Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Spartak Varna
14 matches
Ludogorets
15 matches
| Spartak Varna | Statistic | Ludogorets |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 10 |
| 3 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 1 |
| 22 | Goals For | 32 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.13 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ludogorets. Ludogorets look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Ludogorets carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 15 points while Spartak Varna sit 6 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Spartak Varna sit 6 with 7 points after 5 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 8:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Operating from 1 place with 15 points from 5 games, Ludogorets bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a 10:3 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Varna won 0 times, Ludogorets won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:21 from Spartak Varna's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.38 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 17 | 25 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Ludogorets
Away
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 9 | 23 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21:6 | 15 | 20 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 |
Spartak Varna
Home
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 10 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
| 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 5 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 4 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 4 |
L
L
D
L
W
|