PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Huancayo
Referee: D. Ureta

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.9%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sport Huancayo Win 55.9%
Draw 14.2%
Atletico Grau Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Huancayo1.16
Atletico Grau1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo
WWDLW
22 GF / 33 GA
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau
WLDWL
15 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
14
BTTS Yes
6
14
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 18 matches
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 18 matches
Sport Huancayo Statistic Atletico Grau
4 Wins 5
4 Draws 4
10 Losses 9
22 Goals For 15
33 Goals Against 19
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
14 BTTS Yes 6
16 Over 1.5 8
14 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 9
4 Shots On Goal 4.17
11.89 Total Shots 11.61
3.78 Corners 4.11
46.2% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atletico Grau. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Huancayo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico Grau in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Grau having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Sport Huancayo Analysis

Sport Huancayo sit 17 with 16 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats with a 21:31 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Piero Magallanes (3 goals), Nahuel Luján (2 goals), Yorleys Mena (2 goals), with creative support from Diego Carabaño (2 assists), Piero Magallanes (1 assists), Nahuel Luján (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Grau Analysis

Atletico Grau sit 16 with 16 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 12:18 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Raúl Ruidíaz (2 goals), Christian Neira (1 goals), José Ataupillco (1 goals), with creative support from Rafael Guarderas (2 assists), Elsar Rodas (1 assists), Yamir Ruidiaz (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Sport Huancayo won 5 times, Atletico Grau won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:10 from Sport Huancayo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)
Predicted formations: Sport Huancayo 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Grau 5-4-1
H2H summary: Sport Huancayo wins 5, draws 5, Atletico Grau wins 2
Last matches: Sport Huancayo
22.08.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
0
2
L
16.08.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Sporting Cristal
1
4
L
07.08.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
FC Cajamarca
2
0
W
20.07.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Universitario
1
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Cienciano
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
FBC Melgar
1
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Juan Pablo II College
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Atletico
1
4
L
26.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Cusco
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
1
W
15.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Sport Boys
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
ADT
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
FC Cajamarca
2
0
W
Last matches: Atletico Grau
21.08.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
3
1
W
14.08.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
0
0
D
01.08.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
1
L
18.07.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
3
1
W
29.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Cusco
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Universitario
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
ADT
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
4
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
1
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
1
L
H2H: Sport Huancayo vs Atletico Grau
25.07.26
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
2
0
W
07.02.26
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
16.10.25
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
26.09.25
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
3
1
L
02.05.25
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
3
0
W
17.10.24
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
1
3
L
06.05.24
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
25.09.23
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
06.05.23
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
16.07.22
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
1
1
D
13.02.22
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
3
4
W
19.07.20
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
01.02.20
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
08.11.19
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
Last matches: Sport Huancayo
22.08.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
0
2
L
07.08.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Cienciano
2
2
D
10.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Juan Pablo II College
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
ADT
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
FC Cajamarca
2
0
W
30.01.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
H2H at home: Sport Huancayo
25.07.26
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
2
0
W
16.10.25
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
02.05.25
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
3
0
W
17.10.24
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
1
3
L
06.05.23
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
16.07.22
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
1
1
D
01.02.20
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
Last matches: Atletico Grau
21.08.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
3
1
W
08.08.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Cusco
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Universitario
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
ADT
0
1
L
17.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
1
L
30.01.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
0
2
L
H2H away: Atletico Grau
25.07.26
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
2
0
L
16.10.25
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
02.05.25
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
3
0
L
17.10.24
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
1
3
W
06.05.23
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
1
0
L
16.07.22
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
1
1
D
01.02.20
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
1
0
L

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 15 7 2 40:15 25 52
L D W D W
2 24 13 6 5 39:24 15 45
W W W D L
3 24 12 6 6 31:21 10 42
W W D W W
4 24 12 5 7 34:37 -3 41
L L L D W
5 23 11 6 6 40:27 13 39
D W L D W
6 23 11 4 8 38:33 5 37
L D L W L
7 23 11 3 9 34:35 -1 36
L W L W L
8 23 8 7 8 30:28 2 31
W D W L W
9 23 8 7 8 25:23 2 31
W D D W W
10 23 8 5 10 38:37 1 29
L W D W L
11 24 7 8 9 32:33 -1 29
L W L W L
12 24 7 6 11 35:50 -15 27
W W L D L
13 23 7 5 11 19:23 -4 26
W W D L L
14 23 6 7 10 22:29 -7 25
W D L D D
15 24 6 6 12 36:44 -8 24
W L L W L
16 23 6 5 12 28:40 -12 23
L L D W W
17 23 5 7 11 26:33 -7 22
L D D L L
18 24 4 8 12 27:42 -15 15
L L L D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2