PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Miguel Grau
Referee: J. Alarcon
Sport Boys
Match Timeline
Cusco
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Iván Colman
Cusco
🟨
20'
Aldair Fuentes
Cusco
🟨
29'
Hansell Riojas
Sport Boys
🟨
31'
Juan Tévez
Cusco
🟨
39'
José Zevallos
Cusco
🟨
52'
Luciano Nequecaur
Sport Boys
52'
L. Nequecaur · Assist: L. Urruti
Sport Boys
🟨
57'
Carlos Gamarra
Cusco
🔄
61'
J. Manzaneda ↔ G. Carabajal
Cusco
🔄
70'
L. Colitto ↔ N. Silva
Cusco
🔄
70'
O. Valenzuela ↔ C. Diez
Cusco
🔄
75'
O. Mora ↔ E. Gonzales
Sport Boys
🔄
76'
J. Zevallos ↔ J. Bolivar
Cusco
🟨
77'
Hernan Da Campo
Sport Boys
🔄
81'
M. Trauco ↔ J. Alarcon
Sport Boys
🔄
81'
L. Nequecaur ↔ P. Liza
Sport Boys

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sport Boys Win 37.3%
Draw 20.7%
Cusco Win 42%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Boys1.21
Cusco1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Boys Sport Boys
WWDLW
16 GF / 22 GA
Cusco Cusco
WLDWL
21 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
7
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
9
4
Shots on Goal
4.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Boys Sport Boys 16 matches
Cusco Cusco 19 matches
Sport Boys Statistic Cusco
4 Wins 6
4 Draws 5
8 Losses 8
16 Goals For 21
22 Goals Against 29
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
7 BTTS Yes 12
9 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 5
4 Shots On Goal 4.22
12.93 Total Shots 11.78
4.43 Corners 3.28
51.1% Ball Possession 55.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cusco. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Boys expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Cusco in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cusco having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cusco carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 21 points while Sport Boys sit 16 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Sport Boys have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Sport Boys Analysis

With 12 points from 13 games and a place of 16, Sport Boys still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 13:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Nequecaur (4 goals), L. Urruti (3 goals), O. Mora (2 goals), with creative support from J. Alarcon (4 assists), L. Nequecaur (2 assists), C. Lopez (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cusco Analysis

Cusco are currently 6 in the standings with 21 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 18:22 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Facundo Callejo (8 goals), G. Carabajal (2 goals), Iván Colman (2 goals), with creative support from J. Manzaneda (4 assists), M. Ruidias (2 assists), Iván Colman (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Sport Boys won 5 times, Cusco won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:18 from Sport Boys's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.09 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.3%)
Predicted formations: Sport Boys 5-3-2 / Cusco 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Sport Boys wins 5, draws 1, Cusco wins 5
Stats
Sport Boys Sport Boys
Cusco Cusco
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
7 Corner Kicks 3
10 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 3
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 0
5 Blocked Shots 3
15 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Goalkeeper Saves 5
361 Total passes 402
280 Passes accurate 315
1.83 expected_goals 0.45
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sport Boys
Formation
Cusco
D. Melian
D. Melian
E. Saba
E. Saba
C. Zambrano
C. Zambrano
H. Riojas
H. Riojas
M. Llontop
M. Llontop
N. Da Campo
N. Da Campo
O. Mora
O. Mora
C. Lopez
C. Lopez
M. Trauco
M. Trauco
L. Urruti
🎯
L. Urruti
L. Nequecaur
L. Nequecaur
P. Diaz
P. Diaz
M. Ruidias
M. Ruidias
A. Fuentes
A. Fuentes
C. Gamarra
C. Gamarra
J. Zevallos
J. Zevallos
O. Valenzuela
O. Valenzuela
L. Colitto
L. Colitto
D. Soto
D. Soto
I. Colman
I. Colman
J. Manzaneda
J. Manzaneda
J. Tevez
J. Tevez
Sport Boys 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
D. Melian
G
17
E. Saba
D
3
C. Zambrano
D
26
H. Riojas
🟨 29'
D
13
M. Llontop
D
8
N. Da Campo
24
O. Mora
↓ 75'
M
7
C. Lopez
M
47
M. Trauco
↓ 81'
M
11
L. Urruti
🎯 52'
M
9
L. Nequecaur
⚽ 52' ↓ 81' 🟨 52'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Rivadeneyra
G
28
E. Gonzales
↑ 75'
M
10
J. Alarcon
↑ 81'
M
20
A. Vasquez
M
5
F. Illanes
M
14
R. Diaz
F
4
R. Alfani
D
30
P. Liza
↑ 81'
F
80
J. Torres
Cusco 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
28
P. Diaz
G
24
M. Ruidias
D
8
A. Fuentes
🟨 20'
D
2
C. Gamarra
🟨 57'
D
21
J. Zevallos
↓ 76' 🟨 39'
D
16
O. Valenzuela
↓ 70'
M
22
L. Colitto
↓ 70'
M
88
D. Soto
M
10
I. Colman
🟨 18'
M
7
J. Manzaneda
↓ 61'
M
11
J. Tevez
🟨 31'
F
Substitutes
13
A. Vidal
G
27
G. Carabajal
↑ 61'
M
26
N. Silva
↑ 70'
F
14
C. Diez
↑ 70'
M
15
J. Bolivar
↑ 76'
D
37
G. Choi
D
6
A. Ampuero
D
77
Herrera Joel
M
17
J. D. Ali Gutierrez
Last matches: Sport Boys
30.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Universitario
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
FC Cajamarca
2
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Juan Pablo II College
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Alianza Atletico
1
0
W
15.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
1
3
L
04.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Sport Huancayo
3
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
0
3
L
09.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Cienciano
1
3
L
01.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
Sport Boys
ADT
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
25.01.26
Fri
Sport Boys
Everton de Vina
2
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Sport Boys
Universitario
1
0
W
Last matches: Cusco
30.05.26
Pri
Cusco
ADT
2
1
W
27.05.26
CON
Cusco
Flamengo
0
3
L
23.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
2
3
L
10.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
06.05.26
CON
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Sporting Cristal
2
2
D
01.05.26
CON
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Cusco
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pri
Cusco
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Cusco
Alianza Lima
0
8
L
14.04.26
CON
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
09.04.26
CON
Cusco
Flamengo
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Cusco
FBC Melgar
3
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Cusco
Cienciano
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Cusco
Juan Pablo II College
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
3
1
W
13.02.26
Pri
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
0
1
L
H2H: Sport Boys vs Cusco
17.05.26
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
1
0
W
07.11.25
H2H
Cusco
Sport Boys
3
0
L
06.07.25
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
1
2
L
05.08.24
H2H
Cusco
Sport Boys
3
1
L
24.02.24
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
3
0
W
03.10.23
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
2
1
W
27.05.23
H2H
Cusco
Sport Boys
2
1
L
22.09.21
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
3
2
W
13.04.21
H2H
Cusco
Sport Boys
2
2
D
02.11.20
H2H
Cusco
Sport Boys
1
2
W
30.08.20
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
0
0
D
26.08.20
H2H
Cusco
Sport Boys
2
0
L
Last matches: Sport Boys
30.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
12.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Universitario
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Juan Pablo II College
1
1
D
15.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
1
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Sport Huancayo
3
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
31.01.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
25.01.26
Fri
Sport Boys
Everton de Vina
2
3
L
H2H at home: Sport Boys
17.05.26
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
1
0
W
06.07.25
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
1
2
L
24.02.24
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
3
0
W
03.10.23
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
2
1
W
22.09.21
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
3
2
W
30.08.20
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
0
0
D
Last matches: Cusco
30.05.26
Pri
Cusco
ADT
2
1
W
27.05.26
CON
Cusco
Flamengo
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Sporting Cristal
2
2
D
01.05.26
CON
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cusco
Alianza Lima
0
8
L
14.04.26
CON
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Cusco
FBC Melgar
3
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
Cusco
Juan Pablo II College
1
2
L
13.02.26
Pri
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
0
1
L
01.02.26
Pri
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Cusco
Always Ready
1
1
D
H2H away: Cusco
17.05.26
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
1
0
L
06.07.25
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
1
2
W
24.02.24
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
3
0
L
03.10.23
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
2
1
L
22.09.21
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
3
2
L
30.08.20
H2H
Sport Boys
Cusco
0
0
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
?
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
?
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
?
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
?
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
?
6
Cusco Away
17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
?
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
?
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
?
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
?
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
?
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
?
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
?
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
?
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
?
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
?
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
?
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
?
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
?