PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Miguel Grau

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sport Boys Win 68.7%
Draw 18.3%
Sporting Cristal Win 13%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Boys1.18
Sporting Cristal1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Boys Sport Boys
WWDLW
23 GF / 25 GA
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
WLDWL
51 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
9
BTTS Yes
23
7
Over 2.5
21
4.09
Shots on Goal
4.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Boys Sport Boys 24 matches
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 34 matches
Sport Boys Statistic Sporting Cristal
8 Wins 12
7 Draws 7
9 Losses 15
23 Goals For 51
25 Goals Against 51
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
9 BTTS Yes 23
12 Over 1.5 29
7 Over 2.5 21
5 Over 3.5 13
11 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 4
4.09 Shots On Goal 4.7
13.45 Total Shots 14.03
4.91 Corners 5.52
50.4% Ball Possession 56.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Sporting Cristal's more proactive style and Sport Boys's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sporting Cristal. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Boys expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Sporting Cristal in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sporting Cristal having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sport Boys Analysis

Sport Boys are currently 10 in the standings with 28 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, while the 20:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Luciano Nequecaur (3 goals), Hansell Riojas (2 goals), Luis Urruti (1 goals), with creative support from Jostin Alarcón (3 assists), Luciano Nequecaur (1 assists), Luis Urruti (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sporting Cristal Analysis

Sporting Cristal are currently 9 in the standings with 29 points from 23 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 38:37 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Yoshimar Yotún (3 goals), Gustavo Cazonatti (3 goals), Felipe Vizeu (3 goals), with creative support from Yoshimar Yotún (6 assists), Santiago González (3 assists), Maxloren Castro (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Sport Boys won 0 times, Sporting Cristal won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:36 from Sport Boys's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (87%)
Predicted formations: Sport Boys 4-3-3 / Sporting Cristal 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sport Boys wins 0, draws 4, Sporting Cristal wins 10
Last matches: Sport Boys
16.08.26
Pri
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
1
1
D
09.08.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
25.07.26
Pri
Sport Boys
ADT
2
0
W
19.07.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
30.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Cusco
1
0
W
12.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Universitario
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
FC Cajamarca
2
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Juan Pablo II College
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Alianza Atletico
1
0
W
15.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
1
3
L
04.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Sport Huancayo
3
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
0
3
L
09.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Cienciano
1
3
L
01.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
Last matches: Sporting Cristal
21.08.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Atletico
1
3
L
16.08.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Sport Huancayo
4
1
W
08.08.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
1
2
L
17.07.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
2
3
L
28.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
ADT
2
1
W
21.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Junior
2
3
L
15.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
FC Cajamarca
1
3
L
10.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
05.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Cusco
2
2
D
29.04.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Junior
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
1
4
L
19.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
3
2
W
16.04.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
1
2
L
09.04.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
1
0
W
H2H: Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal
15.03.26
H2H
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
3
0
L
26.07.25
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
16.02.25
H2H
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
2
1
L
21.07.24
H2H
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
4
0
L
04.02.24
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
1
3
L
10.09.23
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
14.04.23
H2H
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
1
1
D
15.10.22
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
3
5
L
05.06.22
H2H
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
3
0
L
30.10.21
H2H
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
1
1
D
19.03.21
H2H
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
1
0
L
23.08.20
H2H
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
0
0
D
18.08.20
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
1
4
L
18.08.19
H2H
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
4
2
L
13.08.19
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
2
2
D
Last matches: Sport Boys
09.08.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
Sport Boys
ADT
2
0
W
30.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Cusco
1
0
W
12.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Universitario
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Juan Pablo II College
1
1
D
15.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
1
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Sport Huancayo
3
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
31.01.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
25.01.26
Fri
Sport Boys
Everton de Vina
2
3
L
H2H at home: Sport Boys
26.07.25
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
04.02.24
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
1
3
L
10.09.23
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
15.10.22
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
3
5
L
18.08.20
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
1
4
L
13.08.19
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
2
2
D
Last matches: Sporting Cristal
21.08.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Atletico
1
3
L
08.08.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
2
3
L
28.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
21.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Junior
2
3
L
15.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
FC Cajamarca
1
3
L
10.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
1
4
L
16.04.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
04.03.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
18.02.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
2 de Mayo
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
1
D
H2H away: Sporting Cristal
26.07.25
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
0
2
W
04.02.24
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
1
3
W
10.09.23
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
15.10.22
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
3
5
W
18.08.20
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
1
4
W
13.08.19
H2H
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
2
2
D

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 6 1 39:13 26 51
W D W D W
2 22 12 5 5 31:30 1 41
L D W L W
3 22 11 6 5 32:22 10 39
W D L W W
4 23 11 6 6 30:21 9 39
W D W W W
5 22 11 5 6 39:26 13 38
W L D W W
6 22 11 4 7 37:28 9 37
D L W L L
7 23 11 3 9 34:35 -1 36
L W L W L
8 23 8 7 8 30:28 2 31
W D W L W
9 23 8 5 10 38:37 1 29
L W D W L
10 23 7 8 8 30:30 0 29
W L W L D
11 22 7 7 8 20:22 -2 28
D D W W L
12 23 7 5 11 19:23 -4 26
W W D L L
13 23 6 7 10 22:29 -7 25
W D L D D
14 23 6 6 11 31:47 -16 24
W L D L W
15 23 6 5 12 28:40 -12 23
L L D W W
16 23 5 7 11 26:33 -7 22
L D D L L
17 23 5 6 12 33:42 -9 21
L L W L L
18 23 4 8 11 25:38 -13 15
L L D L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2