PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
18.04.2026 22:30
Estadio Huancayo
Referee: Kevin Ortega, Peru
Sport Huancayo
Match Timeline
Deportivo Garcilaso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
C. Olivares
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
46'
E. Villar ↔ R. Campodonico
Sport Huancayo
🔄
58'
R. Huaccha ↔ Y. Mena
Sport Huancayo
🔄
58'
P. Magallanes ↔ J. J. Canela Torres
Sport Huancayo
🔄
58'
A. Gonzalez ↔ A. Salazar
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
58'
F. Arancibia ↔ J. Sinisterra
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
58'
A. Ascues ↔ C. I. Ramos Rodriguez
Deportivo Garcilaso
65'
N. Lujan
Sport Huancayo
🔄
66'
C. Olivares ↔ A. Graneros
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
72'
N. Lujan ↔ D. Carabano
Sport Huancayo
79'
F. Caballero · Assist: J. J. Canela Torres
Sport Huancayo
🔄
83'
O. Nunez ↔ K. Sandoval
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
85'
F. Caballero ↔ Y. Murillo
Sport Huancayo
🟨
90+4'
Rick Campodonico
Sport Huancayo

Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Sport Huancayo Win 58.6%
Draw 16.9%
Deportivo Garcilaso Win 24.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Huancayo1.1
Deportivo Garcilaso1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo
WWDLW
11 GF / 15 GA
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso
WLDWL
9 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
2
3.6
Shots on Goal
4.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 10 matches
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 9 matches
Sport Huancayo Statistic Deportivo Garcilaso
2 Wins 2
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 3
11 Goals For 9
15 Goals Against 10
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
6 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 3
3.6 Shots On Goal 4.56
10.1 Total Shots 13.33
3.4 Corners 3.56
45.5% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sport Huancayo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Deportivo Garcilaso. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Huancayo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Deportivo Garcilaso in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Garcilaso having the stronger overall control.

Sport Huancayo Analysis

Sport Huancayo sit 14 with 9 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 9:13, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Yorleys Mena (4 goals), Franco Caballero (3 goals), Hugo Ángeles (1 goals), with creative support from Hugo Ángeles (2 assists), J. J. Canela Torres (2 assists), N. Lujan (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Garcilaso Analysis

So far, Deportivo Garcilaso have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 10 points from 9 matches. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 9:10 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through B. Da Silva (3 goals), A. Salazar (2 goals), F. Arancibia (2 goals), with creative support from B. Da Silva (2 assists), Agustín González (1 assists), C. I. Ramos Rodriguez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Sport Huancayo won 3 times, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Sport Huancayo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.1%)
Predicted formations: Sport Huancayo 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo Garcilaso 4-3-3
H2H summary: Sport Huancayo wins 3, draws 3, Deportivo Garcilaso wins 1

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 15 7 2 40:15 25 52
L D W D W
2 24 13 6 5 39:24 15 45
W W W D L
3 24 12 6 6 31:21 10 42
W W D W W
4 24 12 5 7 34:37 -3 41
L L L D W
5 24 11 6 7 40:28 12 39
L D W L D
6 24 12 3 9 36:36 0 39
W L W L W
7 24 11 4 9 39:35 4 37
L L D L W
8 24 9 7 8 34:29 5 34
W W D W L
9 24 9 7 8 26:23 3 34
W W D D W
10 24 8 5 11 38:38 0 29
L L W D W
11 24 7 8 9 32:33 -1 29
L W L W L
12 24 8 5 11 20:23 -3 29
W W W D L
13 24 7 6 11 35:50 -15 27
W W L D L
14 24 7 5 12 31:41 -10 26
W L L D W
15 24 6 7 11 23:33 -10 25
L W D L D
16 24 6 6 12 36:44 -8 24
W L L W L
17 24 5 7 12 27:36 -9 22
L L D D L
18 24 4 8 12 27:42 -15 15
L L L D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2