Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
59.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
78.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Spezia
Venezia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Spezia
38 matches
Venezia
39 matches
| Spezia | Statistic | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 24 |
| 11 | Draws | 10 |
| 19 | Losses | 5 |
| 43 | Goals For | 78 |
| 59 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.87 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.11 | Shots On Goal | 5.79 |
| 11.53 | Total Shots | 16.85 |
| 4.79 | Corners | 4.59 |
| 48.9% | Ball Possession | 63.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Venezia's more proactive style and Spezia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Venezia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 78 points while Spezia sit 20 on 33, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Venezia. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Spezia expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Venezia in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Venezia having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Spezia have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
Spezia sit 20 with 33 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 40:56 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Artistico (11 goals), G. Aurelio (6 goals), G. Lapadula (5 goals), with creative support from P. Beruatto (4 assists), G. Aurelio (3 assists), Mattia Valoti (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Venezia come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 78 points after 36 matches. They have recorded 23 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses, with a 73:29 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on A. Adorante (17 goals), John Yeboah (9 goals), Gianluca Busio (7 goals), with creative support from John Yeboah (8 assists), Kike Pérez (7 assists), A. Hainaut (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Spezia won 3 times, Venezia won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:13 from Spezia's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.85 goals per game.
Spezia
3
4
5
7
3
6
Lineups
Spezia
Pescara
Spezia
Catanzaro
Spezia
Sudtirol
Spezia
Mantova
Spezia
Carrarese
Spezia
Juve Stabia
Spezia
Empoli
Spezia
Modena
Spezia
Monza
Spezia
Padova
Spezia
Reggiana
Spezia
Cesena
Spezia
Frosinone
Spezia
Bari
Spezia
Virtus Entella
Spezia
Sampdoria
Spezia
Avellino
Spezia
Palermo
Spezia
Sudtirol
Spezia
Pescara
Venezia
Vis Pesaro
Venezia
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Venezia
Palermo
Venezia
Empoli
Venezia
Bari
Venezia
Virtus Entella
Venezia
Juve Stabia
Venezia
Monza
Venezia
Padova
Venezia
Sampdoria
Venezia
Reggiana
Venezia
Avellino
Venezia
Sudtirol
Venezia
Pescara
Venezia
Cesena
Venezia
Modena
Venezia
Frosinone
Venezia
Carrarese
Venezia
Mantova
Venezia
Catanzaro
Spezia
Sudtirol
Spezia
Mantova
Spezia
Empoli
Spezia
Monza
Spezia
Reggiana
Spezia
Frosinone
Spezia
Virtus Entella
Spezia
Avellino
Spezia
Pescara
Spezia
Modena
Spezia
Sampdoria
Spezia
Bari
Spezia
Padova
Spezia
Cesena
Spezia
Palermo
Spezia
Juve Stabia
Spezia
Catanzaro
Spezia
Carrarese
Spezia
Sampdoria
Venezia
Bari
Venezia
Virtus Entella
Venezia
Monza
Venezia
Sampdoria
Venezia
Sudtirol
Venezia
Cesena
Venezia
Frosinone
Venezia
Mantova
Venezia
Reggiana
Venezia
Modena
Venezia
Avellino
Venezia
Inter
Venezia
Padova
Venezia
Catanzaro
Venezia
Carrarese
Venezia
Empoli
Venezia
Palermo
Venezia
Hellas Verona
Venezia
Pescara
Venezia
Juve Stabia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Venezia
Away
|
38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 |
Spezia
Home
|
38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|