
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
FBC Melgar
1
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Juan Pablo II College
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Atletico
1
4
L
26.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Cusco
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
1
W
15.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Sport Boys
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
ADT
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
FC Cajamarca
2
0
W
Last matches: UCV Moquegua
16.08.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
1
1
D
09.08.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
2
L
02.08.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
26.07.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
0
0
D
18.07.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
2
2
D
29.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
ADT
2
2
D
03.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
FC Cajamarca
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
1
2
L
14.04.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Juan Pablo II College
3
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Cusco
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
0
0
D
23.02.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
0
4
L
H2H: Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua
07.03.26
H2H
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
2
1
L
Last matches: Sport Huancayo
07.08.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Cienciano
2
2
D
10.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Juan Pablo II College
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
ADT
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
FC Cajamarca
2
0
W
30.01.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
Last matches: UCV Moquegua
09.08.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
2
L
26.07.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
0
0
D
29.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
20.04.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
0
3
L
01.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
0
4
L
02.02.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
L
17.01.26
Fri
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
0
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.03
Draw 4.95
Home 1.36
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.51
Draw 2.45
Home 1.80
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.0 1.33
Over 2.25 1.53
Over 2.5 1.75
Over 2.75 1.96
Over 3.0 2.28
Over 3.25 2.55
Over 3.5 2.84
Over 3.75 2.96
Under 2.0 3.16
Under 2.25 2.40
Under 2.5 2.04
Under 2.75 1.84
Under 3.0 1.61
Under 3.25 1.48
Under 3.5 1.39
Under 3.75 1.36
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 4.75
Home 1.36
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 2.50
Home 1.83
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.75
Home 1.67
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.70
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.60
Draw 4.75
Home 1.34
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.85
Draw 2.36
Home 1.82
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.28
Draw 2.89
Home 1.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 1.75 1.25
Over 2.0 1.31
Over 2.25 1.52
Over 2.5 1.74
Over 2.75 1.93
Over 3.0 2.20
Over 3.25 2.53
Over 3.5 2.74
Over 3.75 3.38
Over 4.0 4.45
Over 4.25 4.87
Over 4.5 5.20
Over 4.75 6.65
Over 5.0 7.70
Over 5.5 9.60
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 11.80
Under 1.0 8.50
Under 1.25 5.40
Under 1.5 3.84
Under 1.75 3.40
Under 2.0 3.02
Under 2.25 2.35
Under 2.5 2.04
Under 2.75 1.83
Under 3.0 1.56
Under 3.25 1.46
Under 3.5 1.35
Under 3.75 1.25
Under 4.0 1.14
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 4.75 1.05
Under 5.0 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 4.50
Home 1.38
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 2.55
Home 1.84
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.95
Home 1.68
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.0 1.30
Over 2.25 1.50
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 2.75 1.82
Over 3.0 2.10
Over 3.25 2.38
Over 3.5 2.65
Over 3.75 3.15
Over 4.0 4.10
Over 4.25 4.40
Over 4.5 4.70
Over 5.0 6.50
Under 1.5 3.95
Under 2.0 3.05
Under 2.25 2.38
Under 2.5 2.06
Under 2.75 1.84
Under 3.0 1.62
Under 3.25 1.49
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 3.75 1.29
Under 4.0 1.18
Under 4.25 1.16
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.0 1.07

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
D W W D W
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
D L W D L
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
W D L W W
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
W D L D W
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
W D W D W
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
W W L D D
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
W D W W W
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
L D W L W
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
L D L D L
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
L L W D W
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
W D W D L
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
L W L D D
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
D D L L L
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
L D L D L
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
D D W W W
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
W L W L L
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
L D L W L
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
L D L L L
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)