13.09.2026 18:00
Estadio Miguel Grau
Referee: S. Lozano
Sport Boys
Match Timeline
Deportivo Garcilaso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
Carlos Ramos
Deportivo Garcilaso
🟨
39'
Agustin Gonzalez
Deportivo Garcilaso
🟨
40'
Jostin Alarcon
Sport Boys
81'
Christian Cueva
Sport Boys
🔄
83'
Pablo Labrin ↔ Fernando Pacheco
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
85'
Christian Cueva ↔ Rolando Diaz
Sport Boys
🔄
85'
Yuriel Celi ↔ Federico Illanes
Sport Boys
🟨
85'
Fernando Pacheco
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
90+1'
Luis Urruti ↔ Gustavo Dulanto
Sport Boys

Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.69
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 2.05
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.4%
1.69
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
2.05
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Sport Boys Win 55.4%
Draw 3.9%
Deportivo Garcilaso Win 40.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Boys1.03
Deportivo Garcilaso1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Boys Sport Boys
WWDLW
30 GF / 28 GA
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso
WLDWL
35 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
11
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
9
4.16
Shots on Goal
4.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Boys Sport Boys 27 matches
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 25 matches
Sport Boys Statistic Deportivo Garcilaso
10 Wins 13
7 Draws 6
10 Losses 6
30 Goals For 35
28 Goals Against 23
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
11 BTTS Yes 12
14 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 6
12 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 6
4.16 Shots On Goal 4.36
13 Total Shots 12.2
4.88 Corners 3.68
50.4% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Garcilaso. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo Garcilaso look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Sport Boys Analysis

Sport Boys sit 9 with 34 points after 25 league matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 27:25 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luciano Nequecaur (3 goals), Y. Celi (3 goals), H. Riojas (2 goals), with creative support from M. Llontop (3 assists), J. Alarcón (3 assists), L. Urruti (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Garcilaso Analysis

Deportivo Garcilaso come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 42 points after 24 matches. The return of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 31:21, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Christopher Olivares (6 goals), Beto Da Silva (6 goals), Francisco Arancibia (3 goals), with creative support from Francisco Arancibia (4 assists), Christopher Olivares (2 assists), Kevin Sandoval (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of - wins, - draws, and - losses supports the view of an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Sport Boys won 2 times, Deportivo Garcilaso won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:14 from Sport Boys's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Sport Boys 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo Garcilaso 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sport Boys wins 2, draws 0, Deportivo Garcilaso wins 5

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 8 3 44:18 26 56
W L D L D
2 27 14 7 6 43:31 12 49
L W D W W
3 27 14 6 7 39:24 15 48
W L W W W
4 27 13 7 7 45:29 16 46
D W W L D
5 27 14 3 10 40:38 2 45
W L W W L
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 26 12 4 10 45:39 6 40
L W L L D
8 27 11 7 9 40:35 5 40
W L W W W
9 27 11 5 11 48:40 8 38
W W W L L
10 27 10 8 9 29:26 3 38
D W L W W
11 27 10 5 12 37:44 -7 35
W W W W L
12 27 9 7 11 42:52 -10 34
W W D W W
13 27 9 5 13 26:31 -5 32
L W L W W
14 27 7 9 11 35:38 -3 30
L L D L W
15 27 7 6 14 41:52 -11 27
L W L W L
16 27 6 7 14 29:42 -13 25
W L L L L
17 27 6 7 14 24:41 -17 25
L L L L W
18 27 4 8 15 32:50 -18 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2